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     Bowling Green is much better than people really know. However ,I couldn't conceive a scenario where they dream of beating the Gators!  While I respect Florida- 29 points is going a bit over the top here. Bowling Green has a nasty habit of flying out of the gate- should stay in the game.

BOWLING GREEN  + 29 (PRIME PLAY!)

UNDER 48

Florida -28

What killed BGSU last year at West Virginia was giving up 360 YARDS RUSHING  and 4 RUSHING TD’s, which was consistent last year with the Falcons Defense being 104^th against the rush.  The BGSU defense is the same this year and perhaps weaker at stopping the run.   On the other side the Florida Offense has a stable of running backs and an improved running game that will run all day on the BGSU inept rush defense.

BGSU Offense will have a weak running game this year as last year, and should easily be stopped by an improved rush defense at Florida.  This will be trouble for QB Matt Schilz to get the passing game going against a Florida Defense that ranked 7^th in Pass Defense last year and shows to be better this year. 

A lot of 3 and outs from the BGSU offense and a constant rush game from the Florida Offense will tire the BGSU Defense.  Look for the BGSU Defense to be done in the 2^nd half as Florida continues to run the ball effectively.