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Author: [Soccer] Topic: Russian Premier League week 19
emduece
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#1
Posted: 12/6/2012 10:34:18 PM
68-5-76 -7u

DISCLAIMER
The plays you make should always be your own, just consider this thread a second opinion from a complete stranger online. (credit to this goes to Dwyer of gamblersadvisory)

Friday 7.12

9,30am EST

Krasnodar PK, +.5 -125 2u
Rostov/ Krasnodar OVER 1st half .5,1 -125 1u

Only one match for unpredictable friday. Rostov has never beaten Krasnodar with 2 draws and 4 losses in 6 matches h2h. On the other hand Krasnodar has no wins on the road this season. Rostov has kept a clean sheet in the last 4 matches but i do not expect that to continue. I like Krasnodar in this spot because their last 6 matches have all been against teams in the upper half of the league table, alternating home wins and road losses. Rostov has a loss to Zenit and Kuban then they had this nice little run of 4 games clean sheets; 3-0 over amkar, 0-0 anzhi, then 2 2nil wins over mordovya and krylya. i would play the over for the game but i got a feeling it ends in a draw 1-1.
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madashman
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#2
Posted: 12/6/2012 11:24:00 PM
i'm gonna hold you accountable for all plays you post here on covers and will hunt you down throughout the tri state area if you post anymore losers....btw gl emduece
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madashman
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#3
Posted: 12/6/2012 11:25:21 PM
oh yeah, i like that krasnodar play as well but only will probably take dinamo on sunday
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emduece
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#4
Posted: 12/6/2012 11:36:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by madashman:

i'm gonna hold you accountable for all plays you post here on covers and will hunt you down throughout the tri state area if you post anymore losers....btw gl emduece


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#5
Posted: 12/7/2012 5:37:31 AM
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#6
Posted: 12/7/2012 6:46:43 AM
BOL today  I'm glad I live over the boarder in sunny CT everyone is happy here 
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#7
Posted: 12/7/2012 7:13:21 AM
bol today
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emduece
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#8
Posted: 12/7/2012 11:51:06 AM
jt 
gamble
jabbadon

saturday leans

krylya pk, +.5
kuban/alaniya over
lokomotiv/ volga over

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#9
Posted: 12/7/2012 12:21:57 PM
Nice hit bro thx
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#10
Posted: 12/7/2012 12:22:21 PM
Nice hit bro thx
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emduece
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#11
Posted: 12/7/2012 9:39:48 PM
Saturday 8.12

3,00am EST

Amkar Perm' vs Krylya Sovetov

I have been somewhat suspicious of Amkar in recent weeks. they are said to be the most "friendly" team in the league and are open to dogovorki with anyone for a few rubles. Krylya are also untrustworthy. i think it was last year where they were doing so poorly in the standings they were about to be relegated for the first time in team history. they go on to win 2-1 on the road in Krasnodar in a very suspicious manner. IMO its not worth it to play this game for anymore than a unit because anything can happen between these two crapshoots.

Fix theories aside, Krylya have never won in Perm'. Their last 7 matches are atrocious, being outscored 1-16. Both teams have a stat where whoever goes on to score first is almost guaranteed to not lose. lately i have seen first half lines at over .5,1 and i want to play it until it fails to cash but at -145 & coupled with the fact that it will be 6*f/-20*c in Perm' tomorrow im backing off. Amkar face Krasnodar next while Krylya come home to face a well-oiled CSKA machine. Public and many "experts" are on Amkar but ill take a shot for a small wager on the Soviet Wings.

Krylya Sovetov +.5 -115 1u



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emduece
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#12
Posted: 12/7/2012 11:03:31 PM
5,30am EST
Kuban' Krasnodar vs. Alaniya Vladikavkaz

Alaniya another pitiful team on the road with no wins in 8 attempts. Alaniya has not scored in 5 games. Kuban' is very tough to beat at home.. last 70 matches at home if Kuban' scores first it has not lost. They have also never failed to score at home this season. not much else to say here. home team should win by a huge margin but im not feeling the -1,1.5 that much. Alaniya is kind of desperate too.. i wouldnt be shocked to see them squeak out some kind of result. i like the over as i expect kuban to score two, but it might come down to alaniya finally putting one in net.

8,00am EST
Lokomotiv Moskva vs. Volga Nizhniy Novgorod

Volga have picked up a few surprising results recently, drawing win Terek, Rubin, & Spartak in their last three matches. Lokomotiv has won its last three and plays Dinamo next so i expect them to take care of business here. Hoping Loko score early and often here.

Kuban'/ Alaniya OVER 2.5 -110 1u
Kuban' 1st half ML -115 1u


Lokomotiv 1st half ML -120 2u


PARLEY
Kuban' ML -265
Lokomotiv ML -295
1u/.85u



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#13
Posted: 12/7/2012 11:54:34 PM
i like kuban a lot
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emduece
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#14
Posted: 12/8/2012 1:04:27 AM
Dash
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#15
Posted: 12/8/2012 2:10:03 AM
how bout a 0-0 DRAW fest in the 3am -20 degree both shet teams 
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emduece
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#16
Posted: 12/8/2012 3:09:37 AM
krylya counterattack and amkar own goal haha 6'
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#17
Posted: 12/8/2012 3:10:12 AM
wow 1-0 krylya 5 mins in unreal, 
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#18
Posted: 12/8/2012 3:10:44 AM
i took amkar first half not good start
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#19
Posted: 12/8/2012 3:41:46 AM
wow 2-0 now un real, 
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emduece
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#20
Posted: 12/8/2012 3:41:55 AM
Krylya 2 why didnt i take the over lol
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#21
Posted: 12/8/2012 3:45:26 AM
2-0 and a red card wow home team really pooping the bed
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#22
Posted: 12/8/2012 4:02:46 AM
Good stuff 
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emduece
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#23
Posted: 12/8/2012 4:27:13 PM
wow underdogs barked today not very good for me. neither favorite of over -200 won.

sunday leans

terek/dinamo draw
cska -2
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emduece
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#24
Posted: 12/8/2012 11:06:57 PM
Sunday 9.12

4,30am EST
Terek Grozniy vs. Dinamo Moskva

Grozniy is always a tough place to play, whether you believe that the home team simply has more confidence or they get a little bit of help from refs and what not. Petrescu's men have had the benefit of home cooking, with their last 4 matches being played in the greater Moscow area, which explains the 4 game winning streak (one of them being the awarded victory against Zenit). Dinamo still has no draws after 18 matches and i think to leave Grozniy with at least a point should suffice until their next tough game against Lokomotiv. Terek have simply played worse competition lately so i cant back them to win against a team that has been showing great form knocking off Rubin and Spartak with ease in the last two games.

  
7,00am EST
CSKA Moskva vs. Mordovya Saransk

Not much else to say here. a contender versus a pretender. if there ever was a sure thing it would be CSKA ripping Mordovya a new butthole making them wish they were back in the FNL(1st division). Play of the week here.


Dinamo Moskva PK -135 2u

CSKA Moskva -1.5,2 -135 8u
CSKMoskva 1st half -.5,1 -135 2u
CSKA/ Mordovya OVER 2.5 -150 1u
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#25
Posted: 12/9/2012 2:55:07 AM
100u on cska ml -640. just kidding
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