Jacksonville at Atlanta (12/15/2011)

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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Jacksonville at Atlanta (12/15/2011)
tagsrock PM tagsrock
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Posted: 12/15/2011 1:25:10 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TheQuadYeah:

There's no way at this point I can back Jacksonville playing Atlanta in the dome (short week, coming off a big offensive day, no coach, new owner, and an I-R list that reads like a phone book) but 11 points? Seems like about 4 too many....... I'll probably tease Atl. with something else.......
SICK PART IS EVERY TIT IN YOUR AVATOR LOOKS REAL!
gaeton PM gaeton
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Posted: 12/15/2011 2:02:27 PM

The dookie to be for me!!

 

gaeton PM gaeton
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Posted: 12/15/2011 2:06:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mellowman7883:

Falcons at home motivated should be ok for - 4 points on a teaser. The key to blowing them is exploiting the Jags secondary. Does Matty Ice have an arm capable of doing that? Opinion guys?
you cant be into balls to be in to be your mouth r u?
ShadowWarrior PM ShadowWarrior
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Posted: 12/15/2011 2:20:43 PM
ATL is the last leg of my teaser at -1.  Hit yesterday with UNLV under, MS -4, and EW +18.5.
ShadowWarrior PM ShadowWarrior
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Posted: 12/15/2011 2:24:10 PM
unfortunately I have had many last legs crap like OKL ST versus Iowa St.  and Oregon versus UCLA.  tread lightly.
holtnt PM holtnt
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Posted: 12/15/2011 2:27:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BIGnate:

atlanta seems like the play in this one, I think they'll have some momentum from their good 2h last week, I'm still not sold on gabbert.  Haven't pulled the trigger, hopefully it goes down to 9.5 but I don't think it will.  Atl 31, Jax 13



BIGnate,



Matt Ryan was very impressive in that comeback last week, however in my book you just can’t trust that young man
AND I really don't trust him covering double digits.  However, I love your predicted score; in fact, I capped this puppy at 31 - 16 so…….  but me down for a couple of units on Over the Total please.  Thanks! 


nylonfeetrocks PM nylonfeetrocks
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Posted: 12/15/2011 2:31:26 PM
for those of u using the travel angle for this game, the distance between jacksonville and atlanta is a whopping 286 miles (460) kilometers. 
fosterk PM fosterk
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Posted: 12/15/2011 2:46:29 PM
This game has jumped two full points up to 13.5 on sportsbook.  Something is going on.  If it gets to 14 i really like the Jags.  Might buy a half a point and do it anyway.
Blind_Monkey PM Blind_Monkey
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Posted: 12/15/2011 3:02:22 PM
Some people say stats are useless,but for me they produce 65-75 percent winners and I think that is pretty good.On these two teams last 3 games I get:

Jag's Defense has allowed 309 ave yards per game  
Falcons Defense has allowed 326 ave yards per game

Jags off had total of 886 yards for their last 3 and scored 68 pts
Falcon's off had total of 1066 yards for their last 3 and scores 65 pts

Now from this info I can calculate Jag 25 -Falcons 19.Since I only use this info for spread betting I am on the Jags to cover.
 

mellowman7883 PM mellowman7883
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Posted: 12/15/2011 3:13:54 PM

28 of the points in tampa were a gift from Tampa.  Which makes the Jags averaging still under 15 points.

27-15 Atlanta  

Then we have the Dome factor and the motivational factors.

oldtimehockey PM oldtimehockey
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Posted: 12/15/2011 3:35:29 PM
Why o why did this line jump to 13.5 when the public isn't pounding Atlanta?  Is this a blowout or a trap? Every Thursday night game so far this year has been suspicious with the dogs covering.  I am taking the points and going largola on Jax!
BdoubleO PM BdoubleO
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Posted: 12/15/2011 3:50:29 PM
now the line is where i thought it should, i was going to tease atl and under but i think atl can put up 40+ points alone, betting atl str8 up
Jmoney2689 PM Jmoney2689
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Posted: 12/15/2011 3:50:36 PM
ATLLLLLLLLL
Ber PM Ber
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Posted: 12/15/2011 4:52:22 PM
u 42.5
gla
vacation PM vacation
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Posted: 12/15/2011 5:06:35 PM
This is another in a long series of awful prime time stand alone games. 
Anyway, I expect ATL to do some scoring here. Question is will they have to do that all alone with little help from JAX's popgun offense.
I'm not an under bettor so I am giving the total a wide berth.
Going with ATL -7.5 1H....

Sandman23 PM Sandman23
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Posted: 12/15/2011 5:14:39 PM
This game is too close to call WRT the spread.  Flip a coin and either team can cover -13.5 or +13.5.  Actually, I just got off the phone with a buddy that's a professional and he's telling me a lot of pros are staying away from the spread either way.  Vegas has the number bang on with the number being 12-14. 

With that said....he's what the big boys are playing and why:

The Sharpie's are loving the UNDER 42.5.  Get this soon, it will drop close to game time after the public drives the number up and then watch it fall again just before kick off thanks to the big boys.  I have 17 reasons I like the under but here's a highlighted few

-  5 of the last 5 Atlanta home games have gone UNDER
-  8 of the last 9 Atlanta games have gone UNDER
-  16 of the past 23 games have gone UNDER for both teams combined. 
-  10 of the last 13 games have gone UNDER for Jacksonville.
-   ATLANTA IS A CLOCK KILLER.  THEY LEAD THE NFL IN T.O.P FOR SCORING DRIVES.  THEY ALSO LEAD THE LEAGUE IN PASSES UNDER 5 YARDS WHICH CONSUMES A LOT OF CLOCK.  TICK TICK TICK.  THE AVERAGE TIME FOR TD SCORES IN ATLANTA'S LAST 6 GAMES IS 7:43...WOW !!

  UNDER 42.5.....EZ PICK !!!!






Whalewatcher PM Whalewatcher
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Posted: 12/15/2011 5:15:28 PM

Short week......and after both offenses had time consuming and exhausting outputs last week.............

Early lean UNDER!!

Spread is 13.5 all over Vegas 14 pts at The Orleans!!

Early lean Jax +2 TD's!!

 

TheQuadYeah PM TheQuadYeah
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Posted: 12/15/2011 5:20:02 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by tagsrock:

SICK PART IS EVERY TIT IN YOUR AVATOR LOOKS REAL!

Soooooooooo, you agree with me, or?????????????

TheQuadYeah PM TheQuadYeah
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Posted: 12/15/2011 5:29:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Sandman23:

This game is too close to call WRT the spread.  Flip a coin and either team can cover -13.5 or +13.5.  Actually, I just got off the phone with a buddy that's a professional and he's telling me a lot of pros are staying away from the spread either way.  Vegas has the number bang on with the number being 12-14. 

With that said....he's what the big boys are playing and why:

The Sharpie's are loving the UNDER 42.5.  Get this soon, it will drop close to game time after the public drives the number up and then watch it fall again just before kick off thanks to the big boys.  I have 17 reasons I like the under but here's a highlighted few

-  5 of the last 5 Atlanta home games have gone UNDER
-  8 of the last 9 Atlanta games have gone UNDER
-  16 of the past 23 games have gone UNDER for both teams combined. 
-  10 of the last 13 games have gone UNDER for Jacksonville.
-   ATLANTA IS A CLOCK KILLER.  THEY LEAD THE NFL IN T.O.P FOR SCORING DRIVES.  THEY ALSO LEAD THE LEAGUE IN PASSES UNDER 5 YARDS WHICH CONSUMES A LOT OF CLOCK.  TICK TICK TICK.  THE AVERAGE TIME FOR TD SCORES IN ATLANTA'S LAST 6 GAMES IS 7:43...WOW !!

  UNDER 42.5.....EZ PICK !!!!






So, Sandbaby, are we really doing this again??? You didn't learn your lesson from last week?!?!?!?? Problem with this site is nobody owns up to their F***IN' mistakes - - Hey, I'll own up to a bad call all the time, any time, every time, but no one else does..............

Go back, see what I'm doing for this wager, and I'll own up to it if I'm wrong.......... I'm one of a very select few people that actually post my wagers - -

But remember, we're all on the same side here, right???? It's us against the bookies, right?? I'm just trying to help..........

Good Luck Everybody!!!!!!!!!!

rekamyenoM PM rekamyenoM
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Posted: 12/15/2011 5:43:29 PM
WUNDERDOG SAYS

Last week the normally punchless Jaguars hung 41 points on Tampa Bay. It didn't hurt that the Bucs have lost seven straight games and in four of their last five they have allowed +35 points. But let's be clear: that 41 was simply an anomoly. Jacksonville wasn't exactly an offensive force in the game, gaining just 325 total yards on 66 plays at less than 5 yards per play. Let's not forget that this team had not scored over 20 points all season and has gone for 14 or less in nine of their last 11 before the Tampa Bay game. The Falcons may not be great on defense, but over their last 11 regular season home games they have allowed less than 20 points per game, including games vs. Green Bay, Philadelphia, and a pair with New Orleans, along with Carolina this year. So, there's no doubt they can hold down the Jags who average just 11.2 points per game on the road. The Falcons aren't a big scoring team. Seven of their last eight games have gone UNDER the total. While the Jaguars are little threat on offense, the defense has carried them all season. They have held eight teams to 20 points or fewer, and have played 12 of their 13 games UNDER the total. They have also played each of their last six on the road to the UNDER. The Falcons are a picture perfect 7-0 to the UNDER following a win this season, and the last four meetings between these clubs show a perfect 4-0 to the UNDER as well. Under Mike Smith, the Falcons are 15-6 to the UNDER when facing a bad passing team like Jacksonville (teams under 62% completion rate), 12-3 UNDER in non-conference games and 14-4 UNDER following a high-scoring affair in which 50+ points were scored last game. Jaguars road games have averaged just 28.9 total points per game this season! Take the UNDER here.
Sandman23 PM Sandman23
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Posted: 12/15/2011 5:51:45 PM
TheQuadYear-  Good to see you will stand up to your bet but you obviously don't do this for a living.  Playing any form of teasers is for amateurs and just plain stupid.  It's hard to take someone serious when they play teasers. 
Raines PM Raines
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Posted: 12/15/2011 5:54:15 PM

ATLANTA -4.5 and the UNDER 50.5

GLTA

Raines PM Raines
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Posted: 12/15/2011 6:00:16 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Sandman23:

TheQuadYear-  Good to see you will stand up to your bet but you obviously don't do this for a living.  Playing any form of teasers is for amateurs and just plain stupid.  It's hard to take someone serious when they play teasers. 

Really? Since VEGAS and the BIG TIME gambling LORDS run this show then the tease seems to be the most hated play. Please go back and look at my post, I'm 80% with my 9 Point Teasers. VEGAS can predict an outcome....give me 9 points and I'll show you a winner. My play is posted. Just like MONDAY night and SUNDAY night. I wager on EVERY PLAY that I post. I always put my money where my mouth is. I have done this for a while son, you can't tell me that teasers are not $$$$.

BdoubleO PM BdoubleO
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Posted: 12/15/2011 6:02:41 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Sandman23:

TheQuadYear-  Good to see you will stand up to your bet but you obviously don't do this for a living.  Playing any form of teasers is for amateurs and just plain stupid.  It's hard to take someone serious when they play teasers. 

smack yourself across the face please, ive made a ton of money on teasers this year, if that makes me an amateur then darn it as long as my pockets are getting fatter. Theres no rank in gambling your either good or bad at it no matter what you choose to do.

Sandman23 PM Sandman23
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quote#100
Posted: 12/15/2011 6:06:55 PM
1.  TEASERS are for losers and professionals don't play them kid ! 

2.  TheQuadYear-  What book are you with?  Atlanta -6.5 and over 41.5 for +105.  

  It should be more like -6.5 and over 34.5.  Are you really sure you know what you are doing kid with your $10.00? 


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