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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Cincinnati at Atlanta (10/24/2010)
Covers send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#1
Posted: 10/19/2010 1:24:38 AM

Away:  Cincinnati [2-3 ATS]
Home:  Atlanta [3-3 ATS]

Game Time: 1:00 PM
Stadium: Georgia Dome

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

Cincinnati:
Passing: Carson Palmer (1287)
Rushing: Cedric Benson (406)
Receiving: Terrell Owens (476)

Atlanta:
Passing: Matt Ryan (1415)
Rushing: Michael Turner (466)
Receiving: Roddy White (546)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

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#2
Posted: 10/19/2010 3:07:39 AM
where you at atlanta falcons?  I hope you didn't blow too much of your wad on that eagles beatdown?  Things that came from that matchup:

kevin kolb >>> matt ryan
lesean mccoy == michael turner
Jeremy maclin >>> falcons receivers
eagle Defense >>> falcons defense

don't say i didn't try to warn you off your homerism.  I thought I would be joining you here on the falcons, but the way things are shaping up, the bengals secondary could expose ryan again this week.  May not put my money on the table here, but the spread sure suggests to me that the bengals cover.
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#3
Posted: 10/19/2010 6:36:50 AM

I had a nice little write up but Covers went crazy for a few minutes when I hit submit and it never got through. Not going through all that again so here it is...

I'll avoid a side but if I had to pick a selection it would be Under 42.5 which is reasonable considering these two teams lately.

Hope it works this time.

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#4
Posted: 10/19/2010 8:27:36 PM
ATL will bounce back and make things right CINN is done for I wouldn't put anything on Carson Palmer to cover or beat a ATL team that just got torched.  ATL LARGE safe money here.
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#5
Posted: 10/19/2010 9:08:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by winner99:

ATL will bounce back and make things right CINN is done for I wouldn't put anything on Carson Palmer to cover or beat a ATL team that just got torched.  ATL LARGE safe money here.


so i'm not ready to put my money on palmer yet either, but despite my instinctive logic, the spread has me thinking the bengals cover or win SU.  So here's my preliminary support logic...

cincy has a very good defense, probably better than the falcons, but especially in the secondary where they have two of the best corner backs in the game that can be murderous on QBs (just as flacco).  Matt ryan looked terrible against a solid secondary in philly and it just doesn't get better for him here.

cincy also has one of the best offensive lines in the game, ranking 5th and 8th at run and pass blocking respectively (atlanta is 11th and 14th for comparison)

the problem that i'm running into here is that the falcons are very stout against the run, meaning that it would be on palmer to run game and that's something i just have no faith in.  He has the weapons, he has the time, but he still just sucks.

That's where i stop.  I won't bet it if i can't reason through it, but cincy has my attention here.
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#6
Posted: 10/19/2010 10:03:27 PM

Cincy- lost to TB and Cleveland.  Not a good football team IMO. 

Falcons coming off a bad game, it happens. I think the  Falcons roll here. 

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#7
Posted: 10/19/2010 11:50:17 PM

ATLANTA   - 3.5

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#8
Posted: 10/19/2010 11:51:02 PM

ATLANTA  - 3.5

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#9
Posted: 10/20/2010 1:13:50 AM
ATL -3.5 (3UNITS): slight advantage for Atlanta. my line as it at -4 with the better defensive HOG index number. Score: Falcons 27-Bengals 16
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#10
Posted: 10/20/2010 3:08:49 AM
worth noting is that the falcons secondary which was already 25th in the league in yards allowed despite only facing 2 legitimate QBs (brees and kolb) the other QBs they've faced:  dennis dixon, derrick anderson, alex smith and the dangerous tandem of seneca wallace and jake delhomme (and wallace probably could have won that game) telling me that the 25th is a relevant ranking AND they just lost their top cornerback, dunta robinson to that hit on desean jackson.  Hard not to think that even carson palmer with weapons is better than that foursome and can get away with enough to let the work of his cornerbacks on matt ryan stand
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#11
Posted: 10/20/2010 10:24:00 AM

Kolb torched the ATL secondary, and did it without D-Jax for just about the whole game. Palmer should have problem doing the same especially coming out of the bye; T.O and Ocho should be able to run wild through that secondary. I'll take the points.

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#12
Posted: 10/20/2010 6:54:43 PM
seems like a low number for the falcons and thats why the bengals win. as a long time bengal viewer this is their best spot to be in. bengals 27 - falcons 17
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#13
Posted: 10/20/2010 8:18:54 PM
Bengals +3.5 off a buy week!!!!
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#14
Posted: 10/22/2010 7:54:55 AM
Falcons -5
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#15
Posted: 10/22/2010 12:52:36 PM
Does everyone realize the Falcons and Matt Ryan are a totally different team at home?


Matt Ryan is 15-1 at home for his career and his QB rating is much higher at home. Last week in Philly is not an indicator of what he will do this week.



Falcons ML and ATS. This will be a blowout.
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#16
Posted: 10/22/2010 1:59:06 PM

I'm jumpin' off the ATL stock cuzz it's been priced high since start of season.  But in no way do i jump on Cincy as long as Carson Palmer is at QB cuzz he's simply throwing junk out there on the field these days.  Cincy can't afford to lose another game and may play good defense, but I can't afford to bet on the likes of Carson Palmer.

I'm stayin away.  I like the Under though

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#17
Posted: 10/22/2010 6:33:28 PM

CINCY is the play of the day Sunday.  Absolutey the play of the day.

If CINCY was as bad as they say the line would be 6.5 but nope it is 3.5

They lose by a field goal at worst and what does that mean.....a CINCY cover

You want analysis?  See Dave Chappelle dude's comments.  Clayton Bigsby never lies.

 

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#18
Posted: 10/23/2010 1:46:34 AM
over 42.5
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#19
Posted: 10/23/2010 9:36:20 AM

cinci +4.5.. not too strong about this play but cinci rested and prolly came up with a plan to spoil the atlanta falcons. i dont think cinci wins this game  but i also dont think the falcons cover..

cinci +4.5

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#20
Posted: 10/23/2010 1:15:02 PM

Cincinnati - 28                         Atlanta - 16

Bengals +4.5                     over 42.5

Even though the Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 before a bye.

Bengals are a moneymaking dog play vs NFC opponents in October.

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#21
Posted: 10/23/2010 2:36:42 PM

bengals + 3.5

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#22
Posted: 10/23/2010 9:56:49 PM
Cincinnati    +3   (+113) 1U
OVER  44  (+102) 1U
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#23
Posted: 10/23/2010 11:57:00 PM
under............
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#24
Posted: 10/24/2010 2:35:19 AM
Bengals will be fired up....should pull this victory, will cover the 3.5 if not.
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#25
Posted: 10/24/2010 10:06:35 AM
I'm taking the points here as well.  The Falcons win but the Bengals get the cover I hope ......
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