If a 150 fav. loses the 1st set---what have you seen that has generally been the aprox in game live line at that point?
Also for an about a 168 fav. who loses the 1st set?
+ a 133 fav. who loses the 1st set?
All 3 guesses would be great.
Does the way the fav. he or she loses affect the odds----like the diff. between losing lets say in a 1st set tie breaker compared to being dominated 6-2 or 6-1?
If a 150 fav. loses the 1st set---what have you seen that has generally been the aprox in game live line at that point?
Also for an about a 168 fav. who loses the 1st set?
+ a 133 fav. who loses the 1st set?
All 3 guesses would be great.
Does the way the fav. he or she loses affect the odds----like the diff. between losing lets say in a 1st set tie breaker compared to being dominated 6-2 or 6-1?
It's tough to tell what's going to happen with lines in tennis. I've seen them swing a -500 to +325 in one game. Monfils v Elias. It wasn't that he lost the tie break and went down a break early in the 2nd set. It was his emotional breakdown. He was super pissed.
The margin of victory in the first set I don't think will have as much influence as the players forms. If the dog is smoking hot, they might figure he'll burn out in the second and come back to traditional form. If the fav is moving well but missing shots by a few inches, they might not think too much of it. If the fav is flat footed and launching ball out of bounds, into the net or even just showing signs of doubt, they'll think more about that than the score.
In the game of numbers however, a sleight fav at -150 is between a +120 to +170 to go 2-0. I can only imagine that number should be about the same if they drop the first set since the same challenge statistically is in front of them. -133 would be +160 to +190 prolly. At -170 maybe +110 to +130. I'm guessing at these but this is close approximation. I could be out to launch though.
It's tough to tell what's going to happen with lines in tennis. I've seen them swing a -500 to +325 in one game. Monfils v Elias. It wasn't that he lost the tie break and went down a break early in the 2nd set. It was his emotional breakdown. He was super pissed.
The margin of victory in the first set I don't think will have as much influence as the players forms. If the dog is smoking hot, they might figure he'll burn out in the second and come back to traditional form. If the fav is moving well but missing shots by a few inches, they might not think too much of it. If the fav is flat footed and launching ball out of bounds, into the net or even just showing signs of doubt, they'll think more about that than the score.
In the game of numbers however, a sleight fav at -150 is between a +120 to +170 to go 2-0. I can only imagine that number should be about the same if they drop the first set since the same challenge statistically is in front of them. -133 would be +160 to +190 prolly. At -170 maybe +110 to +130. I'm guessing at these but this is close approximation. I could be out to launch though.
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