Posted: 10/4/2011 2:17:35 PM
I'm leaning to Texas keeping it close and wouldn't be shocked if they pull the upset. However, most likely I'd say it's best as a 'no play'. In a game of this magnitude and emotional atmosphere, one has to be really concerned with the youth of Texas. Several of their best skill players are true freshman...Ash, M. Brown, J. Shipley are all straight out of HS. Even Case has only played significantly in a few games in his career.
Yes, they have all played way above their age to this point and Texas has shown potency since they took over. But this is the OU-TX game and as a veteran of attending around 17 of these and heading to this one, it's a whole other animal inside that stadium. The emotional swings are insane and things can get out of hand fast.
That being said, Texas is very talented, has much better schemes than in the past, and has the horses to be in this one til the end. Also, OU is vulnerable in certain places on defense. If I had to play this one I'd lean small on Texas with the points. But the youth factor in a game like this is hard to overlook. Think I'd rather sit this one out and enjoy the great display of football from two really good teams, and cheer for a big Texas win as usual.
BTW, as mentioned above, Cody Johnson will continue to be the short-yardage back as awful of a decision as that is. I can't understand why for the last 3 years they've seen him as the best option with that. He is huge, but slow off the ball, and just tries to ram it straight ahead with a high pad level. Malcolm Brown is clearly more able to get one-yard than Cody ever will be. Malcolm is very hard to bring down because of his tremendous power and balance, and he has far better vision than Cody if he needs to make an adjustment on a clogged hole. It just makes no sense and will continue to plague Texas on short-yardage vs. strong defensive teams. They just won't make the switch as much as it sucks to sit through.