Atalanta -1.5 @-123 - paying juice with this line generally isnt healthy for the bankroll in Serie A. but cannot see anything other than a large home win here. Atalanta have not conceded a goal in 4 straight home games for starters. Theyve beaten Napoli, Inter, & Roma already here this year; and destroyed this opponent 3-0 in Coppa Italia. Pescara is the cellar dweller of Serie A, will be relegated next year for sure with the worst defense in the league & the worst on road with 33 ceded thru 14 matches. The angle im banking on tho is that 5th place Inter just dropped points yesterday drawing 2-2 with Torino. This blew the door wide open for that coveted European spot next year. One week after getting blown out by the team they're chasing they now get an opportunity to catch them in standings. Being gifted a 2nd chance soo quickly, I dont think theyre going to falter here vs the weakest of all Serie A squads.
Cagliari/Lazio over 2.5 @-130, over 3.5 @+165, 4.5 @+360 - decided to run this one. the 2.5 O/U prices are all over the place on this, -130 to -175. with Cagliari's style of 'bombs away' full speed ahead on offense at home (54 total goals in 13 matches, 11-2 to the over at home) & Lazio 2nd highest goals scored on road, have banged in 12 in past 4 matches themselves. A win here and they can give themselves a 4 pt cushion over Inter for the CL spot. It helps the past 3 H2H's have seen 5,4,6 goals (all Lazio wins)
Finland Cup Qtr-finals:
HJK -1.5 @+210, over 2.5 @+102 - HJK in much better form than their opponent at this moment. both squads have taken this cup seriously thru the years but hard to go against a team whom has dominated this opponent the past 5 years (18 H2H's) losing just once in 2015 -- in Cup where most of starters were rested.
Atalanta -1.5 @-123 - paying juice with this line generally isnt healthy for the bankroll in Serie A. but cannot see anything other than a large home win here. Atalanta have not conceded a goal in 4 straight home games for starters. Theyve beaten Napoli, Inter, & Roma already here this year; and destroyed this opponent 3-0 in Coppa Italia. Pescara is the cellar dweller of Serie A, will be relegated next year for sure with the worst defense in the league & the worst on road with 33 ceded thru 14 matches. The angle im banking on tho is that 5th place Inter just dropped points yesterday drawing 2-2 with Torino. This blew the door wide open for that coveted European spot next year. One week after getting blown out by the team they're chasing they now get an opportunity to catch them in standings. Being gifted a 2nd chance soo quickly, I dont think theyre going to falter here vs the weakest of all Serie A squads.
Cagliari/Lazio over 2.5 @-130, over 3.5 @+165, 4.5 @+360 - decided to run this one. the 2.5 O/U prices are all over the place on this, -130 to -175. with Cagliari's style of 'bombs away' full speed ahead on offense at home (54 total goals in 13 matches, 11-2 to the over at home) & Lazio 2nd highest goals scored on road, have banged in 12 in past 4 matches themselves. A win here and they can give themselves a 4 pt cushion over Inter for the CL spot. It helps the past 3 H2H's have seen 5,4,6 goals (all Lazio wins)
Finland Cup Qtr-finals:
HJK -1.5 @+210, over 2.5 @+102 - HJK in much better form than their opponent at this moment. both squads have taken this cup seriously thru the years but hard to go against a team whom has dominated this opponent the past 5 years (18 H2H's) losing just once in 2015 -- in Cup where most of starters were rested.
@Joga, yeah, played that one a little heavier but the Lazio 'over' catastrophe wiped most of the profits.
adding two late ones which ive had marked off for a few days now:
Costa Rica:
Limon to win @+161, over 2.5 @+108 - taking a shot at this one; 1st place Limon currently the most 'in-form' team in league and riding a 3 game unbeaten streak on road where theyve been 'average' at best. Home side Carmelita is 2nd from bottom and winless at home (0-2-6, 6/13 goals) and in bad form. H2H's are pretty much even but 5 of the past 6 meetings since 2016 have gone over this total.
Paraguay:
Cerro to win @+114, over 2.5 @-115 - Cerro challenge for the title yearly and with a win here will put them back into 1st place. Theyve won 6 of the 8 H2H's since 2015 and 7 of those matches have blown over the total.
@Joga, yeah, played that one a little heavier but the Lazio 'over' catastrophe wiped most of the profits.
adding two late ones which ive had marked off for a few days now:
Costa Rica:
Limon to win @+161, over 2.5 @+108 - taking a shot at this one; 1st place Limon currently the most 'in-form' team in league and riding a 3 game unbeaten streak on road where theyve been 'average' at best. Home side Carmelita is 2nd from bottom and winless at home (0-2-6, 6/13 goals) and in bad form. H2H's are pretty much even but 5 of the past 6 meetings since 2016 have gone over this total.
Paraguay:
Cerro to win @+114, over 2.5 @-115 - Cerro challenge for the title yearly and with a win here will put them back into 1st place. Theyve won 6 of the 8 H2H's since 2015 and 7 of those matches have blown over the total.
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