BRIDGE PLAYS Recap: LW: 2-0, Season: 19-13 YTD. 59.375%.
So wow what a weekend! I think we picked a
couple solid winners in a week featuring tight lines and plenty of opinions,
some more fanatical than others. It proved difficult to find winners outside
the Bridge Plays, see our fun teaser LW for details on that. We did like S.Miss
who we’ve been riding high on all year but couldn’t support the pick and we
hope you also stayed away from that surprise and numerous toss up games like
Fla/Bama was destined to be. Quick recap on the winners:
UT/BAY U67 - W - I must say the UT/Bay under play was one of our more
confident plays this year and it spawned an ML/U 17-1 parlay which we hinted at
in the write up. We don't often hint to try that but we felt a good correlation
with the under and a potential upset and felt great about the under. Shout out
to Train, (who's a huge Bridge Plays fan haha) with some intel for the parlay…
anyway, if you have time for a good read, the write up was spot F’ing on.
IOWA +3.5 – W
– Did we mention these teams looked very
similar? Well we found out Iowa could handle Cook but surprisingly the rush D
came up a little short for the SU win…. But not without first putting up an
EPIC dogfight during MSU’s 22 play 9 min drive featuring 6 3rd downs and a 4th
down which led MSU to ice the win… a 3pt win. The only real danger from the 4Q
on was the chance of a freak play at the end. MSU was better by a smidge, their
run game did best Iowa but IA controlled a lead for most of the game and if not
for IA QB tossing an Int in the end zone we’re probably talking about Iowa
playing Clemson in the playoff. I’ll add that this play was big for me beyond
Covers thread stardom (lol) because 1st place in my season long college pick’em
all came down to this one. 1st Prize!
Looking forward to riding this momentum into
bowl season!
BRIDGE PLAYS Recap: LW: 2-0, Season: 19-13 YTD. 59.375%.
So wow what a weekend! I think we picked a
couple solid winners in a week featuring tight lines and plenty of opinions,
some more fanatical than others. It proved difficult to find winners outside
the Bridge Plays, see our fun teaser LW for details on that. We did like S.Miss
who we’ve been riding high on all year but couldn’t support the pick and we
hope you also stayed away from that surprise and numerous toss up games like
Fla/Bama was destined to be. Quick recap on the winners:
UT/BAY U67 - W - I must say the UT/Bay under play was one of our more
confident plays this year and it spawned an ML/U 17-1 parlay which we hinted at
in the write up. We don't often hint to try that but we felt a good correlation
with the under and a potential upset and felt great about the under. Shout out
to Train, (who's a huge Bridge Plays fan haha) with some intel for the parlay…
anyway, if you have time for a good read, the write up was spot F’ing on.
IOWA +3.5 – W
– Did we mention these teams looked very
similar? Well we found out Iowa could handle Cook but surprisingly the rush D
came up a little short for the SU win…. But not without first putting up an
EPIC dogfight during MSU’s 22 play 9 min drive featuring 6 3rd downs and a 4th
down which led MSU to ice the win… a 3pt win. The only real danger from the 4Q
on was the chance of a freak play at the end. MSU was better by a smidge, their
run game did best Iowa but IA controlled a lead for most of the game and if not
for IA QB tossing an Int in the end zone we’re probably talking about Iowa
playing Clemson in the playoff. I’ll add that this play was big for me beyond
Covers thread stardom (lol) because 1st place in my season long college pick’em
all came down to this one. 1st Prize!
Looking forward to riding this momentum into
bowl season!
Lion - Thanks. You've been killin it last couple weeks look forward to your bowl action.
Wahoo - Thanks buddy!!! Always appreciate a complement from the top brass around here.
EARLY BOWL
GAME LINES & LEANS – Any input is welcome
Stronger Leans:
FSU -6.5 / Hou – I kinda like a healthier FSU in this spot. Injuries for
Houston cleared up late in the year so we have a good idea of their ceiling.
FSU was banged up here and there since Week 1. I wish we saw FSU/UNC this year,
could have been a good clue to this one but Syracuse or NC St. may not be bad
matchup comparable even if the comp is a step down. That said I think FSU D is
pretty good.. hell they held Fla to 2 points whereas Bama gave up 15.. LOLOL-OGIC. Best way to cut it close w FSU is
shutting down their offense and create a tight game like Clem, GT, BC, Wake.
Hou sports a D that’s giving up under 4ypc in EVERY GAME! But I don’t see an
FSU on their schedule and more importantly a Cook.
So I suspect I won’t be looking into this one
long, I lean strong toward Cook and 7.9 ypc and healthy O and D units and think
we’re getting a break w/ 6.5 after Hou looked good taking Temple to ACC title
town.
Baylor +3 / UNC – Bay gets a little healthier and 3rd QB gets a few
weeks of reps I think Bay Bay O bounces back. Yes I saw the last couple games.
Team needs health and practice to get that pass game clicking to the point that
they can do more than just run. Bay had this working against Ok St w current QB
personnel. UNC strength is the rush and have a pass game to compliment it so
they need to game plan like Okla and attack w two dimensions… Oh and also slow
down Bay Bay’s O.. which is kinda the problem after UNC gave up B2B 300+ rush
yards at 5.8/c I can see this D lookin ‘Showgirls’ awful against the 330 yds
average 5 /c Baylor’s done in the last 3 games during the QB transition..
Everyone saw a few WTF things w the Bay O LW and that’s pushing bay to a FG dog.
Smarties would also have seen that UNC was worn out by Clem’s O and the game
was a weird fake punt and a late garbage time scores away from being a real
blow out. I don’t think Bay needs much improvement for a significant offensive
edge in this one… wrong team favored?
Lion - Thanks. You've been killin it last couple weeks look forward to your bowl action.
Wahoo - Thanks buddy!!! Always appreciate a complement from the top brass around here.
EARLY BOWL
GAME LINES & LEANS – Any input is welcome
Stronger Leans:
FSU -6.5 / Hou – I kinda like a healthier FSU in this spot. Injuries for
Houston cleared up late in the year so we have a good idea of their ceiling.
FSU was banged up here and there since Week 1. I wish we saw FSU/UNC this year,
could have been a good clue to this one but Syracuse or NC St. may not be bad
matchup comparable even if the comp is a step down. That said I think FSU D is
pretty good.. hell they held Fla to 2 points whereas Bama gave up 15.. LOLOL-OGIC. Best way to cut it close w FSU is
shutting down their offense and create a tight game like Clem, GT, BC, Wake.
Hou sports a D that’s giving up under 4ypc in EVERY GAME! But I don’t see an
FSU on their schedule and more importantly a Cook.
So I suspect I won’t be looking into this one
long, I lean strong toward Cook and 7.9 ypc and healthy O and D units and think
we’re getting a break w/ 6.5 after Hou looked good taking Temple to ACC title
town.
Baylor +3 / UNC – Bay gets a little healthier and 3rd QB gets a few
weeks of reps I think Bay Bay O bounces back. Yes I saw the last couple games.
Team needs health and practice to get that pass game clicking to the point that
they can do more than just run. Bay had this working against Ok St w current QB
personnel. UNC strength is the rush and have a pass game to compliment it so
they need to game plan like Okla and attack w two dimensions… Oh and also slow
down Bay Bay’s O.. which is kinda the problem after UNC gave up B2B 300+ rush
yards at 5.8/c I can see this D lookin ‘Showgirls’ awful against the 330 yds
average 5 /c Baylor’s done in the last 3 games during the QB transition..
Everyone saw a few WTF things w the Bay O LW and that’s pushing bay to a FG dog.
Smarties would also have seen that UNC was worn out by Clem’s O and the game
was a weird fake punt and a late garbage time scores away from being a real
blow out. I don’t think Bay needs much improvement for a significant offensive
edge in this one… wrong team favored?
Stanford -6.5 / Iowa– MSU run game really did Iowa in at the end. They
just looked exhausted and drained and slowed but couldn’t stop LJ Scott and Co. on a 22yd drive to ice the game. They get to face an upgrade against Heisman candidate Christian Macafrey in
this one. Game is close if Stan D has to face a faster moving pass game but
Iowa doesn’t have one of those. I think we ice this pick (get it?) if we think Stan’s
pass game also comes alive when the run gets going so really capping Hogan in
this spot because a couple key 3rd down conv will be needed. Can’t look like
Cook last week and be taking down Iowa by more than a TD. With that I’m leaning
Stan -6.5 I think they have the tools to win by a couple scores. A couple things
to still look at but I like this under a TD.
T-Tech +8.5 / LSU – Tend to say tech and 8.5 points is a good
proposition about 80% of the time. Does this look a lot like TT Ark from
earlier TY.. and I think Ark is a little better than LSU to the tune of
17pts..didn’t T-tech roll Ark by 11?... is the spread off by 36.5 points?... That's the casual fan’s logic but I am not dismissing there might be a little bit of
bias in the valuation here. A healthy UT also reminds me a bit of LSU. T-Tech
UT was a (runout?) w O’s gaining 300 rush for Tech, 400 for UT, tech wins by 1.
So I also like Fournette & Co to put up a couple yards and points of their
own. If looking into LSU’s recent past don’t try to equate the A&M D to the
Tech D, not even close and LSU should have a shot for some points but I have
been a little disappointed with this LSU O lately…
Lastly…, Don’t
jump in the boat with a bunch of Tigers before you know if the Fournette family
issue w the NCAA gets traction as your bet could be mauled to death before the game starts.
Stanford -6.5 / Iowa– MSU run game really did Iowa in at the end. They
just looked exhausted and drained and slowed but couldn’t stop LJ Scott and Co. on a 22yd drive to ice the game. They get to face an upgrade against Heisman candidate Christian Macafrey in
this one. Game is close if Stan D has to face a faster moving pass game but
Iowa doesn’t have one of those. I think we ice this pick (get it?) if we think Stan’s
pass game also comes alive when the run gets going so really capping Hogan in
this spot because a couple key 3rd down conv will be needed. Can’t look like
Cook last week and be taking down Iowa by more than a TD. With that I’m leaning
Stan -6.5 I think they have the tools to win by a couple scores. A couple things
to still look at but I like this under a TD.
T-Tech +8.5 / LSU – Tend to say tech and 8.5 points is a good
proposition about 80% of the time. Does this look a lot like TT Ark from
earlier TY.. and I think Ark is a little better than LSU to the tune of
17pts..didn’t T-tech roll Ark by 11?... is the spread off by 36.5 points?... That's the casual fan’s logic but I am not dismissing there might be a little bit of
bias in the valuation here. A healthy UT also reminds me a bit of LSU. T-Tech
UT was a (runout?) w O’s gaining 300 rush for Tech, 400 for UT, tech wins by 1.
So I also like Fournette & Co to put up a couple yards and points of their
own. If looking into LSU’s recent past don’t try to equate the A&M D to the
Tech D, not even close and LSU should have a shot for some points but I have
been a little disappointed with this LSU O lately…
Lastly…, Don’t
jump in the boat with a bunch of Tigers before you know if the Fournette family
issue w the NCAA gets traction as your bet could be mauled to death before the game starts.
SMiss +10 / Wash - Miss D got pretty injured up missing some of their
best players as the flood gates opened for WKy in H2. If their D projects to be
healthy I might start liking the line. Quick thumb through the season and Wash’s
weakness on D seems to be battling 2 decent O dimensions like Stan and Oreg
have. Ok, SMiss is not them but QB Mullens gets a lot of headlines and they
also boast two 1,000 yd rushers, one injured in H2 LW. Also not the first time SMiss
ventured into P-5 territory, they hung tough with Miss St. (16-34) and Neb
(28-36), both scrappy games Miss was in in H2 and covered. That noted both MSU
and Neb had some of their best O production those games and Wash has been
playing their best recently, against lower comp of Oreg St and Wash St. Bottom
line I think theres a play in here somewhere possible O/U but it will be highly
dependent on the health of S.Miss.
K-St +8.5 / Ark –Analysis will shake out the matchups and think this
is some higher scoring with K-State in the mix late. We’ve seen K-State as over
a TD dogs a few time TY and hang around in some high scoring games, which I
think this will be. So gotta zero in on whether KSU run really will move the
ball and how will they handle strong 2-dimensional offense of Arkey. Tend to lean
Snyder and some points here. Probably not a play, we’ve not looked too much at KSU
all year.
Mich St. +10 / Bama –Bama’s rush has a firm edge so need a reason to
believe MSU is not scoring 15 points in this one and examination of why Cook
performs great in some and so-so in others. Iowa had very few sacks this year
and not getting tons of pressure on QBs so I expected a better game for Cookie.
MSU RB Scott was a standout too LG. Playin next week maybe bama, playin in a
month. Slight lean to the points, much more to look into.
SMiss +10 / Wash - Miss D got pretty injured up missing some of their
best players as the flood gates opened for WKy in H2. If their D projects to be
healthy I might start liking the line. Quick thumb through the season and Wash’s
weakness on D seems to be battling 2 decent O dimensions like Stan and Oreg
have. Ok, SMiss is not them but QB Mullens gets a lot of headlines and they
also boast two 1,000 yd rushers, one injured in H2 LW. Also not the first time SMiss
ventured into P-5 territory, they hung tough with Miss St. (16-34) and Neb
(28-36), both scrappy games Miss was in in H2 and covered. That noted both MSU
and Neb had some of their best O production those games and Wash has been
playing their best recently, against lower comp of Oreg St and Wash St. Bottom
line I think theres a play in here somewhere possible O/U but it will be highly
dependent on the health of S.Miss.
K-St +8.5 / Ark –Analysis will shake out the matchups and think this
is some higher scoring with K-State in the mix late. We’ve seen K-State as over
a TD dogs a few time TY and hang around in some high scoring games, which I
think this will be. So gotta zero in on whether KSU run really will move the
ball and how will they handle strong 2-dimensional offense of Arkey. Tend to lean
Snyder and some points here. Probably not a play, we’ve not looked too much at KSU
all year.
Mich St. +10 / Bama –Bama’s rush has a firm edge so need a reason to
believe MSU is not scoring 15 points in this one and examination of why Cook
performs great in some and so-so in others. Iowa had very few sacks this year
and not getting tons of pressure on QBs so I expected a better game for Cookie.
MSU RB Scott was a standout too LG. Playin next week maybe bama, playin in a
month. Slight lean to the points, much more to look into.
That said I think FSU D is
pretty good.. hell they held Fla to 2 points whereas Bama gave up 15.. LOLOL-OGIC.
FWIW the Final Score may be very misleading. Florida scored on ST, an 85 punt return TD. The other TD was a 50-yard hail-mary prayer. Alabama performed better than Fl St, statistically, on both sides of the ball vs Florida. BOL this Bowls season.
That said I think FSU D is
pretty good.. hell they held Fla to 2 points whereas Bama gave up 15.. LOLOL-OGIC.
FWIW the Final Score may be very misleading. Florida scored on ST, an 85 punt return TD. The other TD was a 50-yard hail-mary prayer. Alabama performed better than Fl St, statistically, on both sides of the ball vs Florida. BOL this Bowls season.
FWIW the Final Score may be very misleading. Florida scored on ST, an 85 punt return TD. The other TD was a 50-yard hail-mary prayer. Alabama performed better than Fl St, statistically, on both sides of the ball vs Florida. BOL this Bowls season.
Thx Neil. Yeah I sometimes try to sarcastically throw some light-hearted casual fan logic in the write up and will try to make more clear when doing so. Key take-away was we like FSU's D. The T-Tech writeup had another funny one like that, full disclosure.
FWIW the Final Score may be very misleading. Florida scored on ST, an 85 punt return TD. The other TD was a 50-yard hail-mary prayer. Alabama performed better than Fl St, statistically, on both sides of the ball vs Florida. BOL this Bowls season.
Thx Neil. Yeah I sometimes try to sarcastically throw some light-hearted casual fan logic in the write up and will try to make more clear when doing so. Key take-away was we like FSU's D. The T-Tech writeup had another funny one like that, full disclosure.
Thanks bro! Liking your early Leans. I've seen the early lines (5Dimes) and some nice ones on there. Will spend next week or so making some plays. Like Marshall -7 over UConn among many others
Thanks bro! Liking your early Leans. I've seen the early lines (5Dimes) and some nice ones on there. Will spend next week or so making some plays. Like Marshall -7 over UConn among many others
Agree on Sparty, hard to believe OkieSt is catching 6.5 against the Rebels?!! Trying to wrap my head around that one and why I shouldn't put a very large wager on it as well as the ML.
Agree on Sparty, hard to believe OkieSt is catching 6.5 against the Rebels?!! Trying to wrap my head around that one and why I shouldn't put a very large wager on it as well as the ML.
Agree on Sparty, hard to believe OkieSt is catching 6.5 against the Rebels?!! Trying to wrap my head around that one and why I shouldn't put a very large wager on it as well as the ML.
Nice work this season cuz
That one's not totally on my radar, we didn't do much w okey st. this year. We have given OM a few bumps for getting their run game together after Tunsil's return which seems to make their O tick much better. Also the D seems less volatile. Bridge Plays predicted the under for OM / Miss St noting Dak by himself was too one dimensional for that D (and we like Dak). Almost lost that play because OM's O was on fire. Hard to make the comparison of MSU to OkSt since we just haven't seen enough of them.
We should note Ok.St only put up 8 rush yds total against Bay and the total was 80 and Bay's 3rd QB's first start (played ok). Seeing they have proven they can move the ball w their rush being shut down and have no prob giving up points I might want to get a clue on the total and work my way out from there. GL however you play it!
Agree on Sparty, hard to believe OkieSt is catching 6.5 against the Rebels?!! Trying to wrap my head around that one and why I shouldn't put a very large wager on it as well as the ML.
Nice work this season cuz
That one's not totally on my radar, we didn't do much w okey st. this year. We have given OM a few bumps for getting their run game together after Tunsil's return which seems to make their O tick much better. Also the D seems less volatile. Bridge Plays predicted the under for OM / Miss St noting Dak by himself was too one dimensional for that D (and we like Dak). Almost lost that play because OM's O was on fire. Hard to make the comparison of MSU to OkSt since we just haven't seen enough of them.
We should note Ok.St only put up 8 rush yds total against Bay and the total was 80 and Bay's 3rd QB's first start (played ok). Seeing they have proven they can move the ball w their rush being shut down and have no prob giving up points I might want to get a clue on the total and work my way out from there. GL however you play it!
Thanks bro! Liking your early Leans. I've seen the early lines (5Dimes) and some nice ones on there. Will spend next week or so making some plays. Like Marshall -7 over UConn among many others
Not a big Uconn checker outer this year so don't really know what they do/dont do well. I have seen Marsh a couple times but would be a little skep unless I knew fo-sho Uconn upsetting Hou was a fluke and why. I think Hou had key folks out that game. Also, i didn't see but heard some grumblings on covers about the Marsh QB performance the other week, not sure exactly what that was about but I'd like to hear back anything you find on that one!!! GL Lion!
Thanks bro! Liking your early Leans. I've seen the early lines (5Dimes) and some nice ones on there. Will spend next week or so making some plays. Like Marshall -7 over UConn among many others
Not a big Uconn checker outer this year so don't really know what they do/dont do well. I have seen Marsh a couple times but would be a little skep unless I knew fo-sho Uconn upsetting Hou was a fluke and why. I think Hou had key folks out that game. Also, i didn't see but heard some grumblings on covers about the Marsh QB performance the other week, not sure exactly what that was about but I'd like to hear back anything you find on that one!!! GL Lion!
I've been takin and fadin A&M all year and
since you've read all those picks you know that A&M doesn't get any
traction on offense if they don't get some kind of run game going. Ville run D
is often very stingy in that department but the flood gates have opened when
playing Auburn FSU, Houston, Clemson and most recently gave up a rush bonanza
against Pitt. All with good to great RBs. A&M rush is just not on the level
of those teams but could have mild success, either way we expect Allen is gunna
have to make plays.
V'ille pass D also looks good enough to handle
what A&M throws at them holding teams to 204pass ypg 55% and 6.6/att (6.6 is 87th best team this year). That’s
pretty low and thumbing the statbook we see FSU put up 377 on them but after
that it drops to the 250 range and lower and lower after that. 21TD’s 16INTs is
not a bad ratio for that D unit either. I think what ices this matchup is potential
for pressure on Allen with Ville netting 7.5 TFLs / game… of that, 33 sacks
this year off 383 att’s, or one sack per 11 attempts. No team has over 40 att's against Ville but A&M routinely goes over that especially when the run has little success so expect to see more out of Allen
A&M D has struggled against the run but
very good against the pass, and does not quit. We saw a 3 play goal line stuff down big against Ole Miss w a few seconds to go after they’d been on the field literally
the entire game and played hard late against Bama.. without 3 pick 6's, who
knows in that one. Ville is hit and miss w the run relying on their QB to do it all as their top rusher. A&M faced this kind of assault before against Miss St and Dak who
put up 17, difference here is Dak didn’t have the D to back him up so don't count on the 30 pts A&M scored in that one…But still it wasn't quite 48 in that one anyway.
Slight lean to Ville +3, they don’t have a great O but someone's gunna get a couple points and edge goes to them.
I've been takin and fadin A&M all year and
since you've read all those picks you know that A&M doesn't get any
traction on offense if they don't get some kind of run game going. Ville run D
is often very stingy in that department but the flood gates have opened when
playing Auburn FSU, Houston, Clemson and most recently gave up a rush bonanza
against Pitt. All with good to great RBs. A&M rush is just not on the level
of those teams but could have mild success, either way we expect Allen is gunna
have to make plays.
V'ille pass D also looks good enough to handle
what A&M throws at them holding teams to 204pass ypg 55% and 6.6/att (6.6 is 87th best team this year). That’s
pretty low and thumbing the statbook we see FSU put up 377 on them but after
that it drops to the 250 range and lower and lower after that. 21TD’s 16INTs is
not a bad ratio for that D unit either. I think what ices this matchup is potential
for pressure on Allen with Ville netting 7.5 TFLs / game… of that, 33 sacks
this year off 383 att’s, or one sack per 11 attempts. No team has over 40 att's against Ville but A&M routinely goes over that especially when the run has little success so expect to see more out of Allen
A&M D has struggled against the run but
very good against the pass, and does not quit. We saw a 3 play goal line stuff down big against Ole Miss w a few seconds to go after they’d been on the field literally
the entire game and played hard late against Bama.. without 3 pick 6's, who
knows in that one. Ville is hit and miss w the run relying on their QB to do it all as their top rusher. A&M faced this kind of assault before against Miss St and Dak who
put up 17, difference here is Dak didn’t have the D to back him up so don't count on the 30 pts A&M scored in that one…But still it wasn't quite 48 in that one anyway.
Slight lean to Ville +3, they don’t have a great O but someone's gunna get a couple points and edge goes to them.
Thanks bro! Liking your early Leans. I've seen the early lines (5Dimes) and some nice ones on there. Will spend next week or so making some plays. Like Marshall -7 over UConn among many others
Not a big Uconn checker outer this year so don't really know what they do/dont do well. I have seen Marsh a couple times but would be a little skep unless I knew fo-sho Uconn upsetting Hou was a fluke and why. I think Hou had key folks out that game. Also, i didn't see but heard some grumblings on covers about the Marsh QB performance the other week, not sure exactly what that was about but I'd like to hear back anything you find on that one!!! GL Lion!
Greg Ward was out for Houston in the loss to UConn so wouldn't put too much stock into that result but huskies do have a legit D this year. Marshall is Marshall minus a good QB so laying low on this one til I dig further. Other games i like are Indiana -2, TCU-Oregon Over (how can you not lol), Arky St +1.5, Bowl Green -7.5, USC -3, Cal -7, Army +22.5 (this weekend), Boise St. -3, Tulsa +14 and a couple others. Nothing final yet, of course. Also OSU-Notre Dame Over 53 looks tasty. BOL brother
Thanks bro! Liking your early Leans. I've seen the early lines (5Dimes) and some nice ones on there. Will spend next week or so making some plays. Like Marshall -7 over UConn among many others
Not a big Uconn checker outer this year so don't really know what they do/dont do well. I have seen Marsh a couple times but would be a little skep unless I knew fo-sho Uconn upsetting Hou was a fluke and why. I think Hou had key folks out that game. Also, i didn't see but heard some grumblings on covers about the Marsh QB performance the other week, not sure exactly what that was about but I'd like to hear back anything you find on that one!!! GL Lion!
Greg Ward was out for Houston in the loss to UConn so wouldn't put too much stock into that result but huskies do have a legit D this year. Marshall is Marshall minus a good QB so laying low on this one til I dig further. Other games i like are Indiana -2, TCU-Oregon Over (how can you not lol), Arky St +1.5, Bowl Green -7.5, USC -3, Cal -7, Army +22.5 (this weekend), Boise St. -3, Tulsa +14 and a couple others. Nothing final yet, of course. Also OSU-Notre Dame Over 53 looks tasty. BOL brother
Yeah. Marsh just aint my team just a little hit and miss, don't seem to know what im getting w them.
Seeing alot of folks on cal. Maybe they turned it around later but i just remember them dying in games like UT and a few others after. AF had a decent looking run late. Don't fade cuz of NM they're not bad.
Careful on that TCU over, make sure ur cappin game is sharp. That's gunna be a fanatical line, could definately hit but take my UT/Bay under LW the deck there just didn't stack up when i started poking around.
I'd also wait on OSU. Real risk all their players make it to the bowl. Barrett got that domestic abuse charge last year after the conf. champ game and even thou he was injured i'll take o/u 3 players get suspended by then. lol... and they were definately sluggish in more than a few games. I'll look at it later but really interested to see if the matchup feels more like an ND/Stan bomb fest or something else. My record in ND games is pretty bad FYI. hahahumm..
Yeah. Marsh just aint my team just a little hit and miss, don't seem to know what im getting w them.
Seeing alot of folks on cal. Maybe they turned it around later but i just remember them dying in games like UT and a few others after. AF had a decent looking run late. Don't fade cuz of NM they're not bad.
Careful on that TCU over, make sure ur cappin game is sharp. That's gunna be a fanatical line, could definately hit but take my UT/Bay under LW the deck there just didn't stack up when i started poking around.
I'd also wait on OSU. Real risk all their players make it to the bowl. Barrett got that domestic abuse charge last year after the conf. champ game and even thou he was injured i'll take o/u 3 players get suspended by then. lol... and they were definately sluggish in more than a few games. I'll look at it later but really interested to see if the matchup feels more like an ND/Stan bomb fest or something else. My record in ND games is pretty bad FYI. hahahumm..
Bridge love your write ups man. Whether I agree or not they are very nice and very well written write ups and a must read for me. Thanks for the time you put in on them.
BOL to ya this bowl season my friend. And I'll be bouncing some ideas off ya over the next couple of weeks.
Bridge love your write ups man. Whether I agree or not they are very nice and very well written write ups and a must read for me. Thanks for the time you put in on them.
BOL to ya this bowl season my friend. And I'll be bouncing some ideas off ya over the next couple of weeks.
Bridge love your write ups man. Whether I agree or not they are very nice and very well written write ups and a must read for me. Thanks for the time you put in on them.
BOL to ya this bowl season my friend. And I'll be bouncing some ideas off ya over the next couple of weeks.
Heyyy buddy. good to
hear!. And opinions are welcome I don't take critique personally in fact it
only helps me get better so fee free to launch a torpedo if you see some
losers up there. better I hear it now than if, heaven forbid, i make it a
Bridge Play ..
I am warmer on the
A&M L'ville under, getting a little more intel on Ville. and early
stage liking of ASU/WV over. That crazy Graham blitzkrieg D is feast or famine
and 2 dimensions like say Oreg/USC can sail it right past the
safeties. When ASU has their 1-2 punch at RB moving they can put up some
numbers and saw a few promising things at WR recently. I gotta get a
little more familiar with WV on that one.
Thx for dropping by look
forward to any ideas you!!
Bridge love your write ups man. Whether I agree or not they are very nice and very well written write ups and a must read for me. Thanks for the time you put in on them.
BOL to ya this bowl season my friend. And I'll be bouncing some ideas off ya over the next couple of weeks.
Heyyy buddy. good to
hear!. And opinions are welcome I don't take critique personally in fact it
only helps me get better so fee free to launch a torpedo if you see some
losers up there. better I hear it now than if, heaven forbid, i make it a
Bridge Play ..
I am warmer on the
A&M L'ville under, getting a little more intel on Ville. and early
stage liking of ASU/WV over. That crazy Graham blitzkrieg D is feast or famine
and 2 dimensions like say Oreg/USC can sail it right past the
safeties. When ASU has their 1-2 punch at RB moving they can put up some
numbers and saw a few promising things at WR recently. I gotta get a
little more familiar with WV on that one.
Thx for dropping by look
forward to any ideas you!!
MSU is not a pushover but
attacking with two dimensions seems to yield some quick points, Ark, Ole
Miss in their last two games combined for 88 pts. Teams that can put pressure
on Dak and move them off their game (hint, Dak is the whole game) seem to do
best holding them to a reasonable total, A&M, Auburn, Bama, LSU were very
effective and all have good to great D fronts... throw out Ole Miss due to
rivalry, but note they put up a pretty good 27 points in H2 after 3 or so in
H1...Outside of those games it's 30+ including a very strong performance
against a tough Mizzou D.
NCSt games either seem to
be super slow when they're playing a little better defense or point
bonanzas.... although, clem game was a bonanza one might not have
expected. They have been without their top RB Dayes for 4 games and put up
276 and 308 and 139 for about 5ypc, and one stumble against FSU for 79yds. No
other recent injuries.
MSU has a couple D players
expected to miss this one #7,8,11 tacklers which is not so significant but
missing a few top 10ish defenders who have contributed every game starts to add
up quick so expect MSU to reach down the bench for replacements and even
further for backups.
Both hitting ~40% this
year on 3rd down. Both are not bad in the TFL category but neither are really
proficient in the sack stats, MSU 25, 0 in last 3 games, NCst 31, 14 came in
BC/Wake games.. normalized looks/feels like 1-2 sacks per game. On the
motivational / wishey washey good feeling note, Dak's and Brissette in their
last games both very good careers, Dak much better this year but both will be
showing off for scouts as both are mid range QB draft prospects.
So we more/less think we
know what we’re getting with these two and no reason to discount the O’s and
not real confident either D steps up in this one. I will add for the degenerate crowd that at 5.5pt dogs and +180 on the ML, we shouldn't hate the prospect of a shootout that gives NCSt. a chance to keep it close.
MSU is not a pushover but
attacking with two dimensions seems to yield some quick points, Ark, Ole
Miss in their last two games combined for 88 pts. Teams that can put pressure
on Dak and move them off their game (hint, Dak is the whole game) seem to do
best holding them to a reasonable total, A&M, Auburn, Bama, LSU were very
effective and all have good to great D fronts... throw out Ole Miss due to
rivalry, but note they put up a pretty good 27 points in H2 after 3 or so in
H1...Outside of those games it's 30+ including a very strong performance
against a tough Mizzou D.
NCSt games either seem to
be super slow when they're playing a little better defense or point
bonanzas.... although, clem game was a bonanza one might not have
expected. They have been without their top RB Dayes for 4 games and put up
276 and 308 and 139 for about 5ypc, and one stumble against FSU for 79yds. No
other recent injuries.
MSU has a couple D players
expected to miss this one #7,8,11 tacklers which is not so significant but
missing a few top 10ish defenders who have contributed every game starts to add
up quick so expect MSU to reach down the bench for replacements and even
further for backups.
Both hitting ~40% this
year on 3rd down. Both are not bad in the TFL category but neither are really
proficient in the sack stats, MSU 25, 0 in last 3 games, NCst 31, 14 came in
BC/Wake games.. normalized looks/feels like 1-2 sacks per game. On the
motivational / wishey washey good feeling note, Dak's and Brissette in their
last games both very good careers, Dak much better this year but both will be
showing off for scouts as both are mid range QB draft prospects.
So we more/less think we
know what we’re getting with these two and no reason to discount the O’s and
not real confident either D steps up in this one. I will add for the degenerate crowd that at 5.5pt dogs and +180 on the ML, we shouldn't hate the prospect of a shootout that gives NCSt. a chance to keep it close.
I mean the news reports are out Stidham unlikely to play, downgraded to doubtful on donbest's injury report im sure on others too.... That broken ankle injury is one you don't mess with, some can take months to fully recover/full mobility, etc. I just don't see Briles putting his future at risk even if theres a chance you play this one out and call it a season IMO. I'll tell you if you look up Baylor's practice reports and don't hear about him practicing it's a done deal the way they will need to click in the passing game. Might as well train you're #3 because I still think they have a chance...although at -2 or whatever it is now forget it. not the risk we want at all.
i kindof like whover's getting odds/points in this one so thinking take UNC ML +110 now and maybe we go + on baylor's ML close to game time. when everyone remembers this team lost to texas... haha. well just my take...would have been a deal at +130 but that was never up at my book.
I mean the news reports are out Stidham unlikely to play, downgraded to doubtful on donbest's injury report im sure on others too.... That broken ankle injury is one you don't mess with, some can take months to fully recover/full mobility, etc. I just don't see Briles putting his future at risk even if theres a chance you play this one out and call it a season IMO. I'll tell you if you look up Baylor's practice reports and don't hear about him practicing it's a done deal the way they will need to click in the passing game. Might as well train you're #3 because I still think they have a chance...although at -2 or whatever it is now forget it. not the risk we want at all.
i kindof like whover's getting odds/points in this one so thinking take UNC ML +110 now and maybe we go + on baylor's ML close to game time. when everyone remembers this team lost to texas... haha. well just my take...would have been a deal at +130 but that was never up at my book.
BRIDGE PLAYS Recap: LW: 2-0, Season: 19-13 YTD. 59.375%.
So wow what a weekend! I think we picked a
couple solid winners in a week featuring tight lines and plenty of opinions,
some more fanatical than others. It proved difficult to find winners outside
the Bridge Plays, see our fun teaser LW for details on that. We did like S.Miss
who we’ve been riding high on all year but couldn’t support the pick and we
hope you also stayed away from that surprise and numerous toss up games like
Fla/Bama was destined to be. Quick recap on the winners:
UT/BAY U67 - W - I must say the UT/Bay under play was one of our more
confident plays this year and it spawned an ML/U 17-1 parlay which we hinted at
in the write up. We don't often hint to try that but we felt a good correlation
with the under and a potential upset and felt great about the under. Shout out
to Train, (who's a huge Bridge Plays fan haha) with some intel for the parlay…
anyway, if you have time for a good read, the write up was spot F’ing on.
IOWA +3.5 – W
– Did we mention these teams looked very
similar? Well we found out Iowa could handle Cook but surprisingly the rush D
came up a little short for the SU win…. But not without first putting up an
EPIC dogfight during MSU’s 22 play 9 min drive featuring 6 3rd downs and a 4th
down which led MSU to ice the win… a 3pt win. The only real danger from the 4Q
on was the chance of a freak play at the end. MSU was better by a smidge, their
run game did best Iowa but IA controlled a lead for most of the game and if not
for IA QB tossing an Int in the end zone we’re probably talking about Iowa
playing Clemson in the playoff. I’ll add that this play was big for me beyond
Covers thread stardom (lol) because 1st place in my season long college pick’em
all came down to this one. 1st Prize!
Looking forward to riding this momentum into
bowl season!
o/u on byu vs utah is 51. where do u get the 67 from?
BRIDGE PLAYS Recap: LW: 2-0, Season: 19-13 YTD. 59.375%.
So wow what a weekend! I think we picked a
couple solid winners in a week featuring tight lines and plenty of opinions,
some more fanatical than others. It proved difficult to find winners outside
the Bridge Plays, see our fun teaser LW for details on that. We did like S.Miss
who we’ve been riding high on all year but couldn’t support the pick and we
hope you also stayed away from that surprise and numerous toss up games like
Fla/Bama was destined to be. Quick recap on the winners:
UT/BAY U67 - W - I must say the UT/Bay under play was one of our more
confident plays this year and it spawned an ML/U 17-1 parlay which we hinted at
in the write up. We don't often hint to try that but we felt a good correlation
with the under and a potential upset and felt great about the under. Shout out
to Train, (who's a huge Bridge Plays fan haha) with some intel for the parlay…
anyway, if you have time for a good read, the write up was spot F’ing on.
IOWA +3.5 – W
– Did we mention these teams looked very
similar? Well we found out Iowa could handle Cook but surprisingly the rush D
came up a little short for the SU win…. But not without first putting up an
EPIC dogfight during MSU’s 22 play 9 min drive featuring 6 3rd downs and a 4th
down which led MSU to ice the win… a 3pt win. The only real danger from the 4Q
on was the chance of a freak play at the end. MSU was better by a smidge, their
run game did best Iowa but IA controlled a lead for most of the game and if not
for IA QB tossing an Int in the end zone we’re probably talking about Iowa
playing Clemson in the playoff. I’ll add that this play was big for me beyond
Covers thread stardom (lol) because 1st place in my season long college pick’em
all came down to this one. 1st Prize!
Looking forward to riding this momentum into
bowl season!
o/u on byu vs utah is 51. where do u get the 67 from?
o/u on byu vs utah is 51. where do u get the 67 from?
That was the recap of the plays during champ week. U.Texas/Bay Under 67.
I haven't looked over Utah/BYU and probably won't get around to it but 57 doesn't sound like a bad deal w Booker injured if that's where you are going with it. BOL!
o/u on byu vs utah is 51. where do u get the 67 from?
That was the recap of the plays during champ week. U.Texas/Bay Under 67.
I haven't looked over Utah/BYU and probably won't get around to it but 57 doesn't sound like a bad deal w Booker injured if that's where you are going with it. BOL!
Hope you all snatched up that A&M / L'Ville when you could. I actually grabbed it at 50.5 up 2.5 points from my posting and that was after Allen had announced his departure... . I launched a full bet when the Murray news hit. Line's 46.5 now, expecting it might go down a little further. I must say 46.5 might even be too high with these DEEZ and the TFL's per play and sacks per pass att make the under feel strong... might consider the middler at 43. I guess with the line movement can't call it a play now but I've been talking it up enough and played A&M one way or another all year you all knew I was playing it.... on that note, better post this one:
FIRST PLAY:
NC St. / MSU O 59.... See my post on this one above, not much else to say I picked it up shortly after I posted. Yes it is up to 60.5... one day after I posted and bet it lol .. but I still think there's some value in there for you as the games these two played that go over seem to SAIL into the stratosphere and I think the chemical makeup of these two fits the mold for a big offensive output.
Hope you all snatched up that A&M / L'Ville when you could. I actually grabbed it at 50.5 up 2.5 points from my posting and that was after Allen had announced his departure... . I launched a full bet when the Murray news hit. Line's 46.5 now, expecting it might go down a little further. I must say 46.5 might even be too high with these DEEZ and the TFL's per play and sacks per pass att make the under feel strong... might consider the middler at 43. I guess with the line movement can't call it a play now but I've been talking it up enough and played A&M one way or another all year you all knew I was playing it.... on that note, better post this one:
FIRST PLAY:
NC St. / MSU O 59.... See my post on this one above, not much else to say I picked it up shortly after I posted. Yes it is up to 60.5... one day after I posted and bet it lol .. but I still think there's some value in there for you as the games these two played that go over seem to SAIL into the stratosphere and I think the chemical makeup of these two fits the mold for a big offensive output.
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