Posted: 8/28/2012 3:59:43 AM
Don't do it.
Geale has been steadily improving every fight adding more dimensions to his game and now he's at his physical and mental peak in the biggest fight of his career. Geale schooled Slyvester who has a similar style to Sturm. Geale's combination of angles, relaxed volume, and underrated boxing IQ is Sturm's kyrptonite. Sturm just had his best showing in his last fight but Sbzick fights nothing like Geale. Also keep in mind Sturm has been rocked in the past against the Spaniard Castello who has less power than Geale and is not as "tough"
As far as the judging goes, even though the fight is in Germany its a unification bout meaning the judges have to be approved by both sanctioning organizations. Still the judges can be swayed by the crowd and sentimental favorite but I don't expect completly biased scorecards. Geale will need to clearly win 8 rounds most likely to secure the decision but that's not as bad as having to "KO the opponent just to get a draw" (U know what I mean).
Regardless of the outcome I'm expecting a closely contested bout and I would give Geale the edge on nuetral turf.
The fight is in Sturm's backyard, he's coming off a great performance, and yet he's still not a -175 or above. That's not a misread that's respect being paid to Geale.