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Author: [College Football] Topic: Texas at Texas A&M (11/24/2011)
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#1
Posted: 11/20/2011 2:51:37 AM

Away:  Texas [5-5 ATS]
Home:  Texas A&M [3-8 ATS]

Game Time: 8:00 PM
Stadium: Kyle Field

Recent Meetings:
11/25/10 - TXAM 24 vs. TEXAS 17
11/26/09 - TEXAS 49 vs. TXAM 39
11/27/08 - TXAM 9 vs. TEXAS 49

Team Leaders:

Texas:
Passing: David Ash (926)
Rushing: Malcolm Brown (668)
Receiving: Mike Davis (554)

Texas A&M:
Passing: Ryan Tannehill (3191)
Rushing: Cyrus Gray (1045)
Receiving: Ryan Swope (1069)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

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#2
Posted: 11/20/2011 9:28:08 PM
Longhorns +8.5  
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#3
Posted: 11/20/2011 9:48:31 PM
The only way Longhorns be in this game is their D. Their offense is bad.
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#4
Posted: 11/21/2011 12:09:31 AM
a & m
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#5
Posted: 11/22/2011 10:45:17 AM

The Texas D will keep them in this game.  They played lights out several weeks now, and the last two opponents were very potent offenses...Mizzou and KSU.  The intensity of this game being the last conference game between two bitter rivals will bring the best out in both, certainly the Texas D will be very game.

And I would be surprised if the game plan is shockingly more balanced for Texas between run/pass this week.  Aggie pass defense is very soft and not a real threat to force interceptions (last in Big12 in both pass yards and INTs).  Will Texas have success in the air?  Pretty much everyone does with Aggies; however, A&M is 2nd in the nation in forcing sacks.  This will be a huge problem for the young Texas QB's who get very uncomfortable with a rush.  And the Texas is o-line can power block, but pass blocking is a big weakness. 

Many don't realize just how bad the young QB's are missing Shipley.  He's the only Texas receiver that gets open on short and underneath routes.  Which is a security blanket for QB's getting pressured.  The void in the short to medium passing game is strongly noticeable without Jaxon.  Will he finally play this week after the passing game being absent along with his presence?  Not sure.  Would make a huge difference to combat the rush and move the chains.  Texas won't win the game solely on the ground as Aggies can play the run tough.

I see this as a close, physical game.  Aggies up 13-3 or so at half, and as many times before they let the opponent back in it in 2nd half.  As much as I'd love to see a Horns win, still feel Aggies will play the run very strong and be very effective with pressuring Texas QB's.  That being said, Horns will hang within the line.  Aggies 23-20...Horns cover. 

Shipley plays and Horns may get the upset.  FYI, it seems Case McCoy is starting with Ash entering in situational relief.  For several weeks they've been listing on the depth chart as Ash -OR- McCoy.  And Ash started those games with McCoy in relief.  This week it's reversed and listed as McCoy -OR- Ash.  It's not read that way before in Ash's starts. 

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#6
Posted: 11/22/2011 1:48:25 PM
I feel the home field advantage will be crucial in this game.. The young qb's haven't proven themselves.. With that said I don't know how good the aggies run defense actually is, being as everyone has had the luxury of throwing all over them.. with that said I will take the aggies
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#7
Posted: 11/22/2011 1:50:36 PM
Aggies -6.5 (tease) and possible unders when they are posted as I feel the line will come out some what high. Thoughts?
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#8
Posted: 11/22/2011 7:22:45 PM
Wow... Lock of the year! TEXAS A&M no question!
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#9
Posted: 11/22/2011 9:36:07 PM
2 decimated offenses, this game is usually close, short week......

Texas +7.5 under 54  
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#10
Posted: 11/22/2011 10:42:54 PM
i havent been following up with these 2 teams but i will deff take texas a&m and the over
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#11
Posted: 11/22/2011 10:43:19 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by brava:

Wow... Lock of the year! TEXAS A&M no question!

hey moron, so why is a team that 3-8 ats this season who has given up at least four DD 2nd half collapses, who's D is ranked at near the bottom of D1, a lock against Texas...

Granted, Texas QB's and deplorable...however, Texas D will limit the O production of Texas A&M...A&M may indeed win, but I can assure, even playing at home, an ATS cover is not a LOCK...

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#12
Posted: 11/23/2011 2:23:48 AM

I saw Ash played against Mizzou and he wasn't very good at all.

A&M offense can be explosive especially at home.....so for Texas to have any chance of winning, they have to score some points. or force turnovers. Yeah, the tough Texas D can stop A&M offense, but how often can they do it?  Eventually, A&M offense will break through

Bottom Line....A&M by 14-21 pst or even more....

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#13
Posted: 11/23/2011 3:08:30 AM
Staying away from a side.  I think the safest bet is the Over.  A&M will get their points with their potent offense and, as we've seen all year, the Aggies' 'D' will allow the Horns to hang right there with them.
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#14
Posted: 11/23/2011 8:26:54 AM
Looking at the under in this game and will take it!!
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#15
Posted: 11/23/2011 9:06:10 AM

I really don't trust Ash to put up points.

I really don't trust A&M with any lead.

But, for some reason, the over is very tempting...

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#16
Posted: 11/23/2011 12:55:18 PM
Texas's offense has been bad the past 2 games. Their defense has kept them in games but in prime-time and at home for A&M, I think A&M wins by 2-3 touchdowns easily. This is A&M's last match in the Big 12 division. One of these teams will play absurdly good tonight and my money is on A&M.
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#17
Posted: 11/23/2011 2:48:55 PM

man i hear alot of texas offense sucks, but have you guys seent this texas a&m d?? just as bad. A&M only plays one half of football ball. They are pro for blowing leads in the second half.

close game

give me the points and TEXAS

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#18
Posted: 11/23/2011 7:21:18 PM
Texas A&M -8.5 LARGE
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#19
Posted: 11/23/2011 7:22:59 PM
Texas A&M -8!!!   They will blow texas away!!!!!  

Texas A&M 68 Texas 14
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#20
Posted: 11/23/2011 7:23:04 PM

Also the OVER 53.5  

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#21
Posted: 11/23/2011 8:47:01 PM
AGGIES -8
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#22
Posted: 11/23/2011 9:19:13 PM
can anyone give me one good reason not to play the over in this game.
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#23
Posted: 11/23/2011 10:42:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by agfan:

can anyone give me one good reason not to play the over in this game.

Texas has a real deal defense and A&M's top rusher,  TD leader, and fourth best WR Cyrus Gray is doubtful....I would say thats 2.5 reasons..
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#24
Posted: 11/23/2011 10:48:44 PM
Forgot to mention that A&M's 2nd leading rusher is out for the season as well.....
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#25
Posted: 11/23/2011 11:23:34 PM
Texas a$m defensively not very good overall but decent against the run. Texas mainly a running team, The longhorns have not done very well in the underdog spot. Texas A$M and OV for the large!!!!!
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