Bridgestone and Reno

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Author: [Pro Golf] Topic: Bridgestone and Reno
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/1/2012 9:49:01 AM

Probably won't get around to looking Bridgestone til tonight.

Reno FT: 1u
Merrick+110 o Matteson
Christian+100 o Levin
happy-115 o Cink  (2u)
Horschel-125 o Couch (2u)
Chappell-125 o Steele

lloyd32 PM lloyd32
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Posted: 8/1/2012 12:00:30 PM

Since everyone is getting along now I will give my thoughts for the week.

Much more value in the Reno - the different scoring system has opened up alot more opportunity. Par breaker I believe will tell the story. Looking for agressive players who will shoot for pins, I don't even mind a guy who bogies (-1) as birdies (+3) and eagles (+5) are the way to go.

P.Perez 2u -127 over Molder

P.Perez 1u -144 over Molder

Carballo 2u  -145 over Weir

Appleby 1u -125 over weekly

happy 1u -105 Cink -pinny

Reed .75u over S.Brown

Ist round .75u P. Harrington -140 Henry

Some players I will be watching for later on whose style

fits this system Daly, Romero, Holmes, Gillis, Mulroy

Don't see much value in the Bridgestone with such a small tight field. I got some of these plays early so lines have changed.

Full Tourney 1u

Willet -130 over T.Lewis

Jaidee -121 KT Kim

Van Pelt -130 Mickelson

Ist round .75u Rose -157 Crane

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/1/2012 12:23:30 PM

where are you getting van pelt at -130?

 

lloyd32 PM lloyd32
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Posted: 8/1/2012 12:42:57 PM
Sportsbook at open
MrBogey PM MrBogey
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Posted: 8/1/2012 12:43:38 PM
pampling over weekley was one that stood out for me blair, thoughts?
MrBogey PM MrBogey
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Posted: 8/1/2012 12:45:20 PM
Sportsbook has been known to have some pretty bad lines in the past.

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/1/2012 7:21:41 PM

Bridgestone FT: 2u
Molinari-130 o Oosthuizen
Colsaerts-105 o Watney
Laird-115 o Schwartzel
Goosen+155 o Garcia


Bridgestone Rd1: 2u
Stricker-135 o Kaymer
Mahan-120 o Oosthuizen

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/1/2012 7:35:03 PM

Bogey - you got me relooking at the Pampling matchup, and I went ahead and played it.  I know I was close to playing it on the first look, I think the only reason I didn't is that Boo had a slightly better Birdie/Bogey ratio.

After looking at both tournaments, I also decided there's no reason at all to like the Bridgestone matches better than the Reno.  So, since I played the Bridgestone at 2u, I bumped all the Reno matches up to 2u.  The Merrick and Christian lines had moved a little bit in my favor.

Updated Reno FT:  2u

Merrick+115 o Matteson
Christian+102.5 o Levin
happy-115 o Cink 
Horschel-125 o Couch
Chappell-125 o Steele
Pampling-115 o Weekley

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/1/2012 7:39:33 PM

Lloyd -- you definitely got some sweet lines, I'd have been on a few of yours, the only thing keeping me off was the line:  Perez, Willet, and BVP.  And, if I ever get a line against Weir, I don't even look at that match, that's an automatic for me.

 

lloyd32 PM lloyd32
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Posted: 8/2/2012 9:48:11 AM

Added

Mayfair 1u -120 beckman

raffchfd PM raffchfd
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Posted: 8/2/2012 2:19:31 PM
just noticed they use a different scoring format for reno, thought they were listing scores backwards
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/2/2012 7:54:01 PM

raff - I even knew they were doing stableford, yet the first time I pulled up the scoreboard today, I also thought I must have it the sort in reverse button or something

Not a great start at Bridgestone, thankfully no cut this week, so my boys have some time to play catch-up.

Bridgestone Rd1: 0-1-1, -2.4
Stricker-135 o Kaymer  
Mahan-120 o Oosthuizen 

Rd2: 2u
Ogilvy-125 o Byrd
Toms-130 o Baddeley
Kuchar+100 o Scott

 

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/3/2012 1:26:29 PM
Adding Fowler+130 o Westwood
Posted using a mobile device.
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/3/2012 10:49:43 PM

Reno saving my behind so far.

Reno FT: 2u
Merrick+115 o Matteson  
Christian+102.5 o Levin 
Horschel-125 o Couch    

Rd2: 1-2-1, -2.6
Ogilvy-125 o Byrd    
Toms-130 o Baddeley  
Kuchar+100 o Scott   
Fowler+130 o Westwood 

Rd3: 2u
Mickelson+140 o Westwood
Van Pelt-120 o Laird
Watson+100 o Rose
DJ-120 o Ogilvy
McIlroy-125 o McDowell
Donald-125 o Dufner
Kim-120 o Cabrera Bello

 

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/4/2012 8:00:24 AM

I hope this add works out better than yesterdays:

Kuchar-145 o Kaymer 2u

 

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/4/2012 8:06:51 AM
Typo in rd3 picks - Van Pelt is over Garcia, not Laird
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/4/2012 5:50:55 PM

Rd3: 6-2, +8.4
Mickelson+140 o Westwood 
Van Pelt-120 o Garcia     
Watson+100 o Rose         

DJ-120 o Ogilvy          
McIlroy-125 o McDowell    
Donald-125 o Dufner       
Kim-120 o Cabrera Bello   
Kuchar-145 o Kaymer       

Bluefin PM Bluefin
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Posted: 8/4/2012 7:35:54 PM
 good work
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/4/2012 8:42:04 PM

Thanks Blue!

With the uncertainty in tomorrow's forecast, I'm treading a little lighter:

Rd4: 1u
Snedeker+105 o DJ
Toms-125 o Cabrera Bello
Pettersson-110 o Haas     (2u)
Donald-120 o Dufner       (2u)
Van Pelt-110 o Stricker
McIlroy-120 o Bradley

Tron830 PM Tron830
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Posted: 8/4/2012 10:19:38 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by blairaj:

Rd3: 6-2, +8.4
Mickelson+140 o Westwood 
Van Pelt-120 o Garcia     
Watson+100 o Rose         

DJ-120 o Ogilvy          
McIlroy-125 o McDowell    
Donald-125 o Dufner       
Kim-120 o Cabrera Bello   
Kuchar-145 o Kaymer       

awesome job
DRocNJ PM DRocNJ
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Posted: 8/4/2012 11:25:39 PM
Nice day, blair! 
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/5/2012 1:49:39 AM
Thanks Tron and Droc !!!
Tron830 PM Tron830
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Posted: 8/5/2012 2:46:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by blairaj:

Thanks Blue!

With the uncertainty in tomorrow's forecast, I'm treading a little lighter:

Rd4: 1u
Snedeker+105 o DJ
Toms-125 o Cabrera Bello
Pettersson-110 o Haas     (2u)
Donald-120 o Dufner       (2u)
Van Pelt-110 o Stricker
McIlroy-120 o Bradley

on petterson and donald GL
Tron830 PM Tron830
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Posted: 8/5/2012 1:18:26 PM
damn petterson and donald both playing from behind early
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 8/12/2012 7:15:18 PM

Rd4: 1-5, -6.9
Snedeker+105 o DJ          L
Toms-125 o Cabrera Bello   W
Pettersson-110 o Haas (2u) L
Donald-120 o Dufner (2u)   L
Van Pelt-110 o Stricker    L
McIlroy-120 o Bradley      L

Reno FT: 3-2-1, +1.55
Merrick+115 o Matteson   W
Christian+102.5 o Levin  W
happy-115 o Cink           L
Horschel-125 o Couch     W
Chappell-125 o Steele    L
Pampling-115 o Weekley   P

Bridgestone FT: 0-3-1, -7.0
Molinari-130 o Oosthuizen   L
Colsaerts-105 o Watney      L
Laird-115 o Schwartzel      L
Goosen+155 o Garcia         P

Overall: 11-15-4, -8.95

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