2015-2016: 166-167 +31.97 Units 2016-2017: 10-7 +7.35 Units
August 17: 4-4 +1.44 Units
Final stage of the CL qualifiers, looking forward to some interesting matchups.
Champions League Ajax-Rostow, Rostow +0.5 @ 2.13 (2/10)
The visitors are no joke having eliminated a capable Anderlecht side. Ajax struggles against teams that have a solid defensive mindset with dangerous counterattacks. For my taste they are trying to play too dominantly and for that they get punished time and time again. Rostow last year managed to keep the likes of Zenit, Spartak and Lokomotiv behind them, I think they are not getting the respect they deserve finishing 2nd in Russia. Ajax surely is capable of winning this game but they are overpriced in my view.
Champions League Dinamo Zagreb-Red Bull Salzburg, Salzburg +0 @ 2.14 (2/10)
Zagreb
once again find themselves selling their best players, Salzburg looks like
this year could finally be the year they make it to CL and overall have
the better team. Zagreb apparently also not in that great a shape
judging from their recent performances. Clear value on the visitors.
Olympic Games - Women Germany-Canada, Germany ML @ 2.00 (2/10)
These teams met only a few days ago and while I backed Canada then, now I'm backing Germany. The last game the Germans played against China was the improvement in their game I was waiting for. This team is able to beat any other female team and Canada didn't win the last game because they played so great, rather the German girls were highly incapable of putting the ball in and turning their dominance into goals. I really like them to win this game with a better mindset tonight.
2015-2016: 166-167 +31.97 Units 2016-2017: 10-7 +7.35 Units
August 17: 4-4 +1.44 Units
Final stage of the CL qualifiers, looking forward to some interesting matchups.
Champions League Ajax-Rostow, Rostow +0.5 @ 2.13 (2/10)
The visitors are no joke having eliminated a capable Anderlecht side. Ajax struggles against teams that have a solid defensive mindset with dangerous counterattacks. For my taste they are trying to play too dominantly and for that they get punished time and time again. Rostow last year managed to keep the likes of Zenit, Spartak and Lokomotiv behind them, I think they are not getting the respect they deserve finishing 2nd in Russia. Ajax surely is capable of winning this game but they are overpriced in my view.
Champions League Dinamo Zagreb-Red Bull Salzburg, Salzburg +0 @ 2.14 (2/10)
Zagreb
once again find themselves selling their best players, Salzburg looks like
this year could finally be the year they make it to CL and overall have
the better team. Zagreb apparently also not in that great a shape
judging from their recent performances. Clear value on the visitors.
Olympic Games - Women Germany-Canada, Germany ML @ 2.00 (2/10)
These teams met only a few days ago and while I backed Canada then, now I'm backing Germany. The last game the Germans played against China was the improvement in their game I was waiting for. This team is able to beat any other female team and Canada didn't win the last game because they played so great, rather the German girls were highly incapable of putting the ball in and turning their dominance into goals. I really like them to win this game with a better mindset tonight.
What did you see in the China match that made you think Germany women's team could convert more goals?
Germany won 1-0. They scored only one goal despite 9 shots on goal and 23 shots overall. That's a very poor conversion rate. They gave up a PK despite China having a red card.
Not being argumentative as I tail your picks regularly. But wondering whether I'm missing something.
What did you see in the China match that made you think Germany women's team could convert more goals?
Germany won 1-0. They scored only one goal despite 9 shots on goal and 23 shots overall. That's a very poor conversion rate. They gave up a PK despite China having a red card.
Not being argumentative as I tail your picks regularly. But wondering whether I'm missing something.
What did you see in the China match that made you think Germany women's team could convert more goals?
Germany won 1-0. They scored only one goal despite 9 shots on goal and 23 shots overall. That's a very poor conversion rate. They gave up a PK despite China having a red card.
Not being argumentative as I tail your picks regularly. But wondering whether I'm missing something.
No worries, you are very correct in what you say regarding the conversion rate against China. What I saw in that game that makes me pull the trigger on them today is the way they played that game, dominating the opponent, creating chances, not giving away any chances. I saw that penalty and to me it was a joke so I don't count that in. I just think there is quite some value in these odds given that they were also the better team against Canada when they were playing rather poorly. Surely the odds move is against them here but all that counts for me is the relation between probability as implied by the odds and the probability as I perceive it.
I can understand why one would back Canada though.
What did you see in the China match that made you think Germany women's team could convert more goals?
Germany won 1-0. They scored only one goal despite 9 shots on goal and 23 shots overall. That's a very poor conversion rate. They gave up a PK despite China having a red card.
Not being argumentative as I tail your picks regularly. But wondering whether I'm missing something.
No worries, you are very correct in what you say regarding the conversion rate against China. What I saw in that game that makes me pull the trigger on them today is the way they played that game, dominating the opponent, creating chances, not giving away any chances. I saw that penalty and to me it was a joke so I don't count that in. I just think there is quite some value in these odds given that they were also the better team against Canada when they were playing rather poorly. Surely the odds move is against them here but all that counts for me is the relation between probability as implied by the odds and the probability as I perceive it.
I can understand why one would back Canada though.
ok i take it back, Rostov not playing any D at all lol.. idk how we can hold this game to a draw, def need at least 1 more goal by rostov
Game goes as expected, Ajax are second to none at handing out gifts and not winning games they should win by 3 or more goals. But you are right it will be a tough one to hang on to.
ok i take it back, Rostov not playing any D at all lol.. idk how we can hold this game to a draw, def need at least 1 more goal by rostov
Game goes as expected, Ajax are second to none at handing out gifts and not winning games they should win by 3 or more goals. But you are right it will be a tough one to hang on to.
thanks, i did well today since u went 2-0 on the two picks i followed lol
glad i didnt touch the over on the ajax game, ud think at least 1-2 goals in 2nd half but ill take that draw!! i guess we missed some value on draw? paid well too anyway i never bet those draws ever, not even once and i made maybe 5000 soccer bets lol
thanks, i did well today since u went 2-0 on the two picks i followed lol
glad i didnt touch the over on the ajax game, ud think at least 1-2 goals in 2nd half but ill take that draw!! i guess we missed some value on draw? paid well too anyway i never bet those draws ever, not even once and i made maybe 5000 soccer bets lol
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