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Author: [College Football] Topic: Southern California at California (10/13/2011)
jorge112270 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mirage |
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#26
Posted: 10/13/2011 12:49:22 AM
Good points by everyone, but USC is coming off a bye. They had more than 15 days to prepare for the Cal.....taking USC-3, and u are right ATMYBEST, the spread should be at -10. Vegas is messing with ur mind.
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#27
Posted: 10/13/2011 2:27:04 AM
 Vegas is not messing with our minds.  If you look at both team's stats  they are about the same.  Cal's stat is actually better plus the fact that they have home field advantage.  If it wasn't for previous rivals, USC should be the underdog.  So having Cal at +3 seems reasonable.  I made most of my bet base on stats but I noticed USC had stronger opponents and the fact that they've beating CAL many games before making them ready for this game with confident.  Line movement is not base on the amount of bets on the team but on the amount of $.  I think line will move up to 4 before game start.

USC -3 Large
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#28
Posted: 10/13/2011 8:03:52 AM
i dont think i can stay away from usc here, even with the line movement, like over too
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#29
Posted: 10/13/2011 9:09:38 AM

Taking the "rubbers" in this one.

USC.... 27.......Cal... 13

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#30
Posted: 10/13/2011 10:57:53 AM
Cal
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#31
Posted: 10/13/2011 11:15:39 AM
USC will win this game.
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#32
Posted: 10/13/2011 11:27:14 AM
USC 34
CAL 21
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#33
Posted: 10/13/2011 11:31:56 AM

Don't get fooled by Cal's excellent first half against Oregon. The Bears have a reputation for matching up well against spread offenses and poorly against pro style offenses. They gave the Ducks a big scare in their 2010 game also.

Cal is also notorious for playing well in the first half of games and then fading in the end. Tedford is not good at making adjustments during the game. What you see in the first quarter is usually what you get for the entire game, with Tedford coached teams. USC's pro style offenses gives the Bears fits every year. the Trojans have owned Cal in the last few years and they seem to match up better against the Bears than any other Pac-12 team.

 Look for Teford to come out with a strong offensive game plan to keep the game close at the half. USC will dominate the second half with Tyler running the ball, and Lee cathcing passes. Woods will be more of a decoy in the second half. This game will be high scoring, and i really like the first half overs:

Final Score:    USC-38   CAL-31

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#34
Posted: 10/13/2011 12:43:11 PM
my favorite rule: when everyone is on one team on this site, go against them.. you ppl never win!
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#35
Posted: 10/13/2011 12:56:16 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by iceroadtrucker:

my favorite rule: when everyone is on one team on this site, go against them.. you ppl never win!

which EVERYONES 

the EVERYONE/you people that are on CAL ...

or

the EVERYONE/you people that are on USC ...

 

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#36
Posted: 10/13/2011 12:57:10 PM
sometimes they do.  I had Auburn in the BCS championship game and Green Bay in the Super Bowl.  Both 3 point favorites.
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#37
Posted: 10/13/2011 1:40:06 PM

I already stated earlier on how Cal seems to start off strong in their games and slow it down in the 3rd and 4th qtr.

James is a beast and had a very solid game against Cal last week but before that Cal had the top 10 ranked run defense. Although USC has a solid ground game I think Cal's run defense gets back on track here.

Cal has a solid run game as well with Isi Sofele. USC has a weak pass defense that ranks 98th in the nation. Cal's solid ground  game should  help take some pressure off Maynard when passing situations arise.

Cal seems like a solid home team as they are 17-5 ats since 2007,,,,but USC has basically owned Cal lately as USC has taken 7 straight games SU and 5-2 ats.

The last time Cal hosted USC...well USC pretty much killed them. But that's why I feel that Cal will come strong in the first half in this one. I'm staying away from the final but...

Cal at the half +1.5

Aloha and good luck to all

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#38
Posted: 10/13/2011 1:41:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Rallytime316:

USC returning 14 players this year (7 Off, 7 Def)

CAL returning 12 players this year (7 Off, 5 Def)

Cal's qb Maynard is a transfer from UB and is playing his 6th game with the team. I dont think he's used to playing in big games in a much better conference. Once Oregon got up a couple scores he started forcing throws and it almost looked like he got rattled. USC's biggest weakness is defense so he might be able to exploit it if CAL's defense doesnt give up a big lead early. USC lost two key recievers from last year in Johnson and Ausberry but this year they have Woods and Lee so its not much of a loss for them. CAL lost a DE a few LB's and 2 CB's so look for the accurate Matt Barkley to find holes in the middle and hit his new good looking recievers. CAL puts up a fight but USC eventually pulls away in the 2nd half.

USC-37         CAL-24




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#39
Posted: 10/13/2011 1:43:16 PM

People making a lot of USC having a bye week.  So far this year, teams coming off a by week are 12-21 ATS.

The books give a "WTF?" line like this and 70% are chomping at the bait.  No capping necessary - that's all I need to know.

CAL +3

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#40
Posted: 10/13/2011 2:07:22 PM
If I'm taking Cal at +3 (-115) then I might as well take Cal ML (+135).
Cal led Oregon at halftime on the road so they are not a terrible team. Thursday night home dog. Is it bait?

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#41
Posted: 10/13/2011 2:15:09 PM

TROJANS -3.5 POINTS!!!!

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Tex-101
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#42
Posted: 10/13/2011 2:39:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BloodyShredder:

People making a lot of USC having a bye week.  So far this year, teams coming off a by week are 12-21 ATS.

The books give a "WTF?" line like this and 70% are chomping at the bait.  No capping necessary - that's all I need to know.

CAL +3



I totally 100% agree and stand by my original post.

Cal +3
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#43
Posted: 10/13/2011 2:49:19 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Tex-101:

I like Cal coming off 2 road losses and "only" being a 2' to 3 point dog.  Everyone says gift, but I say trap.  Every stat supposedly points to USC except the low opening point spread, which is what I look at.

Cal +3

GL all,

 

I dont think the stats point towards USC,

I think the stats point to Cal. But for some reason everyone thinks USC is a gift and the home field is not an advantage in this game.

I disagree, both teams look even to me and might even lean towards Cal. but with cal getting points, Ill take Cal for the half and the Game.

Good Luck All,

Tex

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#44
Posted: 10/13/2011 3:03:35 PM
still reading my cryistal ball
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#45
Posted: 10/13/2011 4:47:06 PM
USC +3 and Under as well for me.. BoL guys

BigD.. Good luck with ur 1st half bet, hopefully we're both winners
Posted using a mobile device.
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#46
Posted: 10/13/2011 5:19:29 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by oahuboy808:

USC +3 and Under as well for me.. BoL guys

USC is -3

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#47
Posted: 10/13/2011 5:41:12 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by capdout:

still reading my cryistal ball

 

same here  

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#48
Posted: 10/13/2011 5:54:45 PM
USC -3!!!
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drcomer
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#49
Posted: 10/13/2011 6:12:47 PM
UNNNNNNNDERRRRRRRRRR
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#50
Posted: 10/13/2011 7:00:58 PM
USC -3
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