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Author: [Horse Racing] Topic: Santa Anita Park, Keeneland, and Aqueduct - 4/7
atlasshrugged send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
atlasshrugged
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#1
Posted: 4/7/2012 1:33:21 PM
NYRA race 3

9 WP

6/1 on the tote right now.  favs don't impress me taking a shot 2nd out for Chad he should improve and that guy jumps aboard as well. 
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#2
Posted: 4/7/2012 1:36:28 PM
 GL
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#3
Posted: 4/7/2012 1:39:00 PM
Looking to play NYRA races 3, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10.

Keeneland 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10.

Santa Anita 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, and 11.

All subject to passing based on tote.  Hoping for not too much chalk today but some of these have two or three that fit well.  Good luck to all.
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#4
Posted: 4/7/2012 1:42:30 PM
Also looking at NYRA late P4.  Guaranteed pool size and four straight grade stakes hooks me in.  But, not sure yet if any value or if worth hitting decent sized ticket. 
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#5
Posted: 4/7/2012 1:49:59 PM
Changes at Santa Anita:

No temp rail.

race 6 scratch the 3 (the so called Superman that took four spins to break his maiden and has top Beyer of 85).

race 7 scratch the 2.

race 8 scratch the 7 (never would have got the distance but would have taken money so I am not happy about this).

race 9 scratch the 4 and 7.

solid card in terms of quality of racing.  not sure about prices just gonna try and take what is there. 
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#6
Posted: 4/7/2012 1:59:20 PM
nope at aqueduct.

4 won at 5/1.  had figs that made sense didn't like how he ran evenly late and was still maiden after 7 tries.  went for the opportunity for improvement.  chalk was nowhere he struggled late going 6f and 7f terrible, terrible fav in that race. 
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#7
Posted: 4/7/2012 2:53:13 PM
arcadia 1

4 WP

7/2.  gotta get up in time.  2, 3, and maybe 6 should be out there with targets on their backs. 
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#8
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:03:26 PM
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#9
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:06:17 PM
keeneland 5

7 WP

8/1 on the board.  toughie head scratcher all sorts of questions.  either he takes them all the way up front or just off of it or he eats garbage
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#10
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:07:01 PM
arcadia

3/1 it's a start got bet late.

nah, raffy doesn't know what he's doing
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#11
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:08:54 PM
Nice start
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#12
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:13:20 PM
keeneland nope.  lezcano had the horse he was playing cutesie he should have just sent him and then see where the chips fall at the end.  didn't give him a chance.  Mott's horse as second choice won.  toughie there some nice horses but layoffs, iffy drops, all sorts of questions.
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#13
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:16:11 PM
planned on passing Arcadia race 2 thinking this 3 is 1/9.  sitting there at 5/2 right now.  hmmmm.  poker game.

wait a few minutes he'll be 3/5. 
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#14
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:23:17 PM
sticking to the plan.  passing arcadia 3.  something possibly fishy he's coming back quick.  i am thinking the trainer just needs a win for whatever reason (money, ego, etc.) cuz on figs this 3 destroys this field.  question on time since last (recency) and maybe distance.  just gonna pass. 
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#15
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:29:59 PM
aqueduct 6

9 WP
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#16
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:35:00 PM
Nice overlay
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#17
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:36:58 PM
NYRA

6/1 winner

splids
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#18
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:37:50 PM
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#19
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:38:22 PM
keeneland race 6

4 WP
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#20
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:40:12 PM
at NYRA race 6 the chalkie had very solid figs and the new trainer got Javier . . . . . . . but why hasn't he raced since january 28th?  if he's in such good form what are they waiting for?
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#21
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:44:46 PM
Keeneland Atlas.

long day.  correctly tossed that chalk after beating up on state breds among other questions I had.  gave the winner the 1 a long look but had concerns.  gave the 4 a shot felt the pattern was worth a shot at 7/1ish. 
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#22
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:50:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nyawk11:



thanks.  appreciate you stopping in.  just remember money management.  each play for me is 2-5% of daily bankroll.  i was at 3%-5% but I lowered it to 2% for races with more risk, etc.  unless i feel real good about something with some decent price added i might go 10-12% of the roll.  only did that twice this year and both hit one at 6/1 and one at 3/1.  not likely today.  again, thanks.
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#23
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:55:25 PM
arcadia 3

2 WP

gotta nail raffy/carla late that gelding will be out there with a big bullseye on him.  he's quick but can he hold on?  like i said gotta get a decent trip here and bring it late.  recency, late speed, stamina. 
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#24
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:58:41 PM
aqueduct 7

3 W
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#25
Posted: 4/7/2012 4:05:50 PM
santa anita

not much price but the horse killed them.  just trying to take what is there.
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