Master's Discussion

Forum: Pro Golf
Author: [Pro Golf] Topic: Master's Discussion
blairaj PM blairaj
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blairaj
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Posted: 4/2/2012 10:23:20 PM
What I'm looking at:
1) experience
2) experience
3) experience
4) ball striking - not just GIR, but the guys that hit it pure, can land it on a dinner table, and know what it's gonna do when it lands
5) putting
6) putting
7) putting
8) scrambling
9) comfort moving it right to left off the tees
10) driving distance

Don't overthink it, past experience here usually goes a long way to capping these matchups!  My full tourney plays will come from this list after I get actual lines (these are pinny's current lines), I do a little more homework, and hopefully some good feedback from all of you:

Woods-105 o McIlroy
Donald-111 o Mickelson
Donald-102 o Westwood
Rose-119 o Bradley
Scott-101 o Mahan
Scott-111 o Bradley
Stricker-128 o Garcia
Stricker-144 o Watney
Kuchar-152 o Kaymer
Simpson-138 o Kaymer
McDowell-108 o Oosthuizen
Snedeker-113 o Fowler
Cabrera+105 o Harrington
Van Pelt-140 o Haas
Yang-117 o Bjorn
Karlsson-147 o Quiros
Ishikawa+121 o Singh

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 4/2/2012 10:50:51 PM
I really want to like Bubba here too, with his length and ability to shape the ball, I find it a bit baffling that he's not done better here in the past. He's only shot better than 71 just once in 12 rounds, I really just can't understand that one.  He's 1st in GIR this year, and was 9th last year.
THEMUGG PM THEMUGG
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Posted: 4/2/2012 11:05:09 PM
Bubba's distance control has gotten better but I'm not sure his putting is cut out for the greens @ Augusta. I would bet he'll score better this year but don't know if he'll be in contention.
snake2710 PM snake2710
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Posted: 4/2/2012 11:08:14 PM

Love your work as per usual mate.

I really like one of the big boys to take it out this week. Not say Tiger will be really after what he did winning by 5 in his last start and being 1 of only 2 players under par in the last 8 groups that tells yous a lot, add to that he is putting like the GOD he is again and hitting it good off the tee.

+650 for TIGER in this situation is great value imo

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 4/2/2012 11:08:40 PM
Yeah, he's been 117 or worse the last 3 years in SGP, I guess that would explain it.
blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 4/2/2012 11:14:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by snake2710:

Love your work as per usual mate.

I really like one of the big boys to take it out this week. Not say Tiger will be really after what he did winning by 5 in his last start and being 1 of only 2 players under par in the last 8 groups that tells yous a lot, add to that he is putting like the GOD he is again and hitting it good off the tee.

+650 for TIGER in this situation is great value imo


Thanks Snake.

  I won't be able to get him at anything close to 650, but that does look pretty tasty.  Right now I just listed Tiger against Rory, because I figure by the time I get lines for him against Lefty and Westwood, they're gonna be a bit higher than I would play.  If not though, I will definitely be looking for more opportunities to play on him - especially against Westwood.  My next choice would be against lefty.  I'm not too sure about laying the big juice against Donald though
 
iceman67 PM iceman67
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Posted: 4/3/2012 5:21:01 AM

I'm on Luke Donald heavy,,, spread out all over the place to win, head to head vs Woods/ h2h Westwood/ 1st rnd,, ect...

Real short on time lately,,,  Snedeker over Fowler is going to cash...    GL

KenniS1 PM KenniS1
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Posted: 4/3/2012 9:21:30 AM
Match ups wise i'm out big on van pelt over oosthuizen at -110, van pelt is first in SGP, he has a great combo of length and precision (6th in total driving) he doesnt have to much experience at augusta but finished 8th last year and has shown great form so far this year. Oosthuizen finally found some good play last week but his form has generally been pretty poor and he doesnt usually do well at the Masters as he is 0-3 missing the cut the last 3 years. Think this is kind of a missmatch and very good value on van pelt.

I am also on Stricker against watney at -110. He has the experience, the putter and a really good short game. He has the formula to do well at Augusta, maybe just lacks a little length. Watney has been pretty disappointing this year, and the better results he has had on Augusta was when he entered the tournament in much better form than he is showing now.

Also gonna have a little on van pelt to go all the way at +9400.
allicat PM allicat
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Posted: 4/3/2012 9:48:27 AM
Stricker over Garcia  VP -140 over Haas  Too much vig
AJLightning PM AJLightning
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Posted: 4/3/2012 2:02:26 PM
Woods-105 o McIlroy   
Donald-111 o Mickelson   
Donald-102 o Westwood
Rose-119 o Bradley   
Scott-101 o Mahan
Scott-111 o Bradley   
Stricker-128 o Garcia
Stricker-144 o Watney
Kuchar-152 o Kaymer
Simpson-138 o Kaymer   
McDowell-108 o Oosthuizen   
Snedeker-113 o Fowler
Cabrera+105 o Harrington   
Van Pelt-140 o Haas
Yang-117 o Bjorn   
Karlsson-147 o Quiros
Ishikawa+121 o Singh

SkutsInc PM SkutsInc
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Posted: 4/3/2012 7:26:20 PM
I like Rose at +2500....also like him in rd 1 matchup.....
iceman67 PM iceman67
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Posted: 4/4/2012 6:11:35 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by SkutsInc:

I like Rose at +2500....also like him in rd 1 matchup.....

I really like that line of thinking also..    I'm going to be splashing around with some Rose wagers myself.

GL

blairaj PM blairaj
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Posted: 4/8/2012 7:35:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by blairaj:

I really want to like Bubba here too, with his length and ability to shape the ball, I find it a bit baffling that he's not done better here in the past. He's only shot better than 71 just once in 12 rounds, I really just can't understand that one.  He's 1st in GIR this year, and was 9th last year.

Should've gone with my gut!
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