Great week last week, on a very good 2 week run after the Week 3 debacle. Still have some leans out there, waiting on numbers and early game results.
Week 1: 4-1 +530
Week 2: 4-6 -610
Week 3: 0-6 -1140
Week 4: 4-1-2 +580
Week 5: 8-2 +1080
YTD: 20-16-2 +$440
Week 6 Plays:
Temple -13.5 $200 The Owls have the edge on defense where they only allow 15.5 ppg against Tulane's 90th ranked scoring offense. Temple's also boasts the 16th best ranking on defensive 3rd down conversions. Tulane's offense will have a tough time staying on the field and their special teams have atrocious all year.
Middle Tennessee/Western Kentucky Over 69.5 $150 Both teams average right around 39 ppg. MTSU has a little more balance but is just as explosive in the passing game led by WR Ed'Marques Batties and his 40/528/8 line. Blue Raiders QB Brent Stockstill has 13/2 TD/INT ratio that is only slightly bested by Brandon Doughty's 15/2 ratio. Doughty has already hit 2000 yards passing. These two combined for 97 points last year.
Appalachian State -14.5 $200 The Mountaineers have the 12th best rushing attack in the country and face the 107th ranked rush defense in the Georgia Dome today. Georgia State is very capable of moving the ball, but it may not translate into points as AppSt has the #1 ranked red-zone defense in the country.
Northwestern +10 $200 This should be an absolutely brutal game to watch and I can't wait! Not seeing why UM is giving DD points here... The Wildcats have the two best wins by far with Stanford and Duke when comparing the two teams. Rudock still turns the ball over too much as Michigan is -2 in turnover margin and NW is +4. I'm also planning on playing the Under and thinking about the ML.
Leans: Oklahoma, Miss St, ECU, Wazzou, Utah St, Boise, Utah
Great week last week, on a very good 2 week run after the Week 3 debacle. Still have some leans out there, waiting on numbers and early game results.
Week 1: 4-1 +530
Week 2: 4-6 -610
Week 3: 0-6 -1140
Week 4: 4-1-2 +580
Week 5: 8-2 +1080
YTD: 20-16-2 +$440
Week 6 Plays:
Temple -13.5 $200 The Owls have the edge on defense where they only allow 15.5 ppg against Tulane's 90th ranked scoring offense. Temple's also boasts the 16th best ranking on defensive 3rd down conversions. Tulane's offense will have a tough time staying on the field and their special teams have atrocious all year.
Middle Tennessee/Western Kentucky Over 69.5 $150 Both teams average right around 39 ppg. MTSU has a little more balance but is just as explosive in the passing game led by WR Ed'Marques Batties and his 40/528/8 line. Blue Raiders QB Brent Stockstill has 13/2 TD/INT ratio that is only slightly bested by Brandon Doughty's 15/2 ratio. Doughty has already hit 2000 yards passing. These two combined for 97 points last year.
Appalachian State -14.5 $200 The Mountaineers have the 12th best rushing attack in the country and face the 107th ranked rush defense in the Georgia Dome today. Georgia State is very capable of moving the ball, but it may not translate into points as AppSt has the #1 ranked red-zone defense in the country.
Northwestern +10 $200 This should be an absolutely brutal game to watch and I can't wait! Not seeing why UM is giving DD points here... The Wildcats have the two best wins by far with Stanford and Duke when comparing the two teams. Rudock still turns the ball over too much as Michigan is -2 in turnover margin and NW is +4. I'm also planning on playing the Under and thinking about the ML.
Leans: Oklahoma, Miss St, ECU, Wazzou, Utah St, Boise, Utah
Northwestern/Michigan Under 37 $100 Last year was 0-0 at halftime with a 10-9 final, 2 years ago it was tied at 9 at the end of regulation before they went 3 OT's to decide the winner. Game should be played between the 20's with some field goals, hopefully neither gives up easy points on short fields from turnovers (I'm looking at you Jake Rudock).
Northwestern/Michigan Under 37 $100 Last year was 0-0 at halftime with a 10-9 final, 2 years ago it was tied at 9 at the end of regulation before they went 3 OT's to decide the winner. Game should be played between the 20's with some field goals, hopefully neither gives up easy points on short fields from turnovers (I'm looking at you Jake Rudock).
Boise State -14.5 $200 The Broncos have scored 50+ in 3 straight games and only allowed 14 total points in that span since the heartbreaking loss @ BYU in Week 2. They have yet to allow a team to rush for 100 yards also.... Turnover ratio has Boise +8 and CSU -9. The Rams rush defense has gotten gradually worse as the season has progressed as they have allowed almost 300 yards rushing each of the last 2 weeks to UTSA and Utah State. Jeremy McNichols should have a field day and Brett Rypien will make the Rams pay with a trick play.
Boise State -14.5 $200 The Broncos have scored 50+ in 3 straight games and only allowed 14 total points in that span since the heartbreaking loss @ BYU in Week 2. They have yet to allow a team to rush for 100 yards also.... Turnover ratio has Boise +8 and CSU -9. The Rams rush defense has gotten gradually worse as the season has progressed as they have allowed almost 300 yards rushing each of the last 2 weeks to UTSA and Utah State. Jeremy McNichols should have a field day and Brett Rypien will make the Rams pay with a trick play.
Utah State -12 $200 The Aggies are 5-1 ATS as a road favorite the last 3 seasons. USU's rush defense only yields 107.5 ypg while the Bulldogs have 215, 221, 291, and 305 rushing yards the last 4 weeks. I couldn't find any info if Fresno RB Marteze Waller was playing or not, but I don't think it will matter.
Utah State -12 $200 The Aggies are 5-1 ATS as a road favorite the last 3 seasons. USU's rush defense only yields 107.5 ypg while the Bulldogs have 215, 221, 291, and 305 rushing yards the last 4 weeks. I couldn't find any info if Fresno RB Marteze Waller was playing or not, but I don't think it will matter.
Temple +$200 Owls outscored the Green Wave 28-0 in the 2nd half on their way to 49 points. Owls held Tulane to 2-15 on 3rd down conversions
MTSU/WKU Over +$150 This hit 4 minutes into the 2nd half with the Hilltoppers doing most of the damage.
Appalachian State +$200 Another easy one as Georgia State was non-competitive only gaining 225 yards for the game. Showdown with Georgia Southern on the 22nd.
Northwestern -$220 Swiiiiiiing and a miss! Wildcats cleary outclassed and could do NOTHING against the Michigan front 7 with only 168 total yards on a measly 4.8 yards/play.
Northwestern/Michigan Under -$120 2 non-offensive touchdowns hurt, but this was still alive until Michigan powered in a final TD with 2:14 left.
Boise State +$200 Broncos opened the scoring with a trick play and never looked back rushing for 201 yards and going +2 in turnovers.
Utah State +$200 After the Fresno tied the game at 7 to end the 1st quarter the Aggies scored 36 unanswered as the defense only allowed 82 rushing yards on 42 attempts. QB Kent Myers threw for a career high 260 yards.
Week 5: 5-2 +$610
YTD: 25-18-2 +$1050
On a great 3 week run now, hitting 17 of my last 22. There are some awesome games next week and there are gonna be some big spreads worth looking at like WKU @ North Texas and Temple hosting UCF. Can't wait!
Temple +$200 Owls outscored the Green Wave 28-0 in the 2nd half on their way to 49 points. Owls held Tulane to 2-15 on 3rd down conversions
MTSU/WKU Over +$150 This hit 4 minutes into the 2nd half with the Hilltoppers doing most of the damage.
Appalachian State +$200 Another easy one as Georgia State was non-competitive only gaining 225 yards for the game. Showdown with Georgia Southern on the 22nd.
Northwestern -$220 Swiiiiiiing and a miss! Wildcats cleary outclassed and could do NOTHING against the Michigan front 7 with only 168 total yards on a measly 4.8 yards/play.
Northwestern/Michigan Under -$120 2 non-offensive touchdowns hurt, but this was still alive until Michigan powered in a final TD with 2:14 left.
Boise State +$200 Broncos opened the scoring with a trick play and never looked back rushing for 201 yards and going +2 in turnovers.
Utah State +$200 After the Fresno tied the game at 7 to end the 1st quarter the Aggies scored 36 unanswered as the defense only allowed 82 rushing yards on 42 attempts. QB Kent Myers threw for a career high 260 yards.
Week 5: 5-2 +$610
YTD: 25-18-2 +$1050
On a great 3 week run now, hitting 17 of my last 22. There are some awesome games next week and there are gonna be some big spreads worth looking at like WKU @ North Texas and Temple hosting UCF. Can't wait!
Nice week bro.....I won huge on APP ST as well.....That was a mis-match and APP could have won by 50 had they not rotated a lot of their 2nd string guys in early.......I actually bet that game on Monday at -19.5 because I thought it may move up to 21...Jut the opposite I bet it again wwhen it went below 17 and when I seen it at -14 I was shocked and dipped into next weeks bank roll to lay more on it........That team could could play in a Power 5 CONF.......They actually out rushed Clemson on YPC but still were beat bad as their WR's could just not get open for their QB and had no passing game.....
Nice hit with Temple.....I was leaning that way but just did not have the guts to pull the trigger........They should have no problem winning the AAC crown.......I have a huge prop bet on them winning over 7 games this year.....Just need 3 more.
Not sure when lines come out but your right about the Temple UCF match-up....UCF may have the worse offensive line in FBS....They are allowing so much penetration (at least in the 2 games I have seen) They are only rushing for 49 YDS per game which is dead last (128th) in the FBS and their QB is not good enough to carry that offense alone without the threat of a running game.....On top of it all they are playing @ Temple who have one of the best defenses in CFB and their strength of that "D" is their front 7 - stopping the run and pressuring the QB......I just dont see how UCF is going to move the ball....Temple should have some short fields to work with and UCF defense is nothing special.....UCF is 0 - 6 and have a lost against FCS DIV 2 Furman......I am not sure when the opening lines come out but I would guess the line would be Temple -25 or so....
Oh yeah on your post #9 you listed your record this week but labeled it week 5 instead of week 6.....Im sure everybody knows what you mean but it may cause confusion if you or someone else looks back to add record total.
Nice week bro.....I won huge on APP ST as well.....That was a mis-match and APP could have won by 50 had they not rotated a lot of their 2nd string guys in early.......I actually bet that game on Monday at -19.5 because I thought it may move up to 21...Jut the opposite I bet it again wwhen it went below 17 and when I seen it at -14 I was shocked and dipped into next weeks bank roll to lay more on it........That team could could play in a Power 5 CONF.......They actually out rushed Clemson on YPC but still were beat bad as their WR's could just not get open for their QB and had no passing game.....
Nice hit with Temple.....I was leaning that way but just did not have the guts to pull the trigger........They should have no problem winning the AAC crown.......I have a huge prop bet on them winning over 7 games this year.....Just need 3 more.
Not sure when lines come out but your right about the Temple UCF match-up....UCF may have the worse offensive line in FBS....They are allowing so much penetration (at least in the 2 games I have seen) They are only rushing for 49 YDS per game which is dead last (128th) in the FBS and their QB is not good enough to carry that offense alone without the threat of a running game.....On top of it all they are playing @ Temple who have one of the best defenses in CFB and their strength of that "D" is their front 7 - stopping the run and pressuring the QB......I just dont see how UCF is going to move the ball....Temple should have some short fields to work with and UCF defense is nothing special.....UCF is 0 - 6 and have a lost against FCS DIV 2 Furman......I am not sure when the opening lines come out but I would guess the line would be Temple -25 or so....
Oh yeah on your post #9 you listed your record this week but labeled it week 5 instead of week 6.....Im sure everybody knows what you mean but it may cause confusion if you or someone else looks back to add record total.
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