Sheffield Wednesday - Brighton home win 2,47 Pinnacle
This is first leg of play off Championship semifinal. The winner goes to Wembley final for 120 million game
One important thing: DESPITE TWO LEGS THERE ARE NO AWAY GOAL RULE - and this is why you can see open play, many goals and a lot of away win in play off games across the leagues, still away win in the first leg does not mean really much.
I was the first to say Brighton are up for promotion one week ago at Middlesbrough expense, but due to their passive attitude they only got a draw and have to place play off being top seeded team. What is worse, their midfielder Dale Stephens got a red card for brutal foul and he certainly misses today's fixture.
Sheffield Wednesday sent much weakened side last weekend which lost to lowly Wolves (I did not bet on this because Wolves are on a demise and face relegation next season - long story) but what is important the Owls knew they will be in the play off and that game was meaningless. Most important players: Garty Hooper, Fernando Forrestieri, Barry Banaan, Kieran Lee and Keiren Westwood did not play and Sheffield are fresh and rested for today's clash.
Despite many good changes in blue part of Sheffield in last 15 months (new Thai owner, stable investment, top recruitment in terms of managers and players) I still would not say they are favourites for Wembley advance, but today they should be fresh and rested and are favourites of this tie. If they want to mean something in the play offs they have to win home game as they don't stay much chances at Brighton which is a classical home team due to their location. Brighton away loses a part of value - yes I still tipped them ahead of Middlesbrough but I had reasons to do so - the stadiums have completely different locations and it will clearly affect the game. Hillsborough surrounded by hills, Brighton are close to the sea. This certainly affects the game play and home team will be favourite in this fixture each time.
Sheffield Wednesday are only in the play off due to bad start, the more season proceeded their game was better and they knew for some time they will be maximum in the play offs and have had no cope for direct promotion. Brighton was the part of three horse racing, missed direct promotion in the very last moment and can be more tired and a bit broken after unsuccessful mission.
Rested, well managed, used to their role team at their home will try to give the challenge and I believe home team will be the winner today. Odds favouring home team and all the press suggesting to play on draw makes me try to bet on the home team today. I believe this game will not go into draw as there has been too many between them recently and when every average bettor will try to play on 'reasonable draw' I believe this game will have a winner. And it hopefully will be the home team.
Sheffield Wednesday - Brighton home win 2,47 Pinnacle
This is first leg of play off Championship semifinal. The winner goes to Wembley final for 120 million game
One important thing: DESPITE TWO LEGS THERE ARE NO AWAY GOAL RULE - and this is why you can see open play, many goals and a lot of away win in play off games across the leagues, still away win in the first leg does not mean really much.
I was the first to say Brighton are up for promotion one week ago at Middlesbrough expense, but due to their passive attitude they only got a draw and have to place play off being top seeded team. What is worse, their midfielder Dale Stephens got a red card for brutal foul and he certainly misses today's fixture.
Sheffield Wednesday sent much weakened side last weekend which lost to lowly Wolves (I did not bet on this because Wolves are on a demise and face relegation next season - long story) but what is important the Owls knew they will be in the play off and that game was meaningless. Most important players: Garty Hooper, Fernando Forrestieri, Barry Banaan, Kieran Lee and Keiren Westwood did not play and Sheffield are fresh and rested for today's clash.
Despite many good changes in blue part of Sheffield in last 15 months (new Thai owner, stable investment, top recruitment in terms of managers and players) I still would not say they are favourites for Wembley advance, but today they should be fresh and rested and are favourites of this tie. If they want to mean something in the play offs they have to win home game as they don't stay much chances at Brighton which is a classical home team due to their location. Brighton away loses a part of value - yes I still tipped them ahead of Middlesbrough but I had reasons to do so - the stadiums have completely different locations and it will clearly affect the game. Hillsborough surrounded by hills, Brighton are close to the sea. This certainly affects the game play and home team will be favourite in this fixture each time.
Sheffield Wednesday are only in the play off due to bad start, the more season proceeded their game was better and they knew for some time they will be maximum in the play offs and have had no cope for direct promotion. Brighton was the part of three horse racing, missed direct promotion in the very last moment and can be more tired and a bit broken after unsuccessful mission.
Rested, well managed, used to their role team at their home will try to give the challenge and I believe home team will be the winner today. Odds favouring home team and all the press suggesting to play on draw makes me try to bet on the home team today. I believe this game will not go into draw as there has been too many between them recently and when every average bettor will try to play on 'reasonable draw' I believe this game will have a winner. And it hopefully will be the home team.
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