I love these types of situations and always look for the opportunities....obviously better when one side isn't still so heavily favoured though.
There are 3 basic options:
-175 ~ 1.57
$50/0.57 = $87.72 on Serena (break even if Serena wins, profit on Mugu)
$400 on Serena x 1.57 = $628 (break even with Mugu win, profit on Serena. Prob not what you're going for if confident in Mugu)
$450/1.57 = $286.62 on Serena (in for $336, profit $114 guaranteed either way)
These are your 3 basics, full hedge on either side and one right in the middle. Ultimately you can choose any numbers in between as well depending on how you feel. Or if your book offers live betting you could ride it out and see if you can get a better # than -175 during the match if say Mugu takes the 1st set and recalculate your options.
Or just let it ride entirely lol...we're all here to gamble!
I love these types of situations and always look for the opportunities....obviously better when one side isn't still so heavily favoured though.
There are 3 basic options:
-175 ~ 1.57
$50/0.57 = $87.72 on Serena (break even if Serena wins, profit on Mugu)
$400 on Serena x 1.57 = $628 (break even with Mugu win, profit on Serena. Prob not what you're going for if confident in Mugu)
$450/1.57 = $286.62 on Serena (in for $336, profit $114 guaranteed either way)
These are your 3 basics, full hedge on either side and one right in the middle. Ultimately you can choose any numbers in between as well depending on how you feel. Or if your book offers live betting you could ride it out and see if you can get a better # than -175 during the match if say Mugu takes the 1st set and recalculate your options.
Or just let it ride entirely lol...we're all here to gamble!
Let it ride!! Serena is playing with a minor knock, and lacked serious movement today. Bertens is basically a server, and she should have won this match today. Mugu has a better all around game, and far better return game with more power on her ground strokes than Bertens. This is a match-up nightmare for Serena if each plays like like they did today. She will be forced to move and actually try to hit thru Mugu...which I don't see happening with the current court conditions.
Let it ride!! Serena is playing with a minor knock, and lacked serious movement today. Bertens is basically a server, and she should have won this match today. Mugu has a better all around game, and far better return game with more power on her ground strokes than Bertens. This is a match-up nightmare for Serena if each plays like like they did today. She will be forced to move and actually try to hit thru Mugu...which I don't see happening with the current court conditions.
Yeah I'm kinda with KBrick here, let it ride or at most just a minimum cover on Serena to win back the original $50 if she wins. She was really getting pushed by the limit by Yulia Putintseva in the QF and I have to say watching Serena lately, personally I think she has absolutely terrible body language. The way she plods around the court in between points is so lethargic, when she gets in a battle screaming a big "C'mon" after literally every point like it was the biggest point ever...I think she's slowing down and at 34 years old I think she knows it too. We could be in a great window of opportunity here for a limited time where Serena's odds are still very overvalued because of her perception as the greatest women player compared with her actual chances against top competition.
Side note...Serena has a 3-1 record against Mugu. The one win for Mugu...the only time they've played on clay, coincidentally at the French Open in 2014.
Yeah I'm kinda with KBrick here, let it ride or at most just a minimum cover on Serena to win back the original $50 if she wins. She was really getting pushed by the limit by Yulia Putintseva in the QF and I have to say watching Serena lately, personally I think she has absolutely terrible body language. The way she plods around the court in between points is so lethargic, when she gets in a battle screaming a big "C'mon" after literally every point like it was the biggest point ever...I think she's slowing down and at 34 years old I think she knows it too. We could be in a great window of opportunity here for a limited time where Serena's odds are still very overvalued because of her perception as the greatest women player compared with her actual chances against top competition.
Side note...Serena has a 3-1 record against Mugu. The one win for Mugu...the only time they've played on clay, coincidentally at the French Open in 2014.
Yeah I'm kinda with KBrick here, let it ride or at most just a minimum cover on Serena to win back the original $50 if she wins. She was really getting pushed by the limit by Yulia Putintseva in the QF and I have to say watching Serena lately, personally I think she has absolutely terrible body language. The way she plods around the court in between points is so lethargic, when she gets in a battle screaming a big "C'mon" after literally every point like it was the biggest point ever...I think she's slowing down and at 34 years old I think she knows it too. We could be in a great window of opportunity here for a limited time where Serena's odds are still very overvalued because of her perception as the greatest women player compared with her actual chances against top competition.
Side note...Serena has a 3-1 record against Mugu. The one win for Mugu...the only time they've played on clay, coincidentally at the French Open in 2014.
I literally watch the match today with my volume off. I can't stand the screams she lets out. Bertens has a total lack of movement, and Serena had trouble hitting thru her. With the heavy conditions it negates any advantage Serena has (Which these days is her serve) I don't take anything based off H2H. If they play how they did today, I don't see how a case can be made for Serena (Outside of her name value)
Yeah I'm kinda with KBrick here, let it ride or at most just a minimum cover on Serena to win back the original $50 if she wins. She was really getting pushed by the limit by Yulia Putintseva in the QF and I have to say watching Serena lately, personally I think she has absolutely terrible body language. The way she plods around the court in between points is so lethargic, when she gets in a battle screaming a big "C'mon" after literally every point like it was the biggest point ever...I think she's slowing down and at 34 years old I think she knows it too. We could be in a great window of opportunity here for a limited time where Serena's odds are still very overvalued because of her perception as the greatest women player compared with her actual chances against top competition.
Side note...Serena has a 3-1 record against Mugu. The one win for Mugu...the only time they've played on clay, coincidentally at the French Open in 2014.
I literally watch the match today with my volume off. I can't stand the screams she lets out. Bertens has a total lack of movement, and Serena had trouble hitting thru her. With the heavy conditions it negates any advantage Serena has (Which these days is her serve) I don't take anything based off H2H. If they play how they did today, I don't see how a case can be made for Serena (Outside of her name value)
Muguruza beat her 6-2 6-2 at the French in 2014, and Serena had no injury issues that day. 2 years later the Spaniard is a much more accomplished player, and she's played in a Slam final against Serena in 2015, so the inexperience factor which kills so many rookies in Slam finals doesn't exist here. Come tomorrow, Muguruza will not be the 2nd best player on the court. Clay is her best surface, she grew up on the stuff. Just because she made the Wimbledon final doesn't mean grass is her preference: and that's how good she is, she can make a Slam final on a surface that isn't even her best. She's the potential long term WTA #1 when Serena retires, that's how much ability this chick has, and she's still only 22. Also remember, Serena has never won back to back French Opens, and she won last year.
Of course anything can happen, Serena might be foxing with this injury BS, but it doesn't matter. Even if she's healthy, Muguruza on this surface is naturally the better player. This final is all about how well Muguruza takes to the occasion. Inexperience killed her 2nd set comeback effort at Wimbledon, but she admitted afterwards the occasion got too big for her. If she keeps it together in the head, she has the potential to crush Serena in this final like the American has never been crushed in a Slam final before. Do not hedge.
Muguruza beat her 6-2 6-2 at the French in 2014, and Serena had no injury issues that day. 2 years later the Spaniard is a much more accomplished player, and she's played in a Slam final against Serena in 2015, so the inexperience factor which kills so many rookies in Slam finals doesn't exist here. Come tomorrow, Muguruza will not be the 2nd best player on the court. Clay is her best surface, she grew up on the stuff. Just because she made the Wimbledon final doesn't mean grass is her preference: and that's how good she is, she can make a Slam final on a surface that isn't even her best. She's the potential long term WTA #1 when Serena retires, that's how much ability this chick has, and she's still only 22. Also remember, Serena has never won back to back French Opens, and she won last year.
Of course anything can happen, Serena might be foxing with this injury BS, but it doesn't matter. Even if she's healthy, Muguruza on this surface is naturally the better player. This final is all about how well Muguruza takes to the occasion. Inexperience killed her 2nd set comeback effort at Wimbledon, but she admitted afterwards the occasion got too big for her. If she keeps it together in the head, she has the potential to crush Serena in this final like the American has never been crushed in a Slam final before. Do not hedge.
Muguruza beat her 6-2 6-2 at the French in 2014, and Serena had no injury issues that day. 2 years later the Spaniard is a much more accomplished player, and she's played in a Slam final against Serena in 2015, so the inexperience factor which kills so many rookies in Slam finals doesn't exist here. Come tomorrow, Muguruza will not be the 2nd best player on the court. Clay is her best surface, she grew up on the stuff. Just because she made the Wimbledon final doesn't mean grass is her preference: and that's how good she is, she can make a Slam final on a surface that isn't even her best. She's the potential long term WTA #1 when Serena retires, that's how much ability this chick has, and she's still only 22. Also remember, Serena has never won back to back French Opens, and she won last year.Of course anything can happen, Serena might be foxing with this injury BS, but it doesn't matter. Even if she's healthy, Muguruza on this surface is naturally the better player. This final is all about how well Muguruza takes to the occasion. Inexperience killed her 2nd set comeback effort at Wimbledon, but she admitted afterwards the occasion got too big for her. If she keeps it together in the head, she has the potential to crush Serena in this final like the American has never been crushed in a Slam final before. Do not hedge.
Did you really stated mug is a better player than a healthy serena. Even on this surface?? Old aging Serena at full force can still dominate any wta player on any surface ..lol
Muguruza beat her 6-2 6-2 at the French in 2014, and Serena had no injury issues that day. 2 years later the Spaniard is a much more accomplished player, and she's played in a Slam final against Serena in 2015, so the inexperience factor which kills so many rookies in Slam finals doesn't exist here. Come tomorrow, Muguruza will not be the 2nd best player on the court. Clay is her best surface, she grew up on the stuff. Just because she made the Wimbledon final doesn't mean grass is her preference: and that's how good she is, she can make a Slam final on a surface that isn't even her best. She's the potential long term WTA #1 when Serena retires, that's how much ability this chick has, and she's still only 22. Also remember, Serena has never won back to back French Opens, and she won last year.Of course anything can happen, Serena might be foxing with this injury BS, but it doesn't matter. Even if she's healthy, Muguruza on this surface is naturally the better player. This final is all about how well Muguruza takes to the occasion. Inexperience killed her 2nd set comeback effort at Wimbledon, but she admitted afterwards the occasion got too big for her. If she keeps it together in the head, she has the potential to crush Serena in this final like the American has never been crushed in a Slam final before. Do not hedge.
Did you really stated mug is a better player than a healthy serena. Even on this surface?? Old aging Serena at full force can still dominate any wta player on any surface ..lol
Did you really stated mug is a better player than a healthy serena. Even on this surface?? Old aging Serena at full force can still dominate any wta player on any surface ..lol
Did you really stated mug is a better player than a healthy serena. Even on this surface?? Old aging Serena at full force can still dominate any wta player on any surface ..lol
Did you really stated mug is a better player than a healthy serena. Even on this surface?? Old aging Serena at full force can still dominate any wta player on any surface ..lol
Look and learn, buddy, look and learn.
Lol wow serena lost doesn't mean MUG is way better than her. I still put money on a healthy serena over a healthy mug again. There is a reason why she won so many championships.... plus this is WTA...any match is unpredictable but only my serena is consistent on winning titles bc she's that good.
Did you really stated mug is a better player than a healthy serena. Even on this surface?? Old aging Serena at full force can still dominate any wta player on any surface ..lol
Look and learn, buddy, look and learn.
Lol wow serena lost doesn't mean MUG is way better than her. I still put money on a healthy serena over a healthy mug again. There is a reason why she won so many championships.... plus this is WTA...any match is unpredictable but only my serena is consistent on winning titles bc she's that good.
There was nothing unpredictable about this loss. Everything was against Serena, and the line said so. 4th match in 4 days at nearly 35 years of age on her worst surface, against the best young player on Tour? GL with betting repeatedly into that situation and winning money over time
There was nothing unpredictable about this loss. Everything was against Serena, and the line said so. 4th match in 4 days at nearly 35 years of age on her worst surface, against the best young player on Tour? GL with betting repeatedly into that situation and winning money over time
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