Philadelphia at Cleveland (09/09/2012)

Forum: Pro Football
Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Philadelphia at Cleveland (09/09/2012)
Covers PM Covers
Joined: Jul 2002
Posts: 61
Ireland
 
Covers
Participation Meter
Posted: 4/18/2012 11:21:48 AM

Away:  Philadelphia [0-0 ATS]
Home:  Cleveland [0-0 ATS]

Game Time: 1:00 PM
Stadium: Cleveland Browns Stadium

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

Philadelphia:
Passing: N/A (0)
Rushing: N/A (0)
Receiving: N/A (0)

Cleveland:
Passing: N/A (0)
Rushing: N/A (0)
Receiving: N/A (0)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

Coloneljim PM Coloneljim
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 13318
 
Coloneljim
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/1/2012 4:04:32 PM

Philadelphia - 24                               Cleveland - 22

Browns +9                                     over 41.5

I'm a gluton for punishment. Reasons for taking the hapless Brownies are, When the Eagles are road favs vs an afc team I usually bet against them. I also bet against them when they are giving more than 7. Reid is a hot seat coach so betting against him here is very risky. Stupid is as stupid does.

Cleveland - Over

 

PeteyRose PM PeteyRose
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 1433
Hawaii
 
PeteyRose
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/2/2012 3:50:24 PM
Rather sweat with the Eagles then the Browns
AceMackenzie PM AceMackenzie
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 576
Florida
 
AceMackenzie
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/2/2012 9:55:59 PM

lotta points on the side , take over 41

you always get big scoring week one  

Eagles 33 , browns 10

dustyvaultz PM dustyvaultz
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 905
Illinois
 
dustyvaultz
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/3/2012 1:37:06 AM
Holy garbage the Browns cover
Posted using a mobile device.
lendog121 PM lendog121
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 276
Ohio
 
lendog121
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/3/2012 9:09:57 AM
over is the play browns will somehow spoil it with the points
TheQuadYeah PM TheQuadYeah
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 1827
 
TheQuadYeah
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/4/2012 7:49:05 PM

DeSean Jackson says he's ready to play now, but I don't think his counterpart "The Dogbeater" is. I mean, how many more shots in how many more games where he's slow to get up, clearly wincing in pain, clutching his ribs, and limping off the field can this guy take!?!?!?

Vick hasn't learned to be a pocket passer, and get rid of the ball quickly, and he never will - like the saying goes - - you can't teach an old dog new tricks - and yes, pun is definitely intended!

I'm only taking the Brownies, because it's their season home opener, so all of the expectations are there and the crowd will be into it - plus, I'm counting on Vick to take some hard hits early, and throw him off his game.

O.K. Cleveland, your mission - don't lose by more than 8.5 - - - let's do this!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

vue21849 PM vue21849
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3944
South Carolina
 
vue21849
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/4/2012 8:47:36 PM
  Trends favor Cleveland. Also anytime you get   7.5 or more as home dog-take the dog. Since 2006 , this angle has covered over 65%. Of course, don't take my words- check all the homedogs from LY, and then tell me what you come up with. I don't expect a win, but a cover in front of the howling dogpound is possible.

CLEVELAND  + 9 (Action Bet Only)
mellowman7883 PM mellowman7883
Joined: Jun 2010
Posts: 743
Texas
 
mellowman7883
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/5/2012 11:37:13 PM
I stated this out and I have the game at even steven. So, I am in full agreement with Vue but like Vue will not be betting my hard earned cash on the Browns. I just cant bring myself to do it although the numbers are screaming Browns here.

dukeycat PM dukeycat
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 222
 
dukeycat
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/6/2012 9:52:15 PM
PHI @ CLE +9 OU 43
They just played a week ago in preseason in CLE and PHI didn't play Vick. PHI won by 17 pts.

I love Vue21849's post. Finally some info with stats.
I ran the +7.5 home dog stat and it's true it covers around 65% of the time.

If you could get 65% wins then your cash on cash return is 25% even with the 10% extra for the 35% losers.
 
Vue, any more nuggets of wisdom?




falsestart12 PM falsestart12
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 94
Nevada
 
falsestart12
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/6/2012 10:44:45 PM

Browns............MONEY LINE!!!!!

vue21849 PM vue21849
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3944
South Carolina
 
vue21849
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/7/2012 12:32:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dukeycat:

PHI @ CLE +9 OU 43
They just played a week ago in preseason in CLE and PHI didn't play Vick. PHI won by 17 pts.

I love Vue21849's post. Finally some info with stats.
I ran the +7.5 home dog stat and it's true it covers around 65% of the time.

If you could get 65% wins then your cash on cash return is 25% even with the 10% extra for the 35% losers.
 
Vue, any more nuggets of wisdom?





I have been experimenting with revenge matchups where the team wanting the revenge shows a 3 year track record of 60 % & higher,in such situations: Off of this so-called systems plays this week the plays are: Miami,Oakland,Pittsburgh,San Francisco, & Seattle. While I did cash on the 'Boys, it wasn't due to revenge. The Cowboys are a horrendous 1 - 9- 0 in such situations.
pcz PM pcz
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 348
United States
 
pcz
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/7/2012 5:19:51 AM
I'm not sure how I can even bet for the browns. But I know that Trent Richardson didn't play. If the eagles shut down the passing game of the browns, forget it. Richardson will not be able to run. Who are the receivers for the browns? Nevermind. I lean eagles -9 or 9.5. Easy cover with McCoy and Vick running all over this browns D. Vick is going to Pound the dawgpound. BOL
STEELERS216 PM STEELERS216
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 26
Pennsylvania
 
STEELERS216
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/7/2012 10:04:53 AM
CLE Blows, Bet PA.
kerussein PM kerussein
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 376
Ohio
 
kerussein
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/7/2012 12:24:33 PM
My clowns will have a better year as Weeden and Richardson play more but not in this game Phi 34 Cle 20
Meta PM Meta
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 295
Pennsylvania
 
Meta
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/8/2012 4:53:57 PM
Anything over 7 for the Browns scares me. I didn't see anything preseason from the Iggles that impressed me. Browns are the Browns though. 

Week 1 away giving 9? Might be to much for Philly here.
SoCal311 PM SoCal311
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 381
California
 
SoCal311
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/8/2012 7:51:36 PM
Will we be 'holding our nose' while making our play? You can BET on it (pun intended). But I certainly can't ignore the tremendous HIGH PERCENTAGE of large home dogs that have hot as of late in the NFL.
NFL home underdogs of +8 or more points (BROWNS) have gone an amazing 20-2 ATS (91%) in the last three seasons. And if our doggie is getting +8.5 or more, they've gone a PERFECT 8-0 ATS! Cleveland has been in this situation TWICE in the last three years, and has gone (naturally) a perfect 2-0 ATS.

SoCal311 PM SoCal311
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 381
California
 
SoCal311
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/8/2012 7:53:06 PM
brownies and the under... Cleveland has a solid defense anyone remember the pats beat down?!?!?!?!?
Paddy-Baboon PM Paddy-Baboon
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 127
Delaware
 
Paddy-Baboon
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/8/2012 11:38:37 PM

eagles own the browns.  stacked D and if vick gets hurt Foles comes in with a rocket for an arm   42-13  final

emchu PM emchu
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 1183
 
emchu
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/9/2012 4:44:11 AM
cleveland is going open up a can of whoop-behind
shochuman PM shochuman
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 536
 
shochuman
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/9/2012 7:24:15 AM
PHILADELPHIA 
(YTD: 3-1)
Lar1212 PM Lar1212
Joined: Jan 2009
Posts: 11148
Texas
 
Lar1212
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/9/2012 11:04:36 AM

Tease PHI to -2.5

Iron_horse PM Iron_horse
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 1256
South Carolina
 
Iron_horse
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/9/2012 1:01:26 PM
Philadelphia - 9
jorge112270 PM jorge112270
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 8713
Texas
 
jorge112270
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/9/2012 1:43:49 PM
Eagles
Forum: Pro Football
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.