Northern Trust

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Author: [Pro Golf] Topic: Northern Trust
AUzad PM AUzad
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Posted: 2/13/2013 9:34:51 PM
4 of 5 weeks have been winners YTD 2013.  Plus ~9 units last week.  Maybe I'll have time to total it all up over the weekend. 
 
In case anyone wants to know, I spend a lot of time capping my picks.  I go back three years for each tournament to analyze three sets of data to determine which factors lead to the most success.  The first set of data includes things such as current form, course form, event form, location, and course compatibility.  The second set of data includes stats for the past 8 weeks.  The stats include things such as GIR, DD, DA, TA, TD, BST, SC, PA, and All Around.  The third set of data is the in-running stats for the tournament.

For this week, I have determined the following factors are the most important:

Data set 1:  In order of importance...Location, Course Compatibility (in terms of DD, DA, GIR, SC), current form and course form.

Data set 2: In the order of GIR, PA, and DD.

Data set 3: In this order...Par4 performance, SGP, Par Breaker, Par 3 and TP.

If anyone has any questions let me know.

A couple early plays....

Rollins over Perez -110 1U
Stadler over Chappel -140 2.5U
Moore over Furyk -115 1U
Bubba over Westwood -120 2U
Henley over Yang -120 2.5U

BOL to all!!
bullmoose PM bullmoose
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Posted: 2/13/2013 10:06:26 PM
bol
AUzad PM AUzad
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Posted: 2/14/2013 9:01:18 AM
Brian G over Baddely Even 1.5U

Solid dog here. He has better location form,  course compatibility (in terms of dd,da,gir,sc,pa), and current form.   Badds is a heavy fav due to his course history and that's it. But from my research, course history ranks 4th behind the three categories Brian is better in. Also, over the last 8 weeks, he is even or better at most BST,TA,TD, GIR,SC etc. 

Regardless, follow at your own risk haha. Anything can happen during a single round of golf. 
AUzad PM AUzad
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Posted: 2/14/2013 1:48:48 PM
Estes over English -125 1U
Garcia over Schwartzel -120 1.5U
Mahan over Hanson -130 1.5U
Webb over DJ -110 1U
Donald over Scott -120 1U

AUzad PM AUzad
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Posted: 2/14/2013 2:47:40 PM
Adding one more unit to Mahan. 2.5 total. 
toasty PM toasty
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Posted: 2/14/2013 8:07:55 PM
4 shot lead with 4 to go and mahan loses. absolutely sickening
alangrrbs PM alangrrbs
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Posted: 2/14/2013 11:52:17 PM
I had a bet with Mahan last week...I turned on the golf channel to see the scores, and I see him with a putter behind a bush trying to putt it into the fairway to save par.  That's the story of Hunter's golf life.  He looks so good, and we buy into it...and then...he's putting into the fairway.  He has 3 good rounds, and 1 terrible round and there's no telling which round it will be.  I'm done with wagers on/against Hunter.  He's too frustrating.  GL brother
AUzad PM AUzad
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Posted: 2/15/2013 9:40:18 AM
Would of been a huge day if not for the Mahan moose. Thanks for the comments guys. Here's to a huge day! 

Estes over English -155 3U
Garcia overlSchwartzel -130 2U
Webb over DJ -120 1U

And why not, I'm a glutton for punishment....

Mahan the moose over Hanson -120 1U


BOL to all! I'm the very excited about the afternoon card. 


bullmoose PM bullmoose
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Posted: 2/15/2013 12:01:26 PM
Any other plays today?
AUzad PM AUzad
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Posted: 2/15/2013 2:34:04 PM
Feeling good about these. 

Rollins -110 over Perez 1.5 U
Stadler -145 over Chappell 2.5U
Michelson over Haas -135 1U
Kuchar over Choi 2U -175
Henley over Yang -125 3U
Brian G over Badds 2U -110


AUzad PM AUzad
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Posted: 2/15/2013 2:35:47 PM
Sorry for the garbage plays this morning, we will get the three units back. Just remember is a Thursday through Sunday battle. 
toasty PM toasty
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Posted: 2/15/2013 11:15:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by AUzad:

Sorry for the garbage plays this morning, we will get the three units back. Just remember is a Thursday through Sunday battle. 


no worries man. you clearly know what you're doing. personally, i'm going to scale back my bets this weekend because this is a tough course to predict.
AUzad PM AUzad
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Posted: 2/16/2013 11:29:57 AM
Molder -125 over Estes 1U
AUzad PM AUzad
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Posted: 2/16/2013 11:32:02 AM
Thanks Toasty, it can be frustrating at times.

Kuchar over Garcia 2.5U 
AUzad PM AUzad
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Posted: 2/16/2013 12:09:21 PM
Merrick over Bae -110 1.5U
Webb over Westwood -110 1.5 U
CaliBear23 PM CaliBear23
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Posted: 2/16/2013 11:22:47 PM
Do you have any feeling about any of these matchups AUzad?:

Choi Garcia
Fisher Cabrera
Els Kuchar
Stadler Chalmers
Leaonard Timmelman

Any help appreciated, as I plan to tune in and watch the final round since it is one of my local courses and I would like to have a littl money riding if I can find a good play. 

Thanks in advance for helping the community.

BOL

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