EPL: 2-3-0 (-0.25)
Crystal Palace ML @ +121 (1.00 to win 1.21)
Crystal Palace have gotten off to a slow start, there is no denying that, but I think this team will be a solid middle of the table team over the course of the year. The loss at Arsenal 2-1 in the opener doesn’t say much. The loss at home against West Ham would be the most worrisome result yet, but I think this team is completely different with Puncheon, and he was red-carded in that match. With Puncheon back, and Dwight Gayle in such good form, I don’t see Burnley keeping this team off the scoresheet at home. Burnley on the other hand have really struggled to score, scoring only once in their premier league campaign, that 1 goal coming at home. While Palace struggles have primarily been defensive, they are facing a team that has a lacking attack and I think they will be okay defensively at home. While Burnley have been tight at the back so far, I think Palace will be too much for them to handle on the day. Burnley has played a very tough schedule and that may equate to more confidence heading into this match, but I think Palace will get the better of them over the course of 90 minutes, and I will take a shot on a team whose value is currently too low given the start they have had to the season against a team whose value is a bit high coming off of a draw with Manchester United.
I am getting this play in early as I expect this price will no longer be available come the weekend. More to come as we get closer...