|Two interesting fights, even if the lines are a bit out of order...
Posted: 7/27/2012 7:35:03 PM
I like Lundy and find him very entertaining AND skillful. However, one simply can't trust him not to make himself vulnerable at points in the fight. He can be caught and dropped without question. Every time he could easily out skill a guy, he simply won't. You just can't teach some guys not to FIGHT - ask Amir Khan.
Beltran is a very good fighter. In fact, I would take a shot with him if he didn't have an uphill battle on the cards. I do feel this fight will be much closer than expected, as Beltran is going to come forward and attempt to close the distance and take his chances inside. Basically, that's his only shot tonight.
Given the fact that Beltran and Lundy should both be in striking range the majority of this fight and the fact that I can't wager on a live dog that won't win... I'm going to make a moderate wager on UNDER 9.5, +150, 8 units to win 12.
The undercard is the play I prefer tonight. Both Ennis and Pierson are somewhat passive counter punchers. Ennis is a solid favorite for a reason though, as he has more power and is more polished. I don't like laying 4/1 chalk when a guy isn't THAT much better and it's only a ten round fight with both guys being local.
All things considered, this should be a solid boxing exhibition. The over 7.5, -115, 11.5 units to win 10 is my play of the night.