ATP Basel Overview
Roger Federer leads the field as the defending champion and number one
seed this week in Basel. Federer has won the title in Basel three of the
last five years and six times overall. Stan Wawrinka is the two seed
with Rafael Nadal and Kevin Anderson rounding out the top four. No one
comes close to Federer’s experience at this tournament with Federer
having played 65 matches at this event over the years. The next most
among the top eight seeds is Wawrinka with 20 and he is just 9-11
overall.
The back half of the seeds includes Richard Gasquet at number five
followed by John Isner, Marin Cilic and David Goffin. Goffin was a
finalist last year, losing to Federer 6-2, 6-2. Gasquet has the best
track record of those seeds with a 7-4 mark. He made the semifinals in
2012 as his best finish. All of that pales in comparison to Roger
Federer’s pedigree at this tournament. The Swiss’ results at this
tournament are beyond ridiculous. He has not missed a final in Basel in
the last nine years. That makes him the favorite by leaps and bounds to
win this week.
As far as early upsets, Basel has had its share the last four years.
In three of the last four years, at least four seeds have fallen in the
first round. Here is a look at the most prone seeds in this year’s draw.
(2) Stan Wawrinka
It’s hard to believe that Wawrinka would not show better in a tournament
in his home country, but the track record tells all. Wawrinka has lost
his first match in Basel for three straight years. He faces Ivo Karlovic
who will need to overturn a bad run against the Swiss. This likely will
be a close affair though and that means an upset is always possible.
(5) Richard Gasquet
A small chance here. Gasquet did make the semifinals in Stockholm last
week, so he’s not totally off his game. He was pushed around by Jack
Sock though and Jiri Vesely can bring some similar “big” aspects to the
court. If the Czech serves at an A level, he could keep this opener
tight and put pressure on the Frenchman to come up with the win in
crunch time.
(6) John Isner
One week removed from an upset at the hands of Ernests Gulbis, the two
meet again in the opening round. Gulbis is far from consistent as his
run in Vienna was a deviation from what we had seen from him the last
few months. Still, Isner is struggling indoors despite what you would
think with his serve. That means Gulbis could have a chance to pull off a
repeat performance.
ATP Basel Overview
Roger Federer leads the field as the defending champion and number one
seed this week in Basel. Federer has won the title in Basel three of the
last five years and six times overall. Stan Wawrinka is the two seed
with Rafael Nadal and Kevin Anderson rounding out the top four. No one
comes close to Federer’s experience at this tournament with Federer
having played 65 matches at this event over the years. The next most
among the top eight seeds is Wawrinka with 20 and he is just 9-11
overall.
The back half of the seeds includes Richard Gasquet at number five
followed by John Isner, Marin Cilic and David Goffin. Goffin was a
finalist last year, losing to Federer 6-2, 6-2. Gasquet has the best
track record of those seeds with a 7-4 mark. He made the semifinals in
2012 as his best finish. All of that pales in comparison to Roger
Federer’s pedigree at this tournament. The Swiss’ results at this
tournament are beyond ridiculous. He has not missed a final in Basel in
the last nine years. That makes him the favorite by leaps and bounds to
win this week.
As far as early upsets, Basel has had its share the last four years.
In three of the last four years, at least four seeds have fallen in the
first round. Here is a look at the most prone seeds in this year’s draw.
(2) Stan Wawrinka
It’s hard to believe that Wawrinka would not show better in a tournament
in his home country, but the track record tells all. Wawrinka has lost
his first match in Basel for three straight years. He faces Ivo Karlovic
who will need to overturn a bad run against the Swiss. This likely will
be a close affair though and that means an upset is always possible.
(5) Richard Gasquet
A small chance here. Gasquet did make the semifinals in Stockholm last
week, so he’s not totally off his game. He was pushed around by Jack
Sock though and Jiri Vesely can bring some similar “big” aspects to the
court. If the Czech serves at an A level, he could keep this opener
tight and put pressure on the Frenchman to come up with the win in
crunch time.
(6) John Isner
One week removed from an upset at the hands of Ernests Gulbis, the two
meet again in the opening round. Gulbis is far from consistent as his
run in Vienna was a deviation from what we had seen from him the last
few months. Still, Isner is struggling indoors despite what you would
think with his serve. That means Gulbis could have a chance to pull off a
repeat performance.
Draw Preview First Quarter: Roger Federer (1)
Federer’s quarter has him seeded to get a rematch with 8th seeded David
Goffin in the quarterfinals. Federer will have a few tests along the
way. He opens against Mikhail Kukushkin. A win there would pit the Swiss
against either Jerzy Janowicz or Philipp Kohlschreiber. Janowicz looked
okay in Vienna last week and worked through qualifying in Basel. He
owns just one win in three tries against the German, but it did come
indoors in Paris in 2012. Kohlschreiber is 0-10 against Federer.
Janowicz is 0-1. The Swiss should get through.
In the bottom of the quarter, Goffin should ease into action with a
first round match against Andreas Seppi. A win sees him going up against
either Viktor Troicki or Adrian Mannarino. Troicki looked completely
off in losing to Temuraz Gabashvili last week in Moscow. Mannarino snuck
through qualifying, but often struggles to perform in these bigger
events. Troicki is tough to like after last week, but he has the better
indoor pedigree historically. Goffin has had his problems indoors since
last year’s Basel final. He is just 2-3 on tour, but does have three
Davis Cup wins indoors in the last 12 months. He’s the class of this
part of the quarter. but his form could leave him open to an upset.
Second Quarter: Kevin Anderson (4)
Kevin Anderson leads his quarter as the fourth seed with John Isner
opposite of him as the sixth seed. There are three other Americans in
this quarter with Donald Young to play Swuss kicak Henri Laaksonen and
Denis Kudla and Jack Sock to square off against each other. For
Anderson, he draws Borna Coric to open. Anderson won their only previous
match at Winston-Salem this summer in straight sets. The winner faces
the Young-Laaksonen victor. Anderson made the quarters the only year he
played Basel in 2012. He should be good for the quarters with this draw.
Isner in one of tennis’ twists of fate gets a quick shot at
redemption against Ernests Gulbis to open this week. Gulbis beat Isner
in three sets last week in Vienna. Since this time last year, Isner is
just 2-4 on indoor hard courts. He could be an upset victim again. If
Gulbis doesn’t get him again, it could be the winner of Kudla vs. Sock.
Sock will have to overcome a quick turnaround from his loss in the
Stockholm final to Tomas Berdych, but he has the form to make another
run. Whether fatigue gets him or not is an entirely different question.
Draw Preview First Quarter: Roger Federer (1)
Federer’s quarter has him seeded to get a rematch with 8th seeded David
Goffin in the quarterfinals. Federer will have a few tests along the
way. He opens against Mikhail Kukushkin. A win there would pit the Swiss
against either Jerzy Janowicz or Philipp Kohlschreiber. Janowicz looked
okay in Vienna last week and worked through qualifying in Basel. He
owns just one win in three tries against the German, but it did come
indoors in Paris in 2012. Kohlschreiber is 0-10 against Federer.
Janowicz is 0-1. The Swiss should get through.
In the bottom of the quarter, Goffin should ease into action with a
first round match against Andreas Seppi. A win sees him going up against
either Viktor Troicki or Adrian Mannarino. Troicki looked completely
off in losing to Temuraz Gabashvili last week in Moscow. Mannarino snuck
through qualifying, but often struggles to perform in these bigger
events. Troicki is tough to like after last week, but he has the better
indoor pedigree historically. Goffin has had his problems indoors since
last year’s Basel final. He is just 2-3 on tour, but does have three
Davis Cup wins indoors in the last 12 months. He’s the class of this
part of the quarter. but his form could leave him open to an upset.
Second Quarter: Kevin Anderson (4)
Kevin Anderson leads his quarter as the fourth seed with John Isner
opposite of him as the sixth seed. There are three other Americans in
this quarter with Donald Young to play Swuss kicak Henri Laaksonen and
Denis Kudla and Jack Sock to square off against each other. For
Anderson, he draws Borna Coric to open. Anderson won their only previous
match at Winston-Salem this summer in straight sets. The winner faces
the Young-Laaksonen victor. Anderson made the quarters the only year he
played Basel in 2012. He should be good for the quarters with this draw.
Isner in one of tennis’ twists of fate gets a quick shot at
redemption against Ernests Gulbis to open this week. Gulbis beat Isner
in three sets last week in Vienna. Since this time last year, Isner is
just 2-4 on indoor hard courts. He could be an upset victim again. If
Gulbis doesn’t get him again, it could be the winner of Kudla vs. Sock.
Sock will have to overcome a quick turnaround from his loss in the
Stockholm final to Tomas Berdych, but he has the form to make another
run. Whether fatigue gets him or not is an entirely different question.
Third Quarter: Rafael Nadal (3)
Third seed Rafael Nadal leads one half of this quarter with seventh seed
Marin Cilic in the other. Nadal did well on the Asian swing in Beijing
and Shanghai to help lock up a spot in the ATP Tour Finals. This week in
Basel is another redemption story. It was in Basel last year that Borna
Coric took down Nadal in the quarterfinals to end his season. Nadal was
well under 100 percent last year to finish the season and I think he’ll
be looking to make amends. He opens with Lukas Rosol whom he has beaten
twice since the 2012 Wimbledon shocker that saw Rosol take him down in
the second round. The winner faces either Grigor Dimitrov or Sergiy
Stakhovsky. Dimitrov has made the quarterfinals three straight years in
Basel and could be a dark horse in this quarter.
Cilic battles Swiss wild card Marco Chuidinelli to start his Basel
ampaign. Cilic is in solid form after winning the title in Moscow in an
indoor setting this past week. He could well back that up with another
deep run in this draw. A win would get him a shot at either Temuraz
Gabashvili or Leonardo Mayer. As long as Cilic is able to maintain his
hot serving, there is no reason not to like him to at least make the
quarterfinals in this quarter. He should have a good shot to maybe make
it a step farther to the semifinals.
Fourth Quarter: Stan Wawrinka (2)
Stan Wawrinka has a difficult draw with Ivo Karlovic to start. Wawrinka
is 5-1 against Karlovic, but their most recent meeting in Cincinnati
this summer required a third set tie break. Karlovic performed well here
last year in making the semifinals where he lost to Federer in three.
Wawrinka has lost his first match in Basel three years running and this
could be the fourth. The survivor of that one will face the winner of
Dusan Lajovic vs. Alexandr Dolgopolov. Dolgopolov is 0-5 since making
the semifinals at the Cincinnati Masters. Lajovic is through qualifying
this week and he could grab a win in this spot.
In the other half of the quarter, Gasquet is the seed as the number
five. He faces Jiri Vesely to start. Gasquet made the semifinals in
Stockholm last week. but was pummeled 6-4, 6-2 by Jack Sock. Vesely
wasn’t bad in Vienna as he took Kevin Anderson to a third set before
losing. The winner sees either Dominic Thiem or Robin Haase in round
two. Haase has two wins over Thiem in their careers. This quarter as a
whole could go many different ways. Small edge to Gasquet on form, but
upsets could rule here.
Third Quarter: Rafael Nadal (3)
Third seed Rafael Nadal leads one half of this quarter with seventh seed
Marin Cilic in the other. Nadal did well on the Asian swing in Beijing
and Shanghai to help lock up a spot in the ATP Tour Finals. This week in
Basel is another redemption story. It was in Basel last year that Borna
Coric took down Nadal in the quarterfinals to end his season. Nadal was
well under 100 percent last year to finish the season and I think he’ll
be looking to make amends. He opens with Lukas Rosol whom he has beaten
twice since the 2012 Wimbledon shocker that saw Rosol take him down in
the second round. The winner faces either Grigor Dimitrov or Sergiy
Stakhovsky. Dimitrov has made the quarterfinals three straight years in
Basel and could be a dark horse in this quarter.
Cilic battles Swiss wild card Marco Chuidinelli to start his Basel
ampaign. Cilic is in solid form after winning the title in Moscow in an
indoor setting this past week. He could well back that up with another
deep run in this draw. A win would get him a shot at either Temuraz
Gabashvili or Leonardo Mayer. As long as Cilic is able to maintain his
hot serving, there is no reason not to like him to at least make the
quarterfinals in this quarter. He should have a good shot to maybe make
it a step farther to the semifinals.
Fourth Quarter: Stan Wawrinka (2)
Stan Wawrinka has a difficult draw with Ivo Karlovic to start. Wawrinka
is 5-1 against Karlovic, but their most recent meeting in Cincinnati
this summer required a third set tie break. Karlovic performed well here
last year in making the semifinals where he lost to Federer in three.
Wawrinka has lost his first match in Basel three years running and this
could be the fourth. The survivor of that one will face the winner of
Dusan Lajovic vs. Alexandr Dolgopolov. Dolgopolov is 0-5 since making
the semifinals at the Cincinnati Masters. Lajovic is through qualifying
this week and he could grab a win in this spot.
In the other half of the quarter, Gasquet is the seed as the number
five. He faces Jiri Vesely to start. Gasquet made the semifinals in
Stockholm last week. but was pummeled 6-4, 6-2 by Jack Sock. Vesely
wasn’t bad in Vienna as he took Kevin Anderson to a third set before
losing. The winner sees either Dominic Thiem or Robin Haase in round
two. Haase has two wins over Thiem in their careers. This quarter as a
whole could go many different ways. Small edge to Gasquet on form, but
upsets could rule here.
Hey Eaglesphan36, do u think Roger Federer would beat Kukushkin in 2 straight sets without requiring to win more than 6 games in either of the sets? (6-4 at the most) I am getting decent odds on Federer's total games being less than 12. I think he should deal with Kukushkin rather easily, what are your thoughts?
Hey Eaglesphan36, do u think Roger Federer would beat Kukushkin in 2 straight sets without requiring to win more than 6 games in either of the sets? (6-4 at the most) I am getting decent odds on Federer's total games being less than 12. I think he should deal with Kukushkin rather easily, what are your thoughts?
Hey Eaglesphan36, do u think Roger Federer would beat Kukushkin in 2 straight sets without requiring to win more than 6 games in either of the sets? (6-4 at the most) I am getting decent odds on Federer's total games being less than 12. I think he should deal with Kukushkin rather easily, what are your thoughts?
Bit of a tough call for me. Kukushkin has days where he sticks with guys he probably shouldn't and this surface could be conducive to easy service holds. So Federer even in winning in straights might have to go 7-5 or 7-6 in a set. Kind of a coin flip for me, but if you're gut says yes -
Hey Eaglesphan36, do u think Roger Federer would beat Kukushkin in 2 straight sets without requiring to win more than 6 games in either of the sets? (6-4 at the most) I am getting decent odds on Federer's total games being less than 12. I think he should deal with Kukushkin rather easily, what are your thoughts?
Bit of a tough call for me. Kukushkin has days where he sticks with guys he probably shouldn't and this surface could be conducive to easy service holds. So Federer even in winning in straights might have to go 7-5 or 7-6 in a set. Kind of a coin flip for me, but if you're gut says yes -
Don't over pay on that # IMO. 19 is no shoe-in, but it has a decent shot I think. Federer likely will have little trouble holding. Kuku at his best can match that for enough games to give it a shot. Of course less than his best and it could be 6-3, 6-3 or worse.
Don't over pay on that # IMO. 19 is no shoe-in, but it has a decent shot I think. Federer likely will have little trouble holding. Kuku at his best can match that for enough games to give it a shot. Of course less than his best and it could be 6-3, 6-3 or worse.
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