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Author: [College Football] Topic: Minnesota at Texas Tech (12/28/2012)
combato
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combato
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#26
Posted: 12/28/2012 6:39:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by osu200200:

combato... i would love to hear how u come up with your score calculations, cause like the ohio game... you are just dead wrong based on statistical analysis. tech should be 14.5 pt fav statistically. if you make up point values based on motivation and coaching situations then that makes sense, but it's impossible to put a number on that. there is no telling how a team will respond to an interim coach and there is certainly not a hard number you can use to include in a score projection.


Would you care to continue to discuss my opinion on the Ohio game now ( 44 -14 winner ).  I don't win them all but it does prove a point
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#27
Posted: 12/28/2012 6:49:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Richard19655691:

A fifth grader with no coaching experience could coach Texas Tech over Minnesota! Texas Tech is by far superior!

Texas Tech -13

I expect a 24 to 35 point victory!

  LMFAO  my thoughts exactly!!
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combato
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#28
Posted: 12/28/2012 6:53:23 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by FleshGordun] Texas Tech -13. This is a mismatch hoping they show ready to play and don't pull a UCLA [/Quote
Exactly right Trailblazer - very good point]
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#29
Posted: 12/28/2012 6:58:06 PM
TEXAS TECH -13 
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#30
Posted: 12/28/2012 7:05:48 PM

combato thank you for your thread on the ohio game. very good insight as my account got larger. i will make a small play on minnesota. hell the minnesota vikings are playing great. maybe it rubs off on the gophers??? worth a shot

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#31
Posted: 12/28/2012 7:11:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BillySims:

Minnesota:
Passing: Max Shortell (853)
Rushing: Donnell Kirkwood (848)
Receiving: Derrick Engel (267)

Texas Tech:
Passing: Seth Doege (3934)
Rushing: Kenny Williams (779)
Receiving: Eric Ward (974)

Somebody.....explain how MINN has a shot? Pls explain it as if I'm a six year old. And draw stick figures to illustrate if necessary.

   THAT IS FUNNY TO ME!!!  
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osu200200
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#32
Posted: 12/28/2012 7:14:12 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by combato:



Would you care to continue to discuss my opinion on the Ohio game now ( 44 -14 winner ).  I don't win them all but it does prove a point

that wasn't my point, if you read my posts you would know i didn't wager on the ohio game and i guarantee you didn't have ohio winning by 30 based on your "analysis". i had said from the start that ohio might finally have time to get healthy so a new team could show up. my point is your score predictions are ludicrous. if you want to post your leans and such then that makes sense, but to say based on statistical analysis ohio should have been favored or minnesota should only be a 1 pt dog is just plain wrong. that is why i was asking how you came up with those numbers cause you say you base it on analysis.

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#33
Posted: 12/28/2012 7:18:16 PM

The Golden Gofers has a habit of pissing on me when I bet on or again there. baskets or football. They  are just one of those teams. So I would love to make money tonight.  There are only 3 bowls games with the ml at -500 or greater an this is one of them.

 

I just cant lay 13 with what I've read and saw last night withCinic.  The last play pick 6 give the cover.

I will get this under 7 and I hope the better team wins.  That means Teaser Time 

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#34
Posted: 12/28/2012 7:26:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Trailblaza05:

If everyone is so confident in TT than why has the spread not changed even when 65% of the public is on TT?

65% of covers consensus does not represent the public 
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mason0217
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#35
Posted: 12/28/2012 7:28:53 PM
they are playing the game RIGHT??? Have you all seem what has happen lately... that's why they play the GAME!! GOOD LUCK TO ALL ... UNDER THE TOTAL 55.5
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#36
Posted: 12/28/2012 8:12:52 PM
Over over over
Posted using a mobile device.
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#37
Posted: 12/28/2012 8:49:31 PM
If it was easy as always betting the better team, we'd all be rich.. If you've been gambling for any amount of time, you'll know lines aren't always as they seem.. Anyways.. Minnesota and under for me.. Best of luck guys
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WiseGuy702
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#38
Posted: 12/28/2012 8:53:25 PM
Minnesota +13




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#39
Posted: 12/28/2012 8:56:13 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by Whalewatcher] You mean TT -13.5!! [/Quote]THX I thought i posted that right after ??!! but thank u!, that is what i meant !!!
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#40
Posted: 12/28/2012 9:38:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by osu200200:

that wasn't my point, if you read my posts you would know i didn't wager on the ohio game and i guarantee you didn't have ohio winning by 30 based on your "analysis". i had said from the start that ohio might finally have time to get healthy so a new team could show up. my point is your score predictions are ludicrous. if you want to post your leans and such then that makes sense, but to say based on statistical analysis ohio should have been favored or minnesota should only be a 1 pt dog is just plain wrong. that is why i was asking how you came up with those numbers cause you say you base it on analysis.

osu200200... Maybe if you stopped criticizing people on here and listened to some insights you wouldn't have a 45% win rate.

I haven't been on here long but combato has given some good picks and insight. I don't listen to anyone but myself but I like to hear what others have to say... Not trying to jump on you but just ask some pointed questions and you might learn something Mr 45%....

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#41
Posted: 12/28/2012 9:47:18 PM

LOOKS LIKE THIS girl IS GOIN WAY OVER !!

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#42
Posted: 12/28/2012 10:52:04 PM
The way they edit cussing on this site is FUCKIN STUPID!!!!!!
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#43
Posted: 12/29/2012 12:08:45 AM
Hey Jinxy I wasnt going by covers. Hope you had fun betting TT tonight
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#44
Posted: 12/29/2012 12:20:11 AM
80% on fresno lost, 80% on fresno over lost. UL monroe 66% lost. 70% on UL monroe over lost. 56% rutgers lost. 80% orlando magic lost. 77% on heat lost. 80 percent on texas tech lost. If your betting with the public consensus this time of year you're going to lose.   The public did pretty well up until this week. If you want to keep losing bet the favorites. These lines are the way they are for a reason they take every think you think you know into consideration. Best cappers are still only 58%..... Don't be stupid and lose all your money, just trying to help brotherss.....
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#45
Posted: 12/29/2012 12:47:27 AM
Interesting thing happened when I logged onto bovada to check my bets, in particular my TTU -13 bet which was placed Dec. 24th. That bet was was already marked as a "loss"  at 9:34pm mountain time. It said final score was MIN 10 TTU 7. Called them and they said it would be sorted out and that they were just "updating" their system. Weird...
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#46
Posted: 12/29/2012 2:29:24 AM
bdog is horrible they switched all my bets 4 years when I won 1200 and it said I loss I even had them printed out because my buddy had the same problem and warned me, so i called bdog and the lady wasn"t even surprised, it was like it happens everyday. no one regulates these sites because they're either outside the US or on indian reservations 
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#47
Posted: 12/29/2012 11:03:33 AM
so what was everyone saying about Texas Tech.  You were wrong!!
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