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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Miami at Minnesota (09/19/2010)
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#1
Posted: 9/14/2010 2:01:55 AM

Away:  Miami [1-0 ATS]
Home:  Minnesota [0-1 ATS]

Game Time: 1:00 PM
Stadium: Mall of America Field at H.H.H. Metrodome

Recent Meetings:
N/A

Team Leaders:

Miami:
Passing: Chad Henne (182)
Rushing: Ronnie Brown (65)
Receiving: Brandon Marshall (53)

Minnesota:
Passing: Brett Favre (171)
Rushing: Adrian Peterson (87)
Receiving: Visanthe Shiancoe (76)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

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#2
Posted: 9/14/2010 7:10:11 AM
I don't have much of a feel for this game, but I'm thinkin under 40.   other than that....I would just stay away...unless u are a hardcore miami fan and know this team.
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#3
Posted: 9/14/2010 9:59:48 AM

Maiami will be put to sleep at Minnesota.

Minnesota -5.5

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#4
Posted: 9/14/2010 12:02:35 PM

Most veteran gamblers should remember that Miami has been a big game road team vs the spread. They have come through time and time again on the road in games that no one gave them a chance of winning. MIAMI IS 14-6 ATS in thier L-20 raod games. The concern that I have here is that Miami only managed a 15-10 road win at Buffalo last week in thier season opener and needed a gift safety from Buffalo to cover the line. Also Miami is only 2-4 in thier L-6 road game indoors gonig back to 2001. I can see why the books have middled the line here at MINN-5.5 pts. I'm gonna take a shot with the Fins and take the points. Favre is still not 100% yet and I feel that Miami will gameplan accordingly to try and maximize thier chances here.

My Guesstimate - Minnesota-20 Miami-17

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#5
Posted: 9/14/2010 6:42:31 PM

Very impressed with the Viking D in an impossible situation @ NEW ORLEANS opening night. They cannot...and will not go down 0-2 at home against Miami who barely got by a garbagio KAKA buffalo squad with no hope whatsoever.

Minnesota by 10 at home.

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#6
Posted: 9/14/2010 9:59:33 PM
spread is 5.5
No Rice has obviously hurt the teams offense
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#7
Posted: 9/14/2010 11:16:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Skubishack:

Most veteran gamblers should remember that Miami has been a big game road team vs the spread. They have come through time and time again on the road in games that no one gave them a chance of winning. MIAMI IS 14-6 ATS in thier L-20 raod games. The concern that I have here is that Miami only managed a 15-10 road win at Buffalo last week in thier season opener and needed a gift safety from Buffalo to cover the line. Also Miami is only 2-4 in thier L-6 road game indoors gonig back to 2001. I can see why the books have middled the line here at MINN-5.5 pts. I'm gonna take a shot with the Fins and take the points. Favre is still not 100% yet and I feel that Miami will gameplan accordingly to try and maximize thier chances here.

My Guesstimate - Minnesota-20 Miami-17

 

 

 

i would HIGHLY advice u all to listen to this dude.  he has been on FIRE.   he correctly predicted the score on not only 1 but 2 games. I forgot which ones, but it happened.  u can sit back and just make his picks and basically got at least .500. 

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#8
Posted: 9/15/2010 8:24:37 AM

My bet is Vikings win but Miami will cover the spread. Just a gut feeling that Miami might even pull off a win on this one.

GL, miami will stop A.Peterson.

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#9
Posted: 9/15/2010 9:59:45 AM
MIA +6- Favre and his receivers seemed out of step last week. The public is pounding the Vikes and yet the line is not moving, which means they're begging you to take the Vikes, or so it would seem?  The Fins have never won in Buffalo since 2004 and now came away a winner.  Sparano is 5-1 ATS in consecutive road game.  I'm thinking the road dog will take this one.
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#10
Posted: 9/15/2010 4:20:38 PM
I'm all over the Dolphins here as well. Dolphins always good on that second road game as ewillie said. Also strong against the NFC under Sparano. I don't know how the Vikings get into this game enough to cover the spread. On top of that you beat the Dolphins by throwing it which is not a pleasant thought after last week's performance in New Orleans. House on the Phins.
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#11
Posted: 9/15/2010 7:38:51 PM

I would take a hard look at the UNDER here.

Minnesota has a great run defense and should be able to contain Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams. That means the pressure will be on Henney who I wouldn't expect to put up big points.

Minnesota's offense did not appear to be clicking last week. Maybe Favre's sitting out of camp for so long is gonna hurt the team the first few weeks. Miami's D is pretty good as well. I don't see a lot of point in this one.

UNDER 39.5

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#12
Posted: 9/16/2010 4:18:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Skubishack:

Most veteran gamblers should remember that Miami has been a big game road team vs the spread. They have come through time and time again on the road in games that no one gave them a chance of winning. MIAMI IS 14-6 ATS in thier L-20 raod games. The concern that I have here is that Miami only managed a 15-10 road win at Buffalo last week in thier season opener and needed a gift safety from Buffalo to cover the line. Also Miami is only 2-4 in thier L-6 road game indoors gonig back to 2001. I can see why the books have middled the line here at MINN-5.5 pts. I'm gonna take a shot with the Fins and take the points. Favre is still not 100% yet and I feel that Miami will gameplan accordingly to try and maximize thier chances here.

My Guesstimate - Minnesota-20 Miami-17

I don't remember seeing you here last year but your insight has been very helpful to me and I really like the way you lay out your write-ups.... keep up the good work... I don't nkow about anybody else but I have been following you closely....

HOWEVER, I do strongly disagree with you on this game haha... I think Minn is going to beat Miami by more than 7 points....

Minn has extra 3-days rest (40+ Qb needs all he can get plus it helps the ankle) it also gives more practice time which Farve obviously didn't have since he was out of training camp.... it will give him time to work with his new wideouts...

also, don't forget Minn was undefeated at home last season... they are not a good road team... Miami is coming off of it's second road game... I love taking the home team after an opponent has played the previous week on the road (I like the Bengals also)

also remember the Vikings were playing the Saints, the team that won the superbowl.... Vikings didn't look good, but who looks good against the Saints?  If that game was in Minn I think it wouldn've been a different outcome...

Farve looked tired second half... I bet he gets a little more stamina back with the extra rest....

Minnesota's defense is really good.... especially against the run, especially with that home crowd.... let's also not forget that Minn was a playoff team last year and Miami was not....

how good is this Miami defense?  Well Mike Nolan taking over has great long-term upside... but are you convinced on 1 bills win that they are a strong unit?  They will defeinitely be put to the test with Adrian Peterson....

I like the Vikings -5.5....

 

Good Luck to all... (hope I'm able to help)

 

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#13
Posted: 9/16/2010 7:27:06 PM

same thing breakabookie said

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#14
Posted: 9/16/2010 8:04:13 PM

Miami - 21                                Minnesota - 17

Dolphins +5.5                       under 39.5

Sparano is a pretty good road play off a SU home win.

Dolphins - Under

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#15
Posted: 9/17/2010 7:36:39 AM

@breakabookie... off the top of my head I can think of three home games Miami lost last year... week 2 vs colts, home vs saints, and home vs Texans as well as home vs Steelers...so no they were not undefeated at home... way to just make up facts to make your play look stronger.

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#16
Posted: 9/17/2010 9:06:08 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by michwil3535:

@breakabookie... off the top of my head I can think of three home games Miami lost last year... week 2 vs colts, home vs saints, and home vs Texans as well as home vs Steelers...so no they were not undefeated at home... way to just make up facts to make your play look stronger.

 

He said Minn

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#17
Posted: 9/17/2010 11:39:07 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by michwil3535:

@breakabookie... off the top of my head I can think of three home games Miami lost last year... week 2 vs colts, home vs saints, and home vs Texans as well as home vs Steelers...so no they were not undefeated at home... way to just make up facts to make your play look stronger.

LOL... I don't even know what to say to this!

 

Minnesota was undefeated at home last year!

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#18
Posted: 9/17/2010 6:03:56 PM
lol that was pretty dumb
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#19
Posted: 9/17/2010 7:52:49 PM
after further investigation Ive come to the conclusion that I am a dumbass lol my bad bud
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#20
Posted: 9/18/2010 12:10:41 PM
Miami are a scrappy lot this year. Look for a foolish MN underestimating of Brian Hartline. He's the dark horse in this contest. 
Camarillo will have a fine day, yet balancing that against a full function of the Wild Cat (actually working this week), and one too many failed double coverage of Marshall, the Dolphins hold the edge. 

The Vikings will display more of their weakness this Sunday. Just how the defensive secondary wasn't exposed in the first game was simply due to New Orleans working out early-season kinks.
Henne's numbers will be better than even Favre's in this one.

Miami 23
Minnesota 20
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#21
Posted: 9/18/2010 1:55:55 PM

Minnesota continues its impressive home win streak and covers with ease over a woeful Miami team who couldn't put away the lowly bills last week.

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#22
Posted: 9/18/2010 5:40:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Nitro:

Minnesota continues its impressive home win streak and covers with ease over a woeful Miami team who couldn't put away the lowly bills last week.

Miami beat the bills last week!!

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#23
Posted: 9/18/2010 6:41:28 PM

minn   @  hm  

 

hope it snows

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#24
Posted: 9/19/2010 12:24:06 AM
Big dolphins fan so lets get that bias out of the way. Many people who say miami struggled with buffalo is a bad sign for miami are reading that game totally wrong. When a bad team is 0-0 being the first game and thier home that bad team is always dangerous especially vs a divisional rival. For whatever its worth miami looked very physical like a parcells team usually does...Minny has cornerback problems and i think the saints entire game plan was wrong last week by only rushing the ball 3 times in first half creating no balance for play action. Miami has enough balance and physicality to stay within the number. Thinking 3pt game could go either way so miami and the points for me..LIP
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#25
Posted: 9/19/2010 1:19:50 AM
UNDER 39.5
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