|A couple of small scores on exactas and Calidioscope fell in my lap after Worth Repeating scratched. So I had a decent WP bet on him and made a few bucks. Two plays I gave out here were piss poor. Mark Casse horse Spring Venture was given little shot by a suspect ride from pat Husbands and SKy Lantern ran into a wall of horses .
Posted: 11/2/2012 9:35:47 PM
Filly and Mare turf was not much better. One thing I learned is that the Euros are really not running well on the lightning fast turf course in ARid Southern Cal as opposed to last year where they did suprisingly well. Maybe their crop just is not that good this year.
Anyways today i have a few bombs that I thinkw ill be live. So lets get into it
13 Unbridled Note - I
am prone to take a horse who has a race over the downhill surface and
has had success than those who have not. Has run well in two previous
dirt starts. including third in Amsterdam and Kings Bishop
10 Corporate Jungle -
Certainly no shame in running second to Wise Dan . They say the mile
turn back on the hill is a good one. Chad Brown is a materful trainer
and will win one here over the weekend. Could this be the one.
7 Rennesgotzip - The
bounce off the big effort off layoff was predictable. Has had a month
to sharpen up and the wise guys are on board for this one. I think if
the synthetic form translates to the turf this one is live.
California Flag must be respected as a former champ and distance and
surface specialist Also Mizdirection is a horse with a shot.
8 Fortify - We
saw Hightail win the juvenile race as the horse who had run without
Lasix. This one has spent its short career without Lasix in all three
starts. That may be all the advantage this one needs with Ramon aboard
and going two turns for the first time.
1 Title Contender -
I am taking the higher priced Baffert horse here A :59 bullet work and
310K son of Pulpit. I am not sold on the competition that Power Broker
faced in that G1 and why did it take so long to put this one on the
dirt? First call Jockey Martin Garcia gets mount and this one could be
forgotten on tote.
4 Shanghai Bobby - Only
question is two turns. This one is undefeated and has done it
convincingly. Champagne was an impressive race and this could be a real
they fly up front 6 Dynamic Sky will have a shot at a price with a
strong closing run. Will use underneath mostly.Power Broker can win but I
have a hard time falling head over heels for a horse who was pointed to
turf for 2 of 3 starts before trying dirt.
11 Amazombie - Won
this last year and has beaten capital account when in good form.
Probably needed the last and should give a big account of himself in
this one . Big shot at repeating.
10 Smiling Tiger
In the money 7 of 7 at this distance. Ran well in True North to be 3rd
after troubled start. That one took a lot out of him I am guessing and
the next start was bad and then the layoff. Working well up to this and
has Ramon aboard. Has beaten Amazombie before and If you are going to
win a race like this off a layoff its probably the sprint.
6 Fast Bullet - Eye
popping workouts. This one will have lead as they turn for home can he
hold it off a big layoff I am n ot sure but doubt Baffert enters him
here if he isnt live. Big price on a good horse that may be a beast at
the age of 4. Speightstown colts are rock solid.
I also thin Flat out or Ron the Greek takes the Classic making Bill Mott the winner of both ends of Classic double.
Game on Dude is a terrible bet IMO . He could not win this last year against Drosselmeyer. This field is much better than that and he is the same horse who is probably better suited for 1 1/8th mile.
Good luck and hit them hard ... Redemption day is Saturday.