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Author: [Nascar] Topic: Martinsville Race Discussion
madshooter72 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 3/26/2012 2:18:02 PM
Been awol the last 2 weeks due to being in Puerto Rico for my daughters karate tourny and lack of caring for the Cali race. Now we get my personal favorite track, Love this place.....if you ever get a chance to go, do it...you won't regret it.


I think we are lucky to see value on maybe 1 or 2 drivers this week. I will set the odds right now for the favs, think it will look like this

Hamlin @ +450
JJ @ +450
Gordon @ +700
Harvick @ +800

They will probably have everyone else at +900 or higher, Figure Jr will be around the +900 - +1200 mark.


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#2
Posted: 3/26/2012 2:20:32 PM
I will post odds when they are out tomm.,


Longshot to keep an eye on is Burton, pretty much home track for him and he has run well here in the past, just hasn't had the finsihes.

Trucks, no idea who is running what, but I will be on Peters for sure....I think the truck race should be very exciting .
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#3
Posted: 3/26/2012 3:43:37 PM
Agree totally on Burton...great one to bet on in the matchups. 

Interesting bit of info on this track...in the last 2 years (4 races) Ford's have a grand total of 6 top 10 finishes, and they haven't won a race there since 2002.  Guys like Kenseth, Biffle and Edwards have been hot this year...in the matchups we might get some pretty good odds betting against them this week. 
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#4
Posted: 3/26/2012 4:45:40 PM
shooter,

nailed it on the head. Also isn't Stewart good here as well.

I know the Hendrick cars will be beyond strong with Denny up there as well. 

think Denny or JJ get it done
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#5
Posted: 3/26/2012 4:46:03 PM
also this race will show what the 24 machine is made of as he usually owns this track
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#6
Posted: 3/26/2012 5:05:53 PM
Shooter been to this track over 15 times, its always exciting with alot of beating & banging! Think u hit the favs on the head, but id throw matt kenseth in also. Got a feeling he finishes in top 3, ill for sure c who he is matched up with(have to rely on matchups looks like i can't pick a race winner). Yes u can count on burton having a good showing, always seems to run well here! should b a good one, cant wait!
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#7
Posted: 3/26/2012 5:10:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kouz:

Shooter been to this track over 15 times, its always exciting with alot of beating & banging! Think u hit the favs on the head, but id throw matt kenseth in also. Got a feeling he finishes in top 3, ill for sure c who he is matched up with(have to rely on matchups looks like i can't pick a race winner). Yes u can count on burton having a good showing, always seems to run well here! should b a good one, cant wait!


You going this weekend?   I love that place and espeically the hot dogs. GL with your plays this weekend.
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#8
Posted: 3/26/2012 5:11:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PennStateMan077:

also this race will show what the 24 machine is made of as he usually owns this track


agreed, if Jeff doesn't have a good run this weekend, he is going to be in for a long year.
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#9
Posted: 3/26/2012 5:16:24 PM
Shooter that bologna sandwich aent bad either, dont know yet got to work out of town, wont be 1 1/2 hours from track! if i can slide away may try to go but it will probaly be a last minute decision. Boy could i tell some stories from that campground behind the track back in the day!
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#10
Posted: 3/26/2012 7:26:56 PM
I've been there twice and loved it. the hotdogs are phenomenal. gotta get em all the way .

Fade the BIFF this weeek. HE suckksssss at the paper clip
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#11
Posted: 3/26/2012 8:40:33 PM

I will be the 24 and 88

Think we'll have some descent value with both Shooter.Although I hope we  get a little better than  7-1 with Jeff.

.

 

 

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#12
Posted: 3/26/2012 8:44:15 PM
i will take smoke at + $ over any driver in a match up at m.ville   think denny and jj open at +450 and tony +500  with gordon and kyle around +650    sleeper pk besides jr as i think every1 will b playing him is mcmurray..    Biffle will STRUGGLE!!!!    bol 2 all this weekend
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#13
Posted: 3/26/2012 9:23:18 PM
harvick at probably even or +150  in truck race and sauter at hopefully 8 or 10-1  for me  2 win the truck race..   be interesting 2 watch jeb burton making his debut.
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#14
Posted: 3/27/2012 12:46:56 PM

Sprint Cup   Goodys Fast Relief 500
Fri 3/30  12:30PM

Denny Hamlin   +550
Jimmie Johnson   +550
Kyle Busch   +650
Tony Stewart   +675
Jeff Gordon   +750
Kevin Harvick   +950
Carl Edwards   +1600
Dale Earnhardt Jr   +1600
Brad Keselowski   +1600
Kasey Kahne   +2200
Ryan Newman   +2700
Clint Bowyer   +2700
Jeff Burton   +3300
Matt Kenseth   +3300
Jamie McMurray   +3300
Martin Truex Jr   +3800
Greg Biffle   +3800
AJ Allmendinger   +3800

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#15
Posted: 3/27/2012 12:48:26 PM

Locked in

Jr, Burton and Kenseth for longshots.

 

Probably gonna hit JJ and Denny now, don't see them going up higher, only gong down.

I don't like Smoke here at all this weekend, I do like Gordon to bounce back.

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#16
Posted: 3/27/2012 12:54:26 PM

FWIW,

 

Stewart has led 15 of the last 2000 laps at Martinsville....Not very impressive to me and with only 1 top 20 in those 4 races.

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#17
Posted: 3/27/2012 1:10:26 PM
how about kurt busch 100-1 i think the field at 20-1 is worth a little sprinkle..  u r getting 25 cars which is a very big field and getting some decent equipment  gibbs,childress,egr, kurt busch and vickers..   never no what could happen at 1 of these short tracks if we were to have a 8 car pile up and take out a few of the big names..  can't wait 4 match up's to b posted..  bol 2 all
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#18
Posted: 3/27/2012 1:11:46 PM
give it another 2 or 3 weeks and allmendinger  will get moved to the field..
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#19
Posted: 3/27/2012 7:45:24 PM
sportsbook posted there match up's   dimes will probably post 2morrow..   2 auto plays 4 me will b  smoke-kyle -110  newman- jr +150  jr. should never b -170 over newman on a flat track..  there were 3 or 4 other match up's that jumped out at me jj-harvick -150  kenseth-biffle -125   burton-carl -125 mcmurray-truex -110   best of luck 2 all hope 4 a 2-0 weekend and hit the winner....
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#20
Posted: 3/27/2012 10:30:36 PM
Newman at +150 has alot of value for sure.....


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#21
Posted: 3/28/2012 12:28:19 AM

I like 88 and 48 top 3's

 

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#22
Posted: 3/28/2012 12:35:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by boberts427:

I like 88 and 48 top 3's

 

   what r they?
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#23
Posted: 3/28/2012 11:39:34 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by stats1:

   what r they?

i won't have odds until friday, i (use calientte) If the 48 has a dominate qualifying i might just play him, with all of the middle of the pack crashes i dont know if im going to play any match-ups. 48 team is getting back on track, if they would have done a little better at the restarts last week they would have been top3 there as well

i think we are due for a lagano or montoya crash

 

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#24
Posted: 3/28/2012 2:52:58 PM
showing jj top 3 +140   jr +450      kenseth +1200 looks decent.. best of luck buddy
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#25
Posted: 3/28/2012 4:05:14 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by stats1:

showing jj top 3 +140   jr +450      kenseth +1200 looks decent.. best of luck buddy

thanks buddy  if im getting +120-+140 i dont see allot of "vaule" on it, but I will still end up with 10 bucks on it.

Brad Keselowski     +600 T3 anyone see a value here?

 

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