Posted: 9/22/2012 2:32:47 PM
Originally Posted by moasis
Here is an example from porky.
Saturday September 13th
BYU vs UCLA
BYU was -8.5 for the game.
At the half BYU is winning 42-0.
Second half line is BYU -1/2 thus presenting a possible 33 point middle.
If you have BYU in the game -8.5 you could now bet UCLA +1/2 for the second half and have a 33 point middle to hit both bets(Byu wins the game between 9 points and and 42 points).
I belive and have found that 75% of time it won't land in this middle, now you have to just bet the more logical side, is it more likely that BYU wins by 43 points or more or it more likely UCLA comes back to loose by less than 8.5 points?
I make a play on BYU -1/2 for the 2nd half and BYU wins the 2H 17-0 making the play a WINNER!
Moasis - I have been following NJPorky's system since last season and I believe you are correctly calculating the sides. Orion is treating the lines as absolute values and calculating the difference (ex. -8.5 to +7.5 = 1) when it should actually be treated as "real" values accounting for crossing the zero (-8.5 to +7.5 = 16). Key words here are "I believe." if anyone wants to be absolutely sure search some of NJPorky's previous threads and learn how to calculate the 2H lines yourself. It's your money don't trust anyone else with your funds.
I've been browsing covers for several years now without a username but felt the need to comment on this as I have seen several people trying to implement NJPorky's system.
Trust whoever you want but understand its your money on the line. BOL bettors.