Getting these games in early......Waiting for line movement for some others......Will have write-ups for my key games later in the week.
Duke -10 VS Army.......This is the first time I have bet Duke maybe ever....I was very impressed how they prepared and played against the G- Tech triple option a couple weeks ago....Army plays a similiar offense to that of Georgia Tech except they are smaller and less athletic...Dukes defense has looked very good this season and I have been suprised how well QB Thomas Sirk has been able to lead this offense combining for over 1300 YDS of passing and rushing in his first season as a starter despite going against some tough defenses himself....
Appalachian ST - 19.5 VS Georgia ST..........I have G-State ranked at 125th out of 128 FBS teams......This is just a very bad team who actually have a good QB but nothing to put around him...G-States defense is allowing over 39 points a game and over 200 YDS a game rushing despite playing 3 very bad teams themselves....APP ST has one of the best ground attacks in college football and a QB who can throw the ball well when needed to.....There defense is ranked 11th in the nation......I see a blowout in this game and like APP ST by 4-6 TDS.
Northern Illonois -11 VS Ball ST......I love this game......N.ILL is a pizzed off team right now......The last 3 weeks they have been on the road against 3 tough teams with good defenses and played well in all 3 games but just came up short.....Finally they are at home playing Ball ST who is giving up over 470 YDS per game and well over 200 on the ground.....N ILL bring back their dual threat QB Drew Hare and he will have a field day against this Ball ST squad.....They will have this 11 pt spread covered in the 1st half if not sooner.
Also like
BYU -7 VS E. Carolina
Florida ST -10 VS Miami
Arizona -10.5 VS Oregon ST
Waiting for some line adjustments on my underdog plays
will have more games and break downs later...IU feel another winning week coming up for me.
Getting these games in early......Waiting for line movement for some others......Will have write-ups for my key games later in the week.
Duke -10 VS Army.......This is the first time I have bet Duke maybe ever....I was very impressed how they prepared and played against the G- Tech triple option a couple weeks ago....Army plays a similiar offense to that of Georgia Tech except they are smaller and less athletic...Dukes defense has looked very good this season and I have been suprised how well QB Thomas Sirk has been able to lead this offense combining for over 1300 YDS of passing and rushing in his first season as a starter despite going against some tough defenses himself....
Appalachian ST - 19.5 VS Georgia ST..........I have G-State ranked at 125th out of 128 FBS teams......This is just a very bad team who actually have a good QB but nothing to put around him...G-States defense is allowing over 39 points a game and over 200 YDS a game rushing despite playing 3 very bad teams themselves....APP ST has one of the best ground attacks in college football and a QB who can throw the ball well when needed to.....There defense is ranked 11th in the nation......I see a blowout in this game and like APP ST by 4-6 TDS.
Northern Illonois -11 VS Ball ST......I love this game......N.ILL is a pizzed off team right now......The last 3 weeks they have been on the road against 3 tough teams with good defenses and played well in all 3 games but just came up short.....Finally they are at home playing Ball ST who is giving up over 470 YDS per game and well over 200 on the ground.....N ILL bring back their dual threat QB Drew Hare and he will have a field day against this Ball ST squad.....They will have this 11 pt spread covered in the 1st half if not sooner.
Also like
BYU -7 VS E. Carolina
Florida ST -10 VS Miami
Arizona -10.5 VS Oregon ST
Waiting for some line adjustments on my underdog plays
will have more games and break downs later...IU feel another winning week coming up for me.
Yeah, so far from what I have seen people like Miami........Florida ST is not getting much love rom the line makers either IMO.....They are at home only giving up 10......This Seminole "D" is among the best in the country and better than it was last year......I think Miami struggles to move the ball here in a 28-10 type game........Seminoles are a better team than the Bearcats, thats for sure so I dont see things getting any easier for the U.
Yeah, so far from what I have seen people like Miami........Florida ST is not getting much love rom the line makers either IMO.....They are at home only giving up 10......This Seminole "D" is among the best in the country and better than it was last year......I think Miami struggles to move the ball here in a 28-10 type game........Seminoles are a better team than the Bearcats, thats for sure so I dont see things getting any easier for the U.
I will be on NC State Friday......Line headed in wong direction and I think it may move back up on game day.
I have not bet NFL last 2 weeks because I am using that portion of bank roll on CFB as to me college just seems easier....I will be adding an additional wager on Northern Illonois as that is my game of the week....Line moved from 11 to 10.5...Waiting to see if it falls to 10 before I pound it again.
I will be on NC State Friday......Line headed in wong direction and I think it may move back up on game day.
I have not bet NFL last 2 weeks because I am using that portion of bank roll on CFB as to me college just seems easier....I will be adding an additional wager on Northern Illonois as that is my game of the week....Line moved from 11 to 10.5...Waiting to see if it falls to 10 before I pound it again.
Without question there is a lot of controversy going on in Texas right now....Charlie Strong called a team / coach meeting this week following the TCU loss and insists that this team is united despite Boyd's immature twitter comment.....These guys love their coach and will play hard......Texas is 1-4.......But they have played (until last week) an undefeated top 5 Notre Dame team who they were clearly not ready for and that was on the road........Last week they played the #2 team in the country on the road.......They played California who has maybe the best offense in CFB who is also undefeated and out played and out gained that them and deserved to win but a missed extra point cost them the opportunity....They also played OK ST who is yet another undefeated team who looks great this year and better than their in state Oklahoma Sooner rivals and just came up short losing by 3.......I am not sure anybody has played a stronger schedule than Texas and their players know it....They have a lot of young talent on this team and will be a stronger unit throughout the year for having played such a brutal schedule......In their 2 home losses against OK ST and CAL who are a combined 10-0 they lost by a total of 4 points(2 per game AVG).....The Sooners are the 5th unbeaten team Texas has faced in 6 games and that is just unheard of and I am not sure if it has ever happened before...You can say want you want about Texas and their 1-4 record and their defensive rankings but they have played some of the best offenses in football and there young defensive squad have a lot of raw talent and have made a lot of big plays this year....This is a big game for Texas and they need a win...Although Oklahoma is currently a top 10 team, one could argue that Texas has already played 2 or maybe 3 teams that are better, so this is nothing new for them....Like I said they have been keeping these homes games tight and I am not saying they will win this game but heck ya I will take the 17 points that they are giving out right now....Also TX QB has only thrown 2 INTS in 76 attempts which is very impressive for a Freshman QB who has had to play a lot of catch-up this year.
Without question there is a lot of controversy going on in Texas right now....Charlie Strong called a team / coach meeting this week following the TCU loss and insists that this team is united despite Boyd's immature twitter comment.....These guys love their coach and will play hard......Texas is 1-4.......But they have played (until last week) an undefeated top 5 Notre Dame team who they were clearly not ready for and that was on the road........Last week they played the #2 team in the country on the road.......They played California who has maybe the best offense in CFB who is also undefeated and out played and out gained that them and deserved to win but a missed extra point cost them the opportunity....They also played OK ST who is yet another undefeated team who looks great this year and better than their in state Oklahoma Sooner rivals and just came up short losing by 3.......I am not sure anybody has played a stronger schedule than Texas and their players know it....They have a lot of young talent on this team and will be a stronger unit throughout the year for having played such a brutal schedule......In their 2 home losses against OK ST and CAL who are a combined 10-0 they lost by a total of 4 points(2 per game AVG).....The Sooners are the 5th unbeaten team Texas has faced in 6 games and that is just unheard of and I am not sure if it has ever happened before...You can say want you want about Texas and their 1-4 record and their defensive rankings but they have played some of the best offenses in football and there young defensive squad have a lot of raw talent and have made a lot of big plays this year....This is a big game for Texas and they need a win...Although Oklahoma is currently a top 10 team, one could argue that Texas has already played 2 or maybe 3 teams that are better, so this is nothing new for them....Like I said they have been keeping these homes games tight and I am not saying they will win this game but heck ya I will take the 17 points that they are giving out right now....Also TX QB has only thrown 2 INTS in 76 attempts which is very impressive for a Freshman QB who has had to play a lot of catch-up this year.
was up bro i appreciate your work, i wanted to know what do you think about lsu -13
Did you mean TEX TECH -13 or ISU +13?......Actually either way I am staying away from this game. T-Tech is averaging 50 per game and they are at home....But T-Tech also has the 125 rated defense out of 128 teams and are giving up YDS like crazy and allowing 41 PTS per game...Iowa ST QB has been playing well this season throwing for a 64% COMP. rate and averaging 255 YDS a game and their defense has been somewhat respectable........To me this seems like a very hard game to cap....I have no opinion and staying away.
was up bro i appreciate your work, i wanted to know what do you think about lsu -13
Did you mean TEX TECH -13 or ISU +13?......Actually either way I am staying away from this game. T-Tech is averaging 50 per game and they are at home....But T-Tech also has the 125 rated defense out of 128 teams and are giving up YDS like crazy and allowing 41 PTS per game...Iowa ST QB has been playing well this season throwing for a 64% COMP. rate and averaging 255 YDS a game and their defense has been somewhat respectable........To me this seems like a very hard game to cap....I have no opinion and staying away.
i read that your top pick is northern IL , do you like app st as much so i can do a parlay?
and thanks again your work is incredible last week i hit cause of you keep it up bro ;-)
I dont like parlays much personally........But Northern IL is my top play this week...I do like APP ST a lot but I also like Wake Forest and the points and think that Michigan wins easy against Northwestern.......Lots of solid plays on the board this week.
i read that your top pick is northern IL , do you like app st as much so i can do a parlay?
and thanks again your work is incredible last week i hit cause of you keep it up bro ;-)
I dont like parlays much personally........But Northern IL is my top play this week...I do like APP ST a lot but I also like Wake Forest and the points and think that Michigan wins easy against Northwestern.......Lots of solid plays on the board this week.
Damn, that App St. Line is falling like a rock, now 15.5
Lines jumping or crashing throughout the week have proven in the long run to mean nothing....There are a lot of people who may like a team at -7 on Tuesday and on Friday if the same line is at -4 they begin to panic thinking all of the smart money must be on the other side and begin to question their bet....If I bet a line at -7 and it falls to -4 I look for ways to adjust my bankroll to bet it again at the better rate....I look at several components capping games and line movement means nothing to me...I just like the game even better when the line moves to my advantage.
Damn, that App St. Line is falling like a rock, now 15.5
Lines jumping or crashing throughout the week have proven in the long run to mean nothing....There are a lot of people who may like a team at -7 on Tuesday and on Friday if the same line is at -4 they begin to panic thinking all of the smart money must be on the other side and begin to question their bet....If I bet a line at -7 and it falls to -4 I look for ways to adjust my bankroll to bet it again at the better rate....I look at several components capping games and line movement means nothing to me...I just like the game even better when the line moves to my advantage.
I have been waiting all week hoping the NC State line would reach +3 but it appears it will not and I do not have time to watch lines today....I just locked in NC State at +1.5........Last week by far NS State was my most dissapointing loss because they fumbled the game away....Fumbles are one thing you cannot predict.....Some ball carriers fumble more than others and some defenses force more fumbles than others but its not something you can account for before the game...You just have to hope your can force as many as they commit or they are in a dominant postition and losing the ball wont affect the cover.
I am not as confident in this play now as I was earlier in the week but Im going to stick with my gut feeling........I believe NC State QB Jacoby Brisset is the best QB in the ACC....He has thrown 30 TDS and only 5 INTS dating back from the beginning of last season.....He is 6'4 240, mobile and tough to bring down....NC State have 2 solid running backs and the best defense they have had since I can remember.....I predicted this team would win 9 games this year and have nearly 2K on them winning over the total of 7.5....I am somewhat concerned they have not beaten a quality team but they have only had 1 on their schedule and while they should have won they were out gained and would have like to have seen them pplay alot better.......V-Tech is always a dangerous team at their house and although they have a ton of injuries they may be getting QB M Brewer back this week....They are coming off 2 staright losses and their defense is allowing almoist 2oo YDS rushing per game which is very unlike a V-Tech team......I am not sure if this team has just lost confidence or if they just dont have the talent thgey are accustomed to having but either way they are not playing with that swagger they had in the past......I think I have the better QB, the better running game and the better overall defense....I am going with the Wolfpack here and am hoping this Hokie team does not come back to life.
NC STATE +1.5 $200
Wake Forest +7.5 $300
East MICH + 8.5 $300
UL Monroe + 10 $300
Duke -10 $300
APP ST -19.5 $300
APP ST -16.5 $200 Northern IL -11 $400
BYU -7 $400
Florida ST -10 $200
Arizona -10.5 $300
Rutgers +16.5 $200
WASH ST +18 $200
Arkansas +16.5 $200
Michigan -8 $200
Texas +16.5 $200
Last Night
USC -9 in 2H $100 L
Will be adding a wager to Northern IL - waiting to see if line falls to 10
Also adding wager to Michigan - ML or if line falls to 7 or both
I have been waiting all week hoping the NC State line would reach +3 but it appears it will not and I do not have time to watch lines today....I just locked in NC State at +1.5........Last week by far NS State was my most dissapointing loss because they fumbled the game away....Fumbles are one thing you cannot predict.....Some ball carriers fumble more than others and some defenses force more fumbles than others but its not something you can account for before the game...You just have to hope your can force as many as they commit or they are in a dominant postition and losing the ball wont affect the cover.
I am not as confident in this play now as I was earlier in the week but Im going to stick with my gut feeling........I believe NC State QB Jacoby Brisset is the best QB in the ACC....He has thrown 30 TDS and only 5 INTS dating back from the beginning of last season.....He is 6'4 240, mobile and tough to bring down....NC State have 2 solid running backs and the best defense they have had since I can remember.....I predicted this team would win 9 games this year and have nearly 2K on them winning over the total of 7.5....I am somewhat concerned they have not beaten a quality team but they have only had 1 on their schedule and while they should have won they were out gained and would have like to have seen them pplay alot better.......V-Tech is always a dangerous team at their house and although they have a ton of injuries they may be getting QB M Brewer back this week....They are coming off 2 staright losses and their defense is allowing almoist 2oo YDS rushing per game which is very unlike a V-Tech team......I am not sure if this team has just lost confidence or if they just dont have the talent thgey are accustomed to having but either way they are not playing with that swagger they had in the past......I think I have the better QB, the better running game and the better overall defense....I am going with the Wolfpack here and am hoping this Hokie team does not come back to life.
NC STATE +1.5 $200
Wake Forest +7.5 $300
East MICH + 8.5 $300
UL Monroe + 10 $300
Duke -10 $300
APP ST -19.5 $300
APP ST -16.5 $200 Northern IL -11 $400
BYU -7 $400
Florida ST -10 $200
Arizona -10.5 $300
Rutgers +16.5 $200
WASH ST +18 $200
Arkansas +16.5 $200
Michigan -8 $200
Texas +16.5 $200
Last Night
USC -9 in 2H $100 L
Will be adding a wager to Northern IL - waiting to see if line falls to 10
Also adding wager to Michigan - ML or if line falls to 7 or both
A lot of good plays there MikeMed ... may want to take a look at Mizzou +5; one of the best home dog covering teams in the country under Pinkel and I like the spot against a good but not great Florida team coming off a huge, emotional win against a top ranked opponent.
A lot of good plays there MikeMed ... may want to take a look at Mizzou +5; one of the best home dog covering teams in the country under Pinkel and I like the spot against a good but not great Florida team coming off a huge, emotional win against a top ranked opponent.
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