Posted: 12/28/2011 4:38:49 PM
At first look I thought this game seems to be tougher to cap than I thought, being that its a bowl game nothing is easy cause with the layoff and so many other variables in place there are no gimmes come this time of year in college football. That being said I looked over the numbers and this is what I came up with.
Air Force has 5 wins against teams with a combined 14-46 record. Of those teams Navy is the best team they beat record wise being 5-7, and I believe they won that game in OT. I didn't count the two wins they had against non div. 1 teams. Air Force has 5 loses against teams a combined record of 45-15 losing by an avg. margain of 15 points per game
On the other hand Toledo has 8 wins against teams with a combined 44-52 record, of those 8 4 of them are .500 or better. Their 4 loses have come to teams with a combined record of 32-17 and by an avg. of 9 points per game.
They do have one common opp. which is Bosie St., both losing, A.F. at Bosie by 11 and Toledo at home by 25.
All this being said I think I'm going with Toldeo. A.F. has beat bad teams, lost to some avg. teams and lost to some good teams. Toledo has beaten some avg. teams, lost to a couple avg. teams and lost to some good teams. Like I said it is a bowl game so its hard to predict but I'm going with Toldeo either -3 or in a 6 point teaser with the Tex./Cal. game. However that game I have no clue what to expect since I don't knwo what Texas team will show up.