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Author: [College Football] Topic: Brigham Young at San Diego State (12/20/2012)
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#26
Posted: 12/19/2012 9:21:11 PM

If im correct dont BOTH these teams avg. 23/24 pts.a game? Small play on the over 48 for me.Thinkn this games 29-23 type score.BOL

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#27
Posted: 12/19/2012 9:24:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 2B1:

SD State has beaten BYU once ... once in the past 12 years. Value is on BYU -3.



But they've covered in 2 of the last 3.
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#28
Posted: 12/19/2012 9:32:14 PM
And they've covered in 6 of the last 7 overall.I think I'm taking the points here.
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#29
Posted: 12/19/2012 9:54:10 PM
Actually my prevouis post about avg pts. scored per game was wrong......BYU 29ppg and SANDIEGO 35ppg avg.Even better for my small play on the over48.
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#30
Posted: 12/20/2012 8:11:19 AM
Byu for me.. Better defense and just enough offense to cover the 3.. Best of luck guys
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#31
Posted: 12/20/2012 11:03:13 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by binger1:

Actually my prevouis post about avg pts. scored per game was wrong......BYU 29ppg and SANDIEGO 35ppg avg.Even better for my small play on the over48.

Using the averages for both teams, you'll get:

 

BYU     29.2 pts for  &  14.7 pts against

SD ST  35.1 pts for  &  25.5 pts against

The average total points will be 51.75 points

 

 

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#32
Posted: 12/20/2012 11:06:56 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by binger1:

Actually my prevouis post about avg pts. scored per game was wrong......BYU 29ppg and SANDIEGO 35ppg avg.Even better for my small play on the over48.


gotta love cover's math.
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#33
Posted: 12/20/2012 11:52:52 AM
This is a real shame.  Found this on Winson's personal data:

winson68 has no friends at this time.


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#34
Posted: 12/20/2012 12:40:36 PM
Aztecs ML is a good bet!!! They beat BSU on the blue turf.. That alone is an accomplishment!!! They are very solid in the running and return game!!! I'm liking the Aztecs for the win!!!
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#35
Posted: 12/20/2012 12:52:55 PM

Two very good defenses, especially BYU's against the run.  With the time off, I think both offenses will struggle for 2-3 quarters.  I like the under for a small play, biggest risk is an OT game as these two are pretty closely matched.  Should be a fun game to watch, I ordinarily wouldn't bet a game this tight but it makes it more fun.  GL to all the bettors tonight.

Under 47'    One unit play for me

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#36
Posted: 12/20/2012 12:57:08 PM
Just 1 of these playsbut i'll take my  and put it on the under 
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#37
Posted: 12/20/2012 1:38:44 PM
san diego and the under. byu is to weak on o
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#38
Posted: 12/20/2012 2:34:24 PM
Bronco Mendenhall and Rocky Long have coached both WITH and AGAINST each other for numerous years in the Mountain West, they know what each one likes to do. Mendenhall coached teams have fared much better in bowls than any team Rocky Long has coached. Teams just don't learn to play defense overnight, and SDSU sucks against the pass. Gotta go with the Stormin' Mormons and the under here! Good luck all!
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#39
Posted: 12/20/2012 3:04:21 PM
BYU rolls by 17 or so.
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#40
Posted: 12/20/2012 3:10:54 PM
BYU Large!!!!  Ty Detmer is back with the Air Attack!!!
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#41
Posted: 12/20/2012 3:43:47 PM
After further review....6 pt. tease Aztecs to the under.
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#42
Posted: 12/20/2012 4:09:18 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by joshcenci12345:

either byu an over or sd st an under

I think you got it backwards. If BYU wins its a under. If SD wins its an over.
For BYU to win they need to slow down the SD offense. If it becomes a shoot out SD is more likely to win. And if SD starts to get a good lead they are at home so they won't slow down and not keeping scoring.
I think SD and the over is where I'm going to put my bets...

BOL to everyone either way!
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#43
Posted: 12/20/2012 4:32:34 PM
Some smart $ was bet early on SDS but since the first few days, the number has fluctuated between 3 and 3.5.  Also, it appears that the consensus on this board is BYU 15 vs SDC 8 which would make SDS a strong play.  The overalll betting ( real money, not fake money like the Covers contest ) shows SDS with about 55% of the overall bets which indicates a slight smart money edge to SDS.  My proprietary indicator of money line action at various sportsbooks also points to a pointspread play on SDS at +3 to +3.5.   Bowl record to date is 1-1 ( Nevada W and Toledo L )   Play SDS
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#44
Posted: 12/20/2012 5:34:09 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by DrDogs:

This line looks about right, Two teams played similar schedules strength wise. Byu slight edge hanging with NDame. Byu shows up for bowl games.   BYU wins in a close one. BYU and OV for the large!!!!

Doc,

you know i usually like taking my prescribed meds  hope i don't regret it 

 takin the under tonight instead

Good luck fellas  

anna31204

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#45
Posted: 12/20/2012 6:20:32 PM
BYU and the over 45.5 it is 
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holtnt
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#46
Posted: 12/20/2012 6:27:18 PM

Not interested in the side AT ALL  However, as I’ve been saying all year long, BYU is a top five (5) defense in the country.  I saw the Aztec defense at Boise State and they looked solid, but they will look even better tonight against that Cougars signal caller that absolutely SUCKS (Riley Nelson).  With that said, this game has Under written all over it so……………..  put me down for Under the Total for a shinny new Nickel Alex Trebek please.  Thanks!  

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#47
Posted: 12/20/2012 6:32:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dukes_fantasy:

still undecided on this but must comment on some other posts..."DR DOG" BYU didnt play with Notre Dame....ND laid an egg like they did 3-4 times this year..BYU got way up for that game & ND didnt show up at all & didnt cover as predicted by every sharp known to man. same thing vs PITT, ND was very over-valued. BYU has a solid D & unimpressive offense. i'm having a tough time with this game but slightly leaning toward SDST.  with regards to strength of schedule for any bowl game?! toss those stats/matchups out the window. even without a major coaching change during the weeks leading up to bowl games teams are very different from the last week of regular season. a good example so far this year was Nevada covering vs AZ. like i said...i'm undecided on this game & will read up & look deeper & look beyond regular season points per game & strength of schedule.   "SHARK EPREZA" the under isnt a lock & i dont think anyone who bets the over is a "moron" like u posted. u do know the lines that are posted usually try to get action on both sides...so the over/under number released is targeting action on both sides...meaning they refine the number so people have to decide one way or the other...its not a number where smart people can say "omg its too high" the under is the bet...the numbers are almost always the perfect medium to force us into a decision. certain times/situations the number released is way out of whack because ya have a team like ND that the public will jump on no matter what the line is because they are one of americas sweathearts & knowing that the oddsmakers release a line on ND on monday morning that is waaaay to high. so basically if u didnt take pitt or byu vs ND but instead took ND u are some of the people that the oddsmakers bank on in those situations


All lines are NOT set to get action on both sides…   


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#48
Posted: 12/20/2012 7:16:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dukes_fantasy:

still undecided on this but must comment on some other posts..."DR DOG" BYU didnt play with Notre Dame....ND laid an egg like they did 3-4 times this year..BYU got way up for that game & ND didnt show up at all & didnt cover as predicted by every sharp known to man. same thing vs PITT, ND was very over-valued. BYU has a solid D & unimpressive offense. i'm having a tough time with this game but slightly leaning toward SDST.  with regards to strength of schedule for any bowl game?! toss those stats/matchups out the window. even without a major coaching change during the weeks leading up to bowl games teams are very different from the last week of regular season. a good example so far this year was Nevada covering vs AZ. like i said...i'm undecided on this game & will read up & look deeper & look beyond regular season points per game & strength of schedule.   "SHARK EPREZA" the under isnt a lock & i dont think anyone who bets the over is a "moron" like u posted. u do know the lines that are posted usually try to get action on both sides...so the over/under number released is targeting action on both sides...meaning they refine the number so people have to decide one way or the other...its not a number where smart people can say "omg its too high" the under is the bet...the numbers are almost always the perfect medium to force us into a decision. certain times/situations the number released is way out of whack because ya have a team like ND that the public will jump on no matter what the line is because they are one of americas sweathearts & knowing that the oddsmakers release a line on ND on monday morning that is waaaay to high. so basically if u didnt take pitt or byu vs ND but instead took ND u are some of the people that the oddsmakers bank on in those situations

I wasted my time reading this but you are a moron. gooodluck with your wise methods of analysis. 
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#49
Posted: 12/20/2012 7:17:17 PM
does BYU  and the under seem to easy or is it just me 
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#50
Posted: 12/20/2012 7:21:43 PM

TOTAL DOWN TO 45.5 ........IM ROLLIN WITH THE OVER,,,BOL

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