Posted: 12/7/2012 10:57:18 PM
R1—If either one of Ward’s entry comes out of their layoff running, they will dust this field based on their Beyers. They will be less than even money & it looks like almost everyone has to go to the lead. So I’ll give #1 Sainted Dancer with Elvis up for owner/trainer Pinchin a look.
R2- looks like it will be between Shug & Pletcher. Maybe Zito surprises but I doubt it.
R3- WTF? # 6 Goldsome has ran 3rd 8 out of 12 races. Maybe he needs a 2 mile race to break his maiden. Love the Javier/Wolfson combo on # 4 Full Cry but being away 10 mths even with the nice works makes me shy away. Will probably end up on # 8 Distortonist; love the breeding & Johnny V up. Like his closing style. They will have Rosario on #9 Lasso for Clement.
R4-Ward has another big entry here with Rosario named on both; we all know one will scratch & go off as the fav. BTW..He owns them both. I like #3 Over and Back with Lezcano up for Cibelli; like the Discreet Cat breeding & his closing style. I also like # 9 Prima Zip with Loco Paco riding for his mentor trainer Plesa. He gave Paco tons of rides as an apprentice @ Calder yeares ago & still put him on live horses. This one won by 10 in his only outing. This could be the tri right here.
R5- Taking a shot with #8 Joes Blazin Aaron; he’s 2 for 2 on GP’s grass.
R6..Trainer Bobby Hess seems to be the only trainer still willing to put Kent D up on his horses; he’s on # 6 Let’s Do It here. Must be some history between them. The Ramseys are always live & Catalano has Joe Rocco up on # 7 Live In Joy; been away 9 mths. So I’m going with a longshot in # 9 No Play. Elvis has been on him for his only 2 turf wins; he’s won already this meet for trainer Elizabeth Gray & I like the 20-1 odds. Lezcano looks tough on #10 Silver Rock. I’ll play some combo of these.
R7-Can’t get my eyes off the ML fav # 5 Pushthebuttonmax & the Lanarie/Kennally combo. His last win was pretty impressive & stretches out here.
R8—I think #1 Scenario Analysis may be Chad Brown’s first runner of the meet. This filly has 2 wins & a 3rd out of 4 tries on GP’s turf. I think #5 Starship Pegasus has a shot here as well. Trainer/owner Steve Dwsokin is a mainstay @ Calder & has a bunch of “Starship” horse named after his stable. He’s attracted Javier because he’s had 4 solid races in a row; like the ML15-1 odds. Trainer has Rosario not Kent D on #6 Kadaya from France & has been away a year. She looks mighty solid. Mott has old man Prado on #10 Star Torina who had a nice race here last year. I like these four.
R9- I was a fan of #5 Honey Chile here last year but those last 2 were real stinkers. Trainer Marty Wolfson has 3 entered in the race but I don’t think he can beat #6 Dust and Diamonds for Pletch/Johnny V. I’ll probably the #6 with Wolfson’s three.
R10- Looks like a Pletcher late DD to me. But I will cover myself with #8 Tapit to Me & #12 Thus.
Hope this helps. BOL to all…