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Author: [Horse Racing] Topic: Smith and Bode
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#26
Posted: 4/11/2012 3:56:09 PM

The trainer of Ever So Lucky called him a "natural miler" in that article.  

Don't like the sound of that.  Maybe 9 furlongs in the Bluegrass is too far for him.    Was impressive at 8.5 in the Kentucky Jockey Club though.  


He's in with Hansen and Dullahan and Holy Candy and Prospective so doesn't look like Ever So Lucky is going to do so well.     

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#27
Posted: 4/11/2012 4:17:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by handikapper1:

o Secret Circle is probably the most under-the-radar Bob Baffert-trainer colt with multiple stakes wins in the history of the Hall of Fame conditioner’s career. Most horses with Secret Circle’s resume for this trainer would be an overwhelming favorite for the Derby at this stage, but Secret Circle just can’t seem to shake the idea that he’s a sprinter. It doesn’t help that back in February Jason Shandler and Brad Free both quoted Baffert as saying that Secret Circle isn’t a Derby horse. Still, a big win in Arkansas certainly would suppress his price.
Baffert always known for winning with the uncoupled higher odds hidden entry-
Secret Circle is the rabbit for Bodemiester
who needs the graded win-Positive Jock change
to Stakes Jock Smith the giantkiller it all adds up to a Winners Circle Pic-then Kentucky
its not a puzzle-Bode is Baffert's best shot at
Derby 2012-ala Indian Charlie-who was best to
Real Quiet



The problem with this theory is that Bodemeister has never been more than a length from the pace at any call of any of the 3 races he has run.      The guys up above were just talking about how it was a disaster when Baffert tried to bring The Factor off the pace.   Bodemeister has never run from off the pace except 1 length, which isn't off the pace.  

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#28
Posted: 4/11/2012 5:35:45 PM

They made Optimizer 30-1 in the morning line.   

He was 3/4th of a length behind Secret Circle last race who is 5-2.

Oaklawn morning line maker



1) Cozzetti, Jose Lezcano, 15-1

2) Stat, John Velazquez, 10-1

3) Najjaar, Calvin Borel, 15-1

4) Jake Mo, Cliff Berry, 30-1

5) Secret Circle, Rafael Bejaraon, 5-2

6) Isn’t He Clever, Robby Albarado, 6-1

7) Optimizer, Jon Court, 30-1

8) Atigun, Terry Thompson, 30-1

9) Sabercat, Corey Nakatani, 15-1

10) Raconteur, Chris DeCarlo, 15-1

11) Bodemeister, Mike Smith, 9-5.


I didn't even know this below when I was talking about Optimizer up above.  He's got a jockey who knows what he's doing in this race.        ARTICLE



"Leading the local contingent is Bluegrass Hall’s Optimizer, out to continue his momentum shown at the end of the Rebel. He would give jockey Jon Court his third straight Arkansas Derby victory following Line of David and Archarcharch."    

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#29
Posted: 4/11/2012 5:44:15 PM

ArchArchArch came from way out of it, just like Optimizer is going to do.  He was 25-1.  CHART


Line Of David went wire to wire.   He was 17-1.   CHART


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#30
Posted: 4/11/2012 5:53:08 PM
Well, with Bodemeister drawing post 11, he has no choice but to go right up with the pace. You cannot risk being caught 4-5 wide at Oaklawn... that is a recipe for disaster. Luckily, there isn't much speed in the 4 or 5 slots to his left so he should be able to get decent position, 2-3 wide running just off the pacesetters into the first turn.

Some interesting horses in this race for me...

1) Cozzetti - ran a decent 3rd in the Tampa Bay Derby for Dale Romans, 2nd off the layoff, 3 very sharp steady 5 furlong workouts and Lezcano sticks with him. 15-1 on the morning line is good value for these connections.

3) Najjaar - 2 for 3 at Oaklawn, was wayyyy back in the Rebel, but love the comment, Widest drive, belated in the Form. Horse made up a lot of ground in a short time. Owned by Shadwell Stables and ridden by Bo-rail who should take advantage of a good post position. Wouldn't be surprised to see this one hit the board but he will need to be much closer.

10) Sabercat - Horse has plenty of earnings, so the last race wasn't to win, he obviously needed the race, and his effort wasn't terrible. Very solid connections and Nakatani stays aboard. Have to believe we will see a much better effort from this guy on Saturday.

Optimizer will get too much play coming out of the Rebel IMO. I would much rather play Sabercat or Najjaar at 15-1 than Optimizer at 4 or 5-1. He does have Jon Court who has won the last 2 Ark Derby's, but no rider has ever won 3 in a row.

Bode is the logical choice and deserving favorite even with the wide draw, but there will be plenty of value underneath. Should be a good race!
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#31
Posted: 4/11/2012 5:54:42 PM
Grey, Optimizer is 6-1 on the ML, not sure where you saw 30-1?

 11  5  6  7  2  1  3  9  10  4  8 

 Bodemeister  Smith M E   118     9-5 
 Secret Circle  Bejarano R   122     5-2 
 Isn't He Clever  Albarado R   122     6-1 
 Optimizer  Court J K   118     6-1 
 Stat  Velazquez J R   118     10-1 
 Cozzetti  Lezcano J   118     15-1 
 Najjaar  Borel C H   118     15-1 
 Sabercat  Nakatani C S   122     15-1 
 Raconteur  DeCarlo C P   122     15-1 
 Jake Mo  Berry M C   122     30-1 
 Atigun  Thompson T J   118     30-1

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#32
Posted: 4/11/2012 8:14:34 PM
Isn't He Clever is interesting here. New Jockey after a awful ride in the Sunland Derby.
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#33
Posted: 4/11/2012 9:23:31 PM

Horse sense Blog:  Optimizer Hall of Famer D. Wayne Lukas is a four-time Kentucky Derby winner and is tied with legendary trainer Sunny Jim Fitzsimmons for most Triple Crown race victories (13). He has won 18 Breeders’ Cup races, owns four Eclipse Awards for outstanding trainer and was the first trainer to earn more than $100 million in purse money. Simply put, Lukas is one of the greatest conditioners of high-quality Thoroughbreds of all time.

At 76, Lukas could be forgiven if he decided to slow down his training operation, but the man’s work ethic won’t allow him to take a break. In 2011, he won the Oaklawn Park training title and he is always on the prowl for another 3-year-old that can take him back to Louisville for the Kentucky Derby.

If Optimizer runs well in Saturday’s Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn, Lukas may have yet another Kentucky Derby starter.

Optimizer was foaled in Kentucky on March 8, 2009. He is from the first crop of English Channel, the champion turf male of 2007. English Channel raced exclusively on turf during his 23-race career. He won at distances ranging from 1 1/16 miles to 12 furlongs and prevailed in such Grade 1 races as the United Nations Stakes (two-time winner, established course records on both occasions), the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Invitational Stakes (two-time winner), the Woodford Reserve Turf Classic Stakes, and the Breeders’ Cup Turf (established a course record). English Channel received 15 triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures from his 22 starts in North America. His career-best number was the 111 earned in the Breeders’ Cup Turf.

At stud, English Channel has also sired Star Channel, a stakes winner on turf. Blueskiesnrainbows, another son of English Channel, finished third in last week’s Santa Anita Derby.

Optimizer’s female family boasts some strong dirt runners. His dam, Indy Pick, won twice on dirt and was able to stretch her ability to nine furlongs. Indy Pick is by A.P. Indy, the winner of the Belmont Stakes at 12 furlongs and the Breeders’ Cup Classic at 1 ¼ miles. She is also a half-sister to Finder’s Fee, the winner of the Grade 1 Matron Stakes and Grade 1 Acorn Stakes, both contested around a one-turn mile at Belmont; New Way, stakes-placed at five furlongs at Prairie Meadows; and Treasure Island, a multiple Grade 2-placed router on the NYRA circuit. Another of Indy Pick’s half-siblings, Tax Ruling, won three Grade 1 events going long over hurdles.

Optimizer’s second dam, Fantastic Find (by Mr. Prospector), won the Grade 1 Hempstead Handicap on dirt. The third dam, Blitey (by Riva Ridge), won the Grade 2 Maskette Stakes and Grade 2 Test Stakes. This is the female family of Grade 1 winners Dancing Spree (Breeders’ Cup Sprint) and Furlough (Ballerina Handicap).

Optimizer made his career debut in a maiden special weight on turf at Saratoga on Aug. 6, 2011. Dismissed at 27-1 in the field of 10, Optimizer raced greenly. He was far back while in the two path on the backstretch and was blindswitched entering the final turn. He advanced five wide late on that bend and spun widest in upper stretch. Ridden that afternoon by Robby Albarado, Optimizer rallied down the center of the course to win by a neck. Sabercat, the eighth-place finisher, would eventually win the Delta Jackpot.

Since that debut, Optimizer has yet to win. He made his first start against winners in the Grade 2 With Anticipation Stakes at the Spa, but couldn’t overcome the slow pace set by gate-to-wire winner State of Play. Optimizer gave a bold challenge in upper stretch only to fall a half-length short. As in his debut, Optimizer was a bit late to make his final lead change, but he still finished ahead of Dullahan, the next-out winner of the Grade 1 Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland.

Optimizer also started in the Breeders’ Futurity, his first start on the main track. He was outsprinted in the early going, made a three-wide bid entering the far turn and was in contention as the field turned for home. Optimizer was in behind horses in midstretch and was forced to angle to the far outside, but he didn’t make his final lead change until past the sixteenth pole. He rallied over the Keeneland polytrack to finish third, 2 ¼ lengths ahead of Take Charge Indy, the recent winner of the Grade 1 Florida Derby.

Optimizer made his first start on dirt in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at Churchill Downs on Nov. 5, but never got involved, finishing eighth after an awkward beginning. He did finish ahead of three next-out winners, however, in Alpha (recently second in the Wood Memorial), Daddy Long Legs (winner of the UAE Derby), and Prospective (recent winner of the Tampa Bay Derby).

Optimizer kicked off his 3-year-old campaign with off-the-board finishes in both the $100,000 Smarty Jones Stakes at Oaklawn Park and the Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds.

Undaunted by the disappointing efforts, Lukas soldiered on and was rewarded with a runner-up performance in the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn on March 17. In the Rebel, Optimizer saved ground in midpack for the first five furlongs before angling out on the final turn. He was widest turning for home and rallied well for second behind favored Secret Circle despite failing to switch leads in the stretch.

Optimizer doesn’t have the swiftest break from the starting gate and he is often at the mercy of race and pace luck. If he does start in the Kentucky Derby, he would likely have to weave his way around the majority of the field. His lead changes aren’t smooth and that’s something he must work on if he is to beat top-class competition at classic distances.

Still, Optimizer received a career-best 91 Beyer Speed Figure in the Rebel and looks to be rounding into his best form. Lukas has always maintained that Optimizer will improve as the distances increase and the Arkansas Derby will be his first start at nine furlongs. We all know that Lukas wants nothing more than to get back to the Derby. If Optimizer has enough graded earnings, he’s going, perhaps even as an “Under the Radar” contender.

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#34
Posted: 4/11/2012 9:36:45 PM

M.Smith is already on another fireball

http://www.drf.com/news/oaklawn-mamma-kimbo-wires-fantasy-stakes

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#35
Posted: 4/12/2012 11:56:50 AM

That is a very nice writeup of Optimizer.   

It's just like I said,  he's been racing with and been very close to a lot of the top 3 yr olds.

And I just love that he finally showed his first signs of life this year in his last race.    I was on him in the Risen Star thinking he was about to wake up and looks like I was one race early.

Won't take less than 9-2 though.   

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#36
Posted: 4/12/2012 12:04:31 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Johnnyg7:

Grey, Optimizer is 6-1 on the ML, not sure where you saw 30-1?




He was listed at 30-1 at a some sites when it first came out, including Bloodhorse and Oaklawn's own website.   Take a look at the bottom of both articles.    Not sure what happened.   


ARTICLE

ARTICLE

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#37
Posted: 4/12/2012 12:20:49 PM
Had some drinks 
At night with mike smith , Jon court and smiths valet . But better than that  at our table was earlie fires . Smith was non committal but Jon told his horse was kicking the barn down . I keep you posted on what I hear . We all hang out at Crosswalk bar across from the track . It was a lotta fun 
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#38
Posted: 4/12/2012 12:23:04 PM
Better watch atigun too . That's John Ed anthonys horse and
 He's trying to get back to the derby . Heard he's working really well 
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#39
Posted: 4/12/2012 12:41:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by popinpil:

Had some drinks 
At night with mike smith , Jon court and smiths valet . But better than that  at our table was earlie fires . Smith was non committal but Jon told his horse was kicking the barn down . I keep you posted on what I hear . We all hang out at Crosswalk bar across from the track . It was a lotta fun 




I usually don't believe stuff like this when I read it on Covers unless I see some proof, like a picture or something because let's face it, anybody can come on here and make up any story and post it.  And plenty of people do.    


I'm not saying you're lying though.

Very possible it's true.   Also very possible it's not true.     

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#40
Posted: 4/13/2012 12:19:59 PM

New Article

The final round of the Kentucky Derby preps are upon us. After Saturday, let the games, and the hype, begin.

Blue Grass Stakes

This is the race where we find out what Hansen is all about. With so much early speed in here, he will get the perfect opportunity to rate, not just off of one pacesetter but possibly several. If he can, and then prove he can go nine furlongs, there is a good chance he goes into the Derby as the favorite—and probably deservedly so.

It’s a tough call. Hansen is the most talented horse in the race, but he’ll also be close to even money. From a handicapping perspective he’s worth trying to beat, in my opinion. Whether you agree with me or not, he’s probably a must use in all trifectas and supers.

I’m taking Dullahan for the win. He’s be the second choice—probably somewhere around 5-1—which is pretty good value on a horse that won a grade I over this track last year and had a very good tune-up for the Blue Grass in the Palm Beach. He had a very sharp work at Keeneland on Sunday and is ready to fire a big race. With all the early speed in here, he should sit mid-pack and be in a perfect position to make a winning move around the turn.

If the track seems to be playing toward speed on Saturday, I’ll probably use Politicallycorrect and Ever So Lucky. Prospective is also a horse I’ve liked all along, and so I’ll make sure to include him in my wagers.

Wesley Ward is already off to a great start at Keeneland; his horses seem to always fire and Politicallycorrect ran a big optional claimer last out at Gulfstream with a career best speed figure. His work on Saturday was the best of 70 at the distance.

Ever So Lucky might be stretching his limits here but I think he is well meant. Jonathan Sheppard already said he’s unlikely for the Derby—even if he wins—so I don’t think they are taking any kind of last gasp stab in here. They feel like he belongs.

Prospective might not be fast enough to beat these, but he’s as consistent as they come and deserves to be in all exotics.

Arkansas Derby

Bodemeister from post 11 as the favorite in just his fourth start doesn’t do it for me. Stat should put enough pressure on him up front that he doesn’t get an easy trip (and I actually like Stat better in this spot). I would think Secret Circle would be in the mix again; he already has two wins over the track and there is no reason to think he won’t run well again. I’ll use him, but not to win.

I’m staying with Isn’t He Clever, who I picked in the Sunland Derby. He ran huge that day, but was caught late by Daddy Nose Best in the late stages. He’s tactical and should be able to sit a good trip just off the leaders. He already has a good nine-furlong test under his belt and has a sharp work since that last race. Blinkers come off.

Closers seem to have a tough time at Oaklawn and I think the best horses in this race are the ones that can stay fairly close to the pace. That said, I’ll use Optimizer and Sabercat in the bottom half of exotics, and probably Cozetti.

Sabercat is going to the Derby regardless of his finish on Saturday, but I think you’ll see an improved effort from him in his second start off his layoff. Optimizer’s late Rebel run might have been a fluke, but maybe Lukas has another run in him. Cozetti is one that Romans has liked all along. He’ll probably race mid-pack and try to make a late move.

They will all have trouble running down Secret Circle and Isn’t he Clever, in my opinion. Pletcher’s Stat is the wild card in here. He ran a big number last time in his allowance romp at Gulfstream. If he can carry his speed, he could pop at a big price.

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#41
Posted: 4/13/2012 12:28:29 PM

HOT SPRINGS, Ark. (Oaklawn) -- Eleven 3-year-olds are set for Saturday's $1 million Arkansas Derby (G1) led by the Bob Baffert-trained duo of Bodemeister and Secret Circle as the top two betting choices, with the latter looking to sweep Oaklawn's major prep races after wins earlier this season in the $250,000 Southwest Stakes (G3) and $500,000 Rebel Stakes (G2).

The marquee race will anchor a 12-race card, that also features the $250,000 Count Fleet Sprint Handicap (G3) and $400,000 Oaklawn Handicap (G2). First post is 12 noon and the Derby will be at 5:45 p.m. (CDT). It is part on a one-hour national broadcast from 5 - 6 p.m. (CDT) on CNBC.

Zayat Stable's Bodemeister, named in honor of the trainer's son Bode, enters the Arkansas Derby off a narrow loss to the highly regarded Creative Cause in the San Felipe Stakes (G2) at Santa Anita March 10. That strong effort came just one race after breaking his maiden by 9 ¼ lengths in his second career start. He will have to call on all his talents after drawing post 11 under Hall of Fame rider Mike Smith, who became the newest member of the 5,000-win club last weekend.

Secret Circle, owned by Mike Pegram, Karl Watson and Paul Weitman, drew post 5 and will have regular rider Rafael Bejarano back on board. He will vie for favoritism from his stablemate after his earlier wins this season. In the Rebel, he showed a new dimension when he sat off the early pace and held off the late charge by Optimizer to win his first race over one mile.

"Secret Circle has been getting the distance so far," said Baffert. "He hasn't shown me he can't get it - they can all get it until they show you they can't."

"This'll be a good race with some nice horses in there," he continued. "I think Bodemiester will be tough. These are two really good horses and even though I don't like to get ahead of myself, it's always special just to have a horse that has a chance in the Kentucky Derby, so hopefully we wind up with one of those on Saturday."

Arriving from the east coast were Stat and Raconteur from the barn of Todd Pletcher and Cozzetti from the barn of Dale Romans. Pletcher won the 2000 and 2001 Arkansas Derby with Graeme Hall and Balto Star, respectively and won his first Kentucky Derby with 2010 runner-up Super Saver.

Leading the local contingent is Bluegrass Hall's Optimizer, out to continue his momentum shown at the end of the Rebel. He would give jockey Jon Court his third straight Arkansas Derby victory following Line of David and Archarcharch.

Two other colts who could get overlooked in the wagering, but have legitimate credentials are Jake Mo and Najjaar. Jake Mo will be the only colt to compete in all four of Oaklawn's 3-year-old races having already finished fourth in the Smarty Jones, second in the first division of the Southwest won by Secret Circle's stablemate Castaway and fourth in the Rebel. Najjaar won two straight allowance races, including one over older horses prior to finishing sixth in the Rebel after a poor break. He drew post 3 and will have the services of jockey Calvin Borel.

"We'll just let him run his race," said trainer Danny Peitz of Najjaar. In 2006, he trained Steppenwolfer to a runner-up finish in Arkansas and a third-place finish in the Kentucky Derby. "Calvin knows the horse, he's ridden him enough times. We just want an honest pace, that's all we're looking for. We have no wiggle room here. With Steppenwolfer, I thought if we were second, we'd make the Kentucky Derby. But we need to win, so we've gotta go out and get it done. It's always tough - a million dollars, a grade one race, they don't give those kind away - but I'm expecting a big race. The farther, the better. I think the mile and an eighth is just what we've been waiting for."

The complete field for the $1 million Arkansas Derby (G1), in post-position order, with riders and morning line odds: Cozzetti, Jose Lezcano, 15-1; Stat, John Velazquez, 10-1; Najjaar, Calvin Borel, 15-1; Jake Mo, Cliff Berry, 30-1; Secret Circle, Rafael Bejaraon, 5-2, Isn't He Clever, Robby Albarado, 6-1; Optimizer, Jon Court, 30-1; Atigun, Terry Thompson, 30-1; Sabercat, Corey Nakatani, 15-1; Raconteur, Chris DeCarlo, 15-1, and Bodemeister, Mike Smith, 9-5.

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#42
Posted: 4/13/2012 12:30:36 PM

Bob Baffert’s Arkansas Shuttle keeps rolling, likely carrying a couple of his 3-year-old colts to the Kentucky Derby in less than seven weeks.

The Hall of Fame trainer had another successful weekend at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Ark., with Secret Circle winning the $500,000 Rebel Stakes by three-quarters of a length over fast-closing Optimizer on Saturday.

The bay colt will return to California this week but is scheduled to be shuttled back for the $1 million Arkansas Derby on April 7 and shoot for an Oaklawn sweep. Secret Circle won the second division of the Southwest Stakes last month, and Baffert’s Castaway won the first division.

Baffert has won the Rebel three years in a row — Lookin At Lucky won in 2010 and The Factor won last year — and improved his record at Oaklawn to an amazing 13 wins from 21 starts. In the last three years, his horses have won 10 of 13 starts.

With Secret Circle’s fifth win in six starts, the colt moves up to No. 4 on the latest AP Run to the Roses Top 10 list of Derby contenders. Union Rags, Hansen and El Padrino remain 1-2-3 as they get ready for their final preps before the Derby on May 5.

“He’s an unassuming horse when you watch him train, but he always shows up on the big days,” three-time Derby winner Baffert said of Secret Circle.

He added that the colt showed him a new dimension by stalking the leaders instead of going straight for the lead.

“The win was exciting and the way he did it was promising,” Baffert said. “It was a good schooling for him and I think he should get a lot out of it, although my guys tell me he was hardly blowing when he got back.”

Bodemeister, second in the San Felipe Stakes on March 10 and headed next to the Santa Anita Derby on April 7, is No. 8 and gives Baffert a second horse in the AP Top 10. Castaway is set to run this weekend in the Sunland Derby.

Also impressing last week was Gemologist, trainer Todd Pletcher’s unbeaten 3-year-old who won an allowance race at Gulfstream Park on Friday by seven lengths over Grade 1 stakes winner Currency Swap. Next stop on the bay colt’s road to Louisville probably will be the Wood Memorial at Aqueduct on April 7. Gemologist stays at No. 5 this week.

“He came off the layoff with a great performance. He was amazing. He did it on his own. He did it so easy,” Gemologist jockey Javier Castellano said. “I was very impressed; he did it the right way and he’s heading in the right direction.”

Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas may have a Derby contender of his own in Optimizer, who just missed catching Secret Circle in the Rebel. Lukas is a four-time Derby winner, his last being Charismatic in 1999.

“We are real proud,” Lukas said of his 27-1 long shot. “They only get longer and tougher from here.”

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#43
Posted: 4/13/2012 1:16:38 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Roused:

Oh and Smith is money on any major race. Bode will be favorite, I think.
  That is the reason for Smith getting the mount.  On a day to day race riding, Smith is not your man.  When it comes to the big money races, he does rise to the occasion and puts out his best effort, unlike everyday races.  When you get some age on yourself, it's hard to show up everyday with your best effort and I think that is the case with Smith.  Classic races are his motivation.
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#44
Posted: 4/13/2012 1:16:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Roused:

Oh and Smith is money on any major race. Bode will be favorite, I think.
  That is the reason for Smith getting the mount.  On a day to day race riding, Smith is not your man.  When it comes to the big money races, he does rise to the occasion and puts out his best effort, unlike everyday races.  When you get some age on yourself, it's hard to show up everyday with your best effort and I think that is the case with Smith.  Classic races are his motivation.
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#45
Posted: 4/13/2012 8:57:54 PM
Baffert removing blinkers and stating that Bodemeister is the speed is a curious duplex.I think Smith is on him to try to ration his speed or even rate him especially now that all the other speed is inside of him.He lost to Creative Cause coming out of a maiden he could be the best colt of this group, and if he wins impressively will help bettors of exotics by clouding the ranking order.
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#46
Posted: 4/13/2012 8:59:44 PM
Secret Circle really does go off at 5-2, that's a heck of a price for a colt with such credentials. Four for 5 with a close second to a horse that at the time was a top Derby contender (Out of Bounds--injury took him off the trail). Did someone say that Secret Circle was entered to set the pace for his stablemate? Huh?!?! If there were such a plan, it would be the reverse.

Optimizer ran the race of his career last out, and he will be overbet due to his big rally at the slightly shorter distance. SC is the class of this field. The only question is whether three straight all-out efforts this year will knock him off form.
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#47
Posted: 4/13/2012 9:01:41 PM
Secret Circle is in the Arkansas Derby to set pace. Baffert apparently wants a strong pace for his main horse Bodemeister who should win this comfortably from probably Optimizer.

If I were betting, my Exacta would be $500 Bodemeister/Optimizer straight and get a good return on my investment.
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#48
Posted: 4/13/2012 9:05:57 PM

from a BB Blog:

When I was attending the Santa Anita Derby last week , I went to the Baffert stable . Honestly , there really was not much Hype Talk about the Derby there from the barn . It was more about the health of Bob and the story that took place over in Dubai and the Arkansas Derby this coming Saturday in Bodemeister . There was so much talk about Bodemeister during the Derby week-end from the Baffert stable . Some What Surprising ! The word is : B O D E ! This race really doesnt trigger me much due to the fact a very lightly raced Colt in Bodemeister making a Stand in this big of a Stage G1 Arkansas Derby . I would like to see Bodemeister for Bob and Son Bode . But from what I have seen happening A L L Y E A R , OPTIMIEZER from coming out of last years Juvenile Breeders Cup is about the only Colt that has yet to make noise in making the Graded Earnings . So it would not surprise me one bit to see OPTIMIZER show up in a big way and find himself into the Derby picture . This race just doesnt appeal to me other than those two .

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#49
Posted: 4/14/2012 6:58:58 PM
Wow, what a performance. ! Smith non-committal now.
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#50
Posted: 4/14/2012 7:01:06 PM
Bodemiester looks like the horse to bet at the derby.
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