| Author: |
[Pro Golf] Topic: TPC Deere Run |
|
AJLightning |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

All-Star
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 11250
Location: Texas |
#1 Posted: 7/10/2012 9:28:57 AM Well boys, it's birdie fest time at TPC Deere Run! Easy course this week where GIR's and Birdie Average are the top two stats. Accuracy and distance are nonexistent here. It's all about the short game.
Can Stricker four-peat? |
|
quote |
|
stats1 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | |

Captain
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 5374
Location: Georgia |
#2 Posted: 7/10/2012 10:49:37 AM The tournament has been changed 2 the Steve Stricker Classic!!! 
|
|
quote |
|
AJLightning |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

All-Star
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 11250
Location: Texas |
#3 Posted: 7/10/2012 3:02:15 PM Tournament Matchup Leans:
Zach (+115) over Stricker
Byrd (-120) over Watney
Overton (-115) over Yul Noh
Senden (-120) over Clark
O'Hair (-120) over Moore
Perez (-120) over Davis
Summerhays (-115) over Reavie
Daly (-110) over Villegas
Two Gloves (Ev) over Potter Jr.
Maggert (-120) over Mayfair
thoughts....suggestion anyone?? |
|
quote |
|
blairaj |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

Rookie
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 969
Location: |
#4 Posted: 7/10/2012 7:29:59 PM I ran the statistics from last years tournament, and there actually is a fairly strong correlation between score and driving accuracy. You are correct though in that there basically is no correlation whatsoever for driving distance. |
|
quote |
|
AJLightning |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

All-Star
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 11250
Location: Texas |
#5 Posted: 7/10/2012 9:31:25 PM Nice to know. 
You know as well as I do that hitting fairways is a plus, but on this course it won't put you out of the tournament if your driving it poor. A lot of tracks demand accuracy to have a chance at scoring, not Deere Run. I guess that's what I meant to say in the OP... |
|
quote |
|
|
|
AJLightning |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

All-Star
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 11250
Location: Texas |
#6 Posted: 7/10/2012 10:41:04 PM Tournament Matchups
Z. Johnson (+115) over Stricker - 2*
Byrd (-120) over Watney - 5*
O'Hair (-120) over Moore - 5*
Perez (-120) over Davis - 2*
Daly (-120) over Villegas - 2*

|
|
quote |
|
blairaj |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

Rookie
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 969
Location: |
#7 Posted: 7/10/2012 11:17:36 PM We're fading some of the same guys (Watney, and Villegas). Though I chose to fade Watney with ZJ, as sick as Byrd sounded and how he kind of faded over the weekend, scares me a little with him. O'Hair and Perez were both close to being plays for me, but I'm trying to tighten up a little on the FT's til I can prove to myself that I can get that % up.
|
|
quote |
|
stats1 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | |

Captain
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 5374
Location: Georgia |
#8 Posted: 7/10/2012 11:54:10 PM y r we fading watney?? help please 
|
|
quote |
|
blairaj |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

Rookie
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 969
Location: |
#9 Posted: 7/11/2012 6:01:41 AM Watney hasn't shown the consistency yet this year to warrant matchups against either Byrd or ZJ, or to get low for 4 rounds that it's gonna take this week:
Bogey Avoidance Par Breakers
Watney 124 65
ZJ 19 11
Byrd 28 47
He also hasn't played this tourney since 08, and the four times that he's played here, he missed the cut every time.
Meanwhile, ZJ has played here every year since at least 03, and in the last 3 years has finished: 3, 21, and 2. |
|
quote |
|
AJLightning |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

All-Star
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 11250
Location: Texas |
#10 Posted: 7/11/2012 1:39:19 PM stats1 -
pretty much for the reason's Blair listed....I was really looking at his history and for some reason he stinks at Deere Run. To me, taking a guy that has historically done VERY well vs. a player that has missed the cut several times is a no brainer! |
|
quote |
|
AJLightning |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

All-Star
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 11250
Location: Texas |
#11 Posted: 7/11/2012 1:45:50 PM Two Gloves +140 over Potter Jr. for the tourny.....any takers? This would be a fade of last weeks winner.... 
It's tempting, but the major stats on Two Gloves are WEAK compared to Potter's.... |
|
quote |
|
AJLightning |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

All-Star
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 11250
Location: Texas |
#12 Posted: 7/11/2012 9:07:57 PM 1st Round Matchups
Hoffman (-120) over Piercy
Atwal (-110) over Kirk
O'Hair (-115) over Crane
Stanley (+130) over Stricker
Tournament Matchups
Z. Johnson (+115) over Stricker - 2*
Byrd (-120) over Watney - 5*
O'Hair (-120) over Moore - 5*
Perez (-120) over Davis - 2*
Daly (-120) over Villegas - 2*

|
|
quote |
|
NoWorries21 |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

Captain
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 7221
Location: Texas |
#13 Posted: 7/11/2012 9:19:42 PM Similar plays.Daly over Villegas, Zach over Watney and Gainey over Potter my main 3 |
|
quote |
|
Bluefin |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

Captain
Joined: Nov 2006
Posts: 7447
Location: Florida |
#14 Posted: 7/12/2012 6:51:05 AM  |
|
quote |
|
stats1 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | |

Captain
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 5374
Location: Georgia |
#15 Posted: 7/12/2012 9:10:51 AM bol buddy went with u on the stanley-stricker match up and played stanley 2 win hope he gets off 2 a great start.... 
|
|
quote |
|
AJLightning |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

All-Star
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 11250
Location: Texas |
#16 Posted: 7/12/2012 1:21:15 PM BYRD
really???? |
|
quote |
|
AJLightning |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

All-Star
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 11250
Location: Texas |
#17 Posted: 7/12/2012 11:01:08 PM 2nd Round Matchups
Vegas (+130) over Clark
Stanley (+150) over Stricker
O'Hair (+120) over Crane
Byrd (-110) over Choi

|
|
quote |
|
NoWorries21 |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

Captain
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 7221
Location: Texas |
#18 Posted: 7/13/2012 8:28:18 AM Love the value today Molder over Garrigus too |
|
quote |
|
NoWorries21 |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

Captain
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 7221
Location: Texas |
#19 Posted: 7/13/2012 8:38:27 AM Except Molder wd'ed |
|
quote |
|
AJLightning |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

All-Star
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 11250
Location: Texas |
#20 Posted: 7/13/2012 9:12:10 AM FADE AWAY

|
|
quote |
|
WillyWonka |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

Banned
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 13626
Location: United States |
#21 Posted: 7/13/2012 9:49:11 AM vegas fuckin sux |
|
quote |
|
WillyWonka |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

Banned
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 13626
Location: United States |
#22 Posted: 7/13/2012 10:07:51 AM vegas cant even get up and down from 15 yds fuckin pathetic |
|
quote |
|
WillyWonka |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

Banned
Joined: May 2003
Posts: 13626
Location: United States |
#23 Posted: 7/13/2012 10:09:09 AM vegas then misses 5 footer for birdie. how fuckin pathetic. impossible for this joke to shoot 2 good rounds in a row |
|
quote |
|
Jarrett75 |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

MVP
Joined: Nov 2004
Posts: 18668
Location: United States |
#24 Posted: 7/13/2012 1:17:58 PM wonka stop betting if you can't handle losing. I lost $1289 last Sunday and didn't girl and moan as much as you do.
|
|
quote |
|
AJLightning |
RSI  View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |

All-Star
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 11250
Location: Texas |
#25 Posted: 7/13/2012 1:51:39 PM Took Vegas because he seemed to be coming back to life lately and his only win came at another birdie fest tournament...the Bob Hope....that guys sucks FOR REAL!
I got a friend who is a Texas Alumni and keeps up with Texas golf. He said Vegas sucks and can't believe he has a win already. His college career was not that great and thinks he will probably never win again on TOUR....
WONKA - fade me next time bro...I've been on a down slide here lately... |
|
quote |