Quote Originally Posted by Michfan15:
Good links...I"m in the process of building a big google doc/chart that shows coaching staffs, years on staff, and past schools/experience. I find its super helpful to find past matchups between coaches when they were at former jobs. Can give you some insight into how they'll coach an upcoming matchup/play a certain style, etc.
wassup MF.............
Coaching stuff is huge...
*tough to (quantify)...and understand so most ignore
BUT key week 1 especially and late in the season
WHY?....
*because oddsmakers really don't factor this stuff into the line
most all else IS already in there
Not all HC's prepare their team to go all out EVERY game..
*season goal to just win a few and not get your azz fired?
well then you BETTER beat the crap outta that FCS team > build confidence...
*just to get to 6 wins and make the Weedeater Bowl?...you might not go all out in games you can't win (not get key guys hurt early in season)...ditto the FCS / small school vs BIG school (some just wanna pick up the check / survive...some are there to fight
*play-offs / national title?....you might not want to peak early...last thing you want is the 'feel good' blowout win
Saban does this....while Miles (seems to) prepare his team to go all out every game...........
Mark Lawrence's PLAYBOOK ($9.95 usual spots) is a great reference for this kinda stuff
off a LOSS?...
*Saban is 3-11 ATS....'burst bubble effect....Bama loses their season is 'over' to players
*Stoops is the best (Kan St last year)...at 24-12 ATS
off a WIN?...carry over to next game?...or still celebrating?
*Polian at Nevada is a 75% investment (12-4)
*Tulsa under Montgomery 100% so far
*Indiana?...rare W leads to a 38% cover the next game
vs non-conf?...some love this role...some treat it as a scrimmage
*Rocky Long?...35% vs NC / 68% vs MTW
*Dantonio?...45% vs NC / 58% vs B10
*TOOberville...68% AAC / 21% vs NC
*Leach?...40% NC / 61% vs P12
WITH / VS revenge?...outcoached you once > happen again?...or reverse
*Shaw/TREE...is a 22% bet WITH..but 70% vs...'nuther words he whipped you once he's gonna do it again
*Patterson is 65% with...48% vs
*that Steve Addazio?...92% with / 38% vs
at HOME / ROAD?
*Marshall the ultimate dichotomy...20-12 H / 13-21 A
*Dantonio 46% H / 67% A
*UTEP under Kugler 9-5 H / 6-13 A
with REST?...
*Holorgsen 2-11 (maybe hits Casino) in down time....
*Whittingham 15-7...Cutcliffe 10-4...Doeren 6-1...Bailiff 13-3
A few coaches...excel under (most) any situation...
*Snyder...Shaw...Cutcliffe...BAILIFF (careful laying those 2TD boys)...Freeze
Humble when ambitious - gracious when successful - resilient when you fail.