1. Roma avg 8.75 corners per game at home (4 games) this season. That is some kind of fluke and it is statistically untenable for the whole season (19 home games). Last three seasons Roma (one of the best home corner teams in Serie A) avg 6.76 corners per game at home in SA (57 games). This 8.75 number will start to regress soon IMO.
2. If the line was set at 11.5 (current corners line) this season. Roma would be 4-0 for over at home. Last three season they are 9-10, 8-11, 7-12.... slight edge for under. Another expect regression. 5-0 start will be big fluke and totally will break my first system play.
3. If the line was set at 11.5 (current corners line) on all 38 road Serie A games for Palermo last two seasons the results would be 12-26. Just 12 games (31.5%) for over 11.5. Palermo is poor road corner team.
4. Last five games between these two at Olimpico are 2-3 (over/under 11.5). Last two seasons - two unders.
The real line on this game is Over/Under 11 according to my numbers. Cause of the early season games the line is pushed to 11.5 and that's why I think I have edge with taking
Italian Serie A - Asian Corners
Roma - Palermo - Under 11.5 (-105)
1.05 units (to win 1)
BOL Let see if my system is real deal or it's just complete garbage (always possibility).