EPL: 6-5-0 (+0.59)
Leans:
Leicester/Man United-
Leicester have draws with Everton and Arsenal at home, and are a trustworthy side in terms of consistency. They have played an extremely challenging schedule and have come away with 5 points. Man United are completely unbackable on the road @ -150 so that play is totally out of the question. While the value is definitely on Leicester +0.50, its hard to know which Man U will show up, as they are starving for a win, and are featuring new talent that still hasn’t completely won over the fans. If Leicester want to come away with a point against a team with this much firepower they are going to need to keep a tight backline, and I expect them to look more defensive on the day. Likewise it would be wise of Man U to stay patient and not force anything, as Leicester have proven they can score (particularly @ home) against the stronger sides, scoring 3 goals in their 2 home matches against Everton and Arsenal. As bad as Man United’s results have been they have kept 2 clean sheets, and only allowed 2 goals in 4 matches. For my money the best wager appears to be the UNDER 2.5 @ +117, but do I really want to hold my breath for 90 minutes with DiMaria, Rooney, Falcao, etc. running around the pitch? Not sure…
Tottenham/West Brom-
West Brom haven’t scored in their last 3 outings in the EPL, granted they have played a difficult schedule. Unfortunately, the difficult schedule continues tomorrow, although they will return some players from injury. It hasn’t exactly looked great for Tottenham either, but they rested most of their lineup for the midweek match and I think they will show up for this one in better form. West Brom gave Tottenham some trouble last year drawing them both times the teams met, but West Brom hasn’t beaten Tottenham since Dec. 28, 2008 and I doubt that changes tomorrow. Tottenham are away at Arsenal next week, so they will not take these 3 points for granted tomorrow. I think Tottenham will bring a strong performance tomorrow and I’d consider taking a shot on Tottenham -1.25 @ +120.