This is my first play of the year for CBB. I've never been a regular better of college hoops any year but I usually have a few plays in by now,just being an action person.
This year I wasn't too interested and then pucks went from no season into high gear and I've been in a trance ever since. For tomorrow I have made my first play of the year right before the madness kicks off and honestly it has almost zero capping and is basically a pure homer play. Although I do like the coach,the program and that they start the tourney on familiar ground.
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MARCH MADNESS:
(1)MICH ST to win it all (baby) +2000 risking a half unit (to win 10)
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Now when it comes to the actual head to head games I still have zero knowledge of the teams (this season) and seriously couldn't name a single player in the tourney for the first time in a few years. And I have only a basic idea of whats going on with the programs but thats also from the past few years of d-gen'in through the madness and in this sport it rollover is crazy so things change a ton from year to year so my gameplan is not based on the teams.coaches and player but more on a few angles I think can be exploited.
And what has worked well in the past,albeit with more background knowledge of the teams is watching line movement and learning that these next few weeks attracts a bunch of public money and they love their faves and teams the "should" win based almost purely on their name and pedigree.
What I'm going to look for are FH ML dogs,and dogs on the spread for the entire game,potentially in the same game. Over the past few years I've learned (the hard way) that often heavy faves start the game tense,tired or they take their opponent for granted or who knows. But for whatever reason they come outta the gate slow and some decent ML dogs hit in the first half. Then the better team makes adjustments and settles in and does enough to get the win. And if it's in the early rounds they don't keep the hammer down and win the game but don't cover the big double digit spread perhaps trying to save their legs.
So long story relatively short I like dogs on the ML in the FH and then with the points for the game. And in certain spots on the ML for the game as well.
And I know it's not exactly the same but haven't we seen a pattern like this with the MIA HEAT a few times recently where they face a team thats JACKED to play them and hoping to knock the king off his throne ?? And they give a decent effort but by the time the final whistle goes the better team has the W. Maybe not a cover but a win which for underdog backs is just fine.
The CAVS and CELTS come to mind
Just a few thoughts,love to hear yours,BOL and may the madness begin. 
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