First thing, big props to Keenan Reynolds. Dude is a stud and has left his mark on college football forever. He's a proven winner and I'm glad he'll be leading this country's defenses someday.
On to the game, I'm torn because in my heart I want to see Navy win and Reynolds go out on top. In my head, this isn't a good matchup for Navy. I know everyone is slobbering over this Pitt run defense but Pitt has the advantage. They've already faced a similar style triple option with Ga Tech......GA Tech just has bigger RBs and better OL. Also you can't look past the fact that Narduzzi is a stud coach especially with defenses. You can bet that Pitt will play alignment, assignment football this afternoon.
I know Navy has the HFA and the better QB in this game but there is more to a game than that.
Navy's DL is going to be severely undermanned in this game against the size of Pitt. Navy is going to have to make a decision in this game, put 8 people in the box and leave a single CB on Boyd's side, or play 2 high safeties to help cover him and play with 6 or 7 in the box.
Ollison is a load at RB for Pitt. He's just a freshmen but dude can go.
Pitt has several things in their corner today, Navy has 2 (HFA and QB)
I like Pitt +3 Pitt ML +125
and I lean to the Over 52
Good luck to all. Hope everyone had a great Christmas and has a Happy New Year!!
First thing, big props to Keenan Reynolds. Dude is a stud and has left his mark on college football forever. He's a proven winner and I'm glad he'll be leading this country's defenses someday.
On to the game, I'm torn because in my heart I want to see Navy win and Reynolds go out on top. In my head, this isn't a good matchup for Navy. I know everyone is slobbering over this Pitt run defense but Pitt has the advantage. They've already faced a similar style triple option with Ga Tech......GA Tech just has bigger RBs and better OL. Also you can't look past the fact that Narduzzi is a stud coach especially with defenses. You can bet that Pitt will play alignment, assignment football this afternoon.
I know Navy has the HFA and the better QB in this game but there is more to a game than that.
Navy's DL is going to be severely undermanned in this game against the size of Pitt. Navy is going to have to make a decision in this game, put 8 people in the box and leave a single CB on Boyd's side, or play 2 high safeties to help cover him and play with 6 or 7 in the box.
Ollison is a load at RB for Pitt. He's just a freshmen but dude can go.
Pitt has several things in their corner today, Navy has 2 (HFA and QB)
I like Pitt +3 Pitt ML +125
and I lean to the Over 52
Good luck to all. Hope everyone had a great Christmas and has a Happy New Year!!
Both teams rank in the bottom of Offensive possessions per game, I could only think that plays for the under. Would like to see the total rise up before game time
Both teams rank in the bottom of Offensive possessions per game, I could only think that plays for the under. Would like to see the total rise up before game time
Lean to the Over because, #1. It's a bowl game. Offense will take more shots. #2. Everyone and their mom is on the under. #3. Pitt should move the ball and Navy will get theirs too. Reynolds won't be shut out
Lean to the Over because, #1. It's a bowl game. Offense will take more shots. #2. Everyone and their mom is on the under. #3. Pitt should move the ball and Navy will get theirs too. Reynolds won't be shut out
Love your write up but EVERYONE IS IN THE OVER bud. 74% actually according to scoresandodds.com. With that many on the over, a lean towards the under might suffice.
Love your write up but EVERYONE IS IN THE OVER bud. 74% actually according to scoresandodds.com. With that many on the over, a lean towards the under might suffice.
Love your write up but EVERYONE IS IN THE OVER bud. 74% actually according to scoresandodds.com. With that many on the over, a lean towards the under might suffice.
Taking a sample from a forum like this is far more accurate that some number plastered on scoresandodds.com.....
Love your write up but EVERYONE IS IN THE OVER bud. 74% actually according to scoresandodds.com. With that many on the over, a lean towards the under might suffice.
Taking a sample from a forum like this is far more accurate that some number plastered on scoresandodds.com.....
The O/U is mute in my opinion. I also see 70% on the over - according to sportsinsighs - nothing new there, it is like that for almost any game.
I do like the play on Pitt. This opened up at Navy -5 and was down to -3 within a short amount of time. It appears that all books are now at -2.5 which is actually a big move from -3
I will have some action on Pitt because I think they have the best chance to win. I don't take the ML simply because if I am offered 2.5 points I will gladly take it. Insurance is a good thing for a tight game.
The O/U is mute in my opinion. I also see 70% on the over - according to sportsinsighs - nothing new there, it is like that for almost any game.
I do like the play on Pitt. This opened up at Navy -5 and was down to -3 within a short amount of time. It appears that all books are now at -2.5 which is actually a big move from -3
I will have some action on Pitt because I think they have the best chance to win. I don't take the ML simply because if I am offered 2.5 points I will gladly take it. Insurance is a good thing for a tight game.
Love your write up but EVERYONE IS IN THE OVER bud. 74% actually according to scoresandodds.com. With that many on the over, a lean towards the under might suffice.
Sorry to burst your bubble bud, looking at a website for %'s isn't a good idea. Especially for O/U
Love your write up but EVERYONE IS IN THE OVER bud. 74% actually according to scoresandodds.com. With that many on the over, a lean towards the under might suffice.
Sorry to burst your bubble bud, looking at a website for %'s isn't a good idea. Especially for O/U
The O/U is mute in my opinion. I also see 70% on the over - according to sportsinsighs - nothing new there, it is like that for almost any game.
I do like the play on Pitt. This opened up at Navy -5 and was down to -3 within a short amount of time. It appears that all books are now at -2.5 which is actually a big move from -3
I will have some action on Pitt because I think they have the best chance to win. I don't take the ML simply because if I am offered 2.5 points I will gladly take it. Insurance is a good thing for a tight game.
Yea I hear ya on the ML. It's not great odds but I guess it shows how strongly I feel about Pitt winning the game. If I was worried about them losing, I would buy the hook and get 3.5 to be honest.
Insurance is a good thing in a tight game though, you are 110% right.
The O/U is mute in my opinion. I also see 70% on the over - according to sportsinsighs - nothing new there, it is like that for almost any game.
I do like the play on Pitt. This opened up at Navy -5 and was down to -3 within a short amount of time. It appears that all books are now at -2.5 which is actually a big move from -3
I will have some action on Pitt because I think they have the best chance to win. I don't take the ML simply because if I am offered 2.5 points I will gladly take it. Insurance is a good thing for a tight game.
Yea I hear ya on the ML. It's not great odds but I guess it shows how strongly I feel about Pitt winning the game. If I was worried about them losing, I would buy the hook and get 3.5 to be honest.
Insurance is a good thing in a tight game though, you are 110% right.
Love your write up but EVERYONE IS IN THE OVER bud. 74% actually according to scoresandodds.com. With that many on the over, a lean towards the under might suffice.
Agreed navy is notorious for 5-6 min drives that often end in fg. The key is to win , not take chances airing it out just cus its a bowl game. Navy sticks to bread n butter n wins.
Love your write up but EVERYONE IS IN THE OVER bud. 74% actually according to scoresandodds.com. With that many on the over, a lean towards the under might suffice.
Agreed navy is notorious for 5-6 min drives that often end in fg. The key is to win , not take chances airing it out just cus its a bowl game. Navy sticks to bread n butter n wins.
Posted this in the CMU-Minny thread. This a scoring algorithm I've worked on. It's all based off stats. No personal opinion or football knowledge is placed in this. Purely #'s
Posted this in the CMU-Minny thread. This a scoring algorithm I've worked on. It's all based off stats. No personal opinion or football knowledge is placed in this. Purely #'s
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