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Author: [College Football] Topic: Fresno State at Southern Methodist (12/24/2012)
Chiefan34
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#26
Posted: 12/24/2012 2:02:22 PM
I'm going away from what I usually do because of the Christmas spirit and I'm going to drop a parlay tonight, $150 2 teamer......

Fresno St. -12.5

Over 60.5

Fresno has been red hot offensively as of late, averaging 47.2 PPG both at home and on the road. And there's no doubt they could have scored more, but they've called off the "Dawgs" so to speak. What I can't understand about SMU is they've played games this year where their offensive line was able to open up big holes for Zach Line to run like crazy, but the minute they have any success they go back to the pass where Gilbert has in my opinion been inconsistent. Although the running games for both sides seem to be formidable, I still give the edge to Fresno on the ground because of Carr's ability to torch a secondary and not letting them cheat up to stop the run. QB edge definitely goes to Fresno, and defensively Fresno has played better competition and showed some sort of ability to win away from home.

Will Fresno give up points? Probably around 20-24
Will SMU give up points? Probably around 45-52

If a team hasn't played defense all year, chances are their not going to learn anymore in three weeks than they have all season......

Fresno St. -12.5, over 60.5 for extra NYE money!!! GL all!!!


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#27
Posted: 12/24/2012 2:38:47 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by vuxxle:

How is the weather at game time?  Anyone know?

Cloudy, Light Winds and slight chance of Showers later.... typical island weather.

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#28
Posted: 12/24/2012 2:42:00 PM
Seem like the whole world on Fresno!!! Im also on this band wagon and on the over as well!!!

LARGE!!!
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DJNY
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#29
Posted: 12/24/2012 2:46:07 PM
I'm going to do it simply because no one else will:

SMU WIN + Under 61 8.5-1 Odds! 
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Chiefan34
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#30
Posted: 12/24/2012 3:20:16 PM
Aside from all other stats, SMU is a 6-6 team that finished second in their side of a below average conference, and aside from beating a decent FCS team (SF Austin) has only beaten one team above .500 @ home (Tulsa). Fresno on the other hand was not only a Co-Champion of a much better conference, but averaged a hair over 50 PPG against 3 conference opponents .500 or above including San Diego St., another Co-Champion. Obviously anything can happen, but Fresno is the better team. I'm a little sketchy on the over, but covering shouldn't be the issue for Fresno here, especially the first half when they've come out hot on numerous occasions. SMU has started slow many games, and they can't afford to play catch up to this team. GL to all!!!
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#31
Posted: 12/24/2012 3:26:54 PM
Fresno st   -11.5. 2k $$$$$
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#32
Posted: 12/24/2012 3:27:37 PM
Fresno State...5 game win streak.. 11-1 ATS 

Fresno State
PF- 40.2      PA 22.2

so an average game they win by 18...over 62

sounds good to me 

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#33
Posted: 12/24/2012 3:54:39 PM

As stated earlier, SMU is not going to start playing defense now!

Pound Fresno 1st half $$$$$$$$$$.

Fresno State: 52

SMU: 21

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#34
Posted: 12/24/2012 4:03:26 PM
EVERYONE ON THIS BOARD IS ON THE OVER SO THEREFORE...


UNDER 61 !!!!
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#35
Posted: 12/24/2012 4:21:25 PM
Don't be fooled. Believe in the stats. Fresno is better on off and def. Fresno for the large 10k. (Fresno 45, SMU 24)

MARRY CHRISTMAS TOO ALL!!!!!!!
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degengambler34
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#36
Posted: 12/24/2012 4:26:29 PM
Fishy line imo, fresno on paper should be 16.5 in this game, not 12.5. 
clearly not the 11 it opened as. Strange things happen in hawaii to teams. To me this is either a no play or an smu play. 
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Unstoppable Force
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#37
Posted: 12/24/2012 4:42:05 PM
Fresno State -12 



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#38
Posted: 12/24/2012 4:51:37 PM
Derek Carr 
36 touchdowns 
5 interceptions

vs

Garret gilbert 
14 touchdowns
13 interceptions

Give me the better quarterback
And ball hawk Phillip thomas who has 8 interceptions on the year.

Fresno ST-12
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#39
Posted: 12/24/2012 4:57:21 PM
These are two teams that do not understand the word DEFENSE!! FSU are money burners and SMU stinks as well,soooooooooo......I'll take the over.
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#40
Posted: 12/24/2012 5:08:06 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by vuxxle:

How is the weather at game time?  Anyone know?

It's Hawaii.......78-82 all morning, all day, all night........beautiful!!

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#41
Posted: 12/24/2012 5:08:47 PM
If you are looking for a sportsbook thats like a bank and always pay out every week,any time you want your money.Also a place that when your acct is out and on any given day you're checking the line and.....boom!!! Theres 50 dollar free play in your acct,no rollover,cash money to play any way you want.First Fidelity,also known as youwager.com,I have been with them since 1998,They have been MONEY!! Im not getting anything for this,it just I know that there are a lot of books,that screw with your investments,I figure you should'nt have to go through that kind of garbage.You will NOT have that problem with these kats baby.Put 500 into an acct.and be able to draw a certain % of losses through the year.
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#42
Posted: 12/24/2012 5:12:13 PM

They will accept 50 dollars and up toward opening an acct,but you can sign up free.

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#43
Posted: 12/24/2012 5:14:05 PM

Chew on this :

Fresno State 0-6 ATS as Bowl game favorites since 1991

losing EVERY one of those games outright!!

SMU + UNDER........!!

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DJNY
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#44
Posted: 12/24/2012 5:43:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Whalewatcher:

Chew on this :

Fresno State 0-6 ATS as Bowl game favorites since 1991

losing EVERY one of those games outright!!

SMU + UNDER........!!


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#45
Posted: 12/24/2012 5:49:55 PM
SMU is a DANGEROUS squad....just sayin'! Don't be surprised if they win outright.
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#46
Posted: 12/24/2012 6:20:22 PM

There is way too much money on the over in this game. I know both teams have a pretty bad defense, but I always like to on the opposite side as the public.

Does it mean i win everytime? No, but public loses a good 65% of the time. Just seems like this bowl season has the public winning right now. Ill fade again and hope for the under to hit.

UNDER 63

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#47
Posted: 12/24/2012 6:21:02 PM
*like to be on the opposite side as the public
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#48
Posted: 12/24/2012 6:32:14 PM
Fresno State -13 
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#49
Posted: 12/24/2012 6:39:49 PM
Fresno St 1st half
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#50
Posted: 12/24/2012 6:53:29 PM
Waiting for the line to jump to 65 so I can slam the under!  Merry Xmas!!
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