After the worst 3 week stretch in memory, I'm now coming off of a good 2
weeks. Going 4-2 last week, & 3-0 on "closet" leans/plays. Back
to 50% for the year.....meh
It'll be repetitive, but it's a
method that works well this time of year. The last 3 weeks of the
season are good for TEAMS GOING FOR BOWL ELIGIBILITY.
Texas (+7) No
bowl eligibility, just an opinion that I think Texas wins the game.
The got beat by TCU last time they came to Austin, Charlie Strong has
the team playing very well, and I think they close out the season strong
(no pun intended). This bet comes back to bite me in the A** if Texas
O-Line gets dominated by TCU's D-Line, which is a good possibility. But
Joe Wickline is the best OL coach around, & their OL has been
getting better. Texas defense is the best TCU has faced probably, &
they should be able to contain Boykin a bit. TCU has a decent OL, but
it's largely overachieved, & I think Texas DL can exploit it....bc
the Horns DL is very very good. Also, TCU has been sup-par on the road
this year. TCU has all the pressure here, & I think Texas collapses
the pressure onto them.
Akron (-3) Bowl
eligibility....that's the bottom line here. Zips can get there with a
win, & against the worst team in the MAC. It's a pretty big rivalry
so they are always tough to predict, but I'll take the Zips allllllll
day.
Arkansas (-3) Last week was a bad time
to go against Mizzou. I played Tennessee b/c of the home field
advantage & they were going for Bowl Eligibility, which in the back
of my mind I knew the Vols would get this week against Vandy.
Regardless, this a match up play here. Mizzou thrives off of their pass
rush & containing teams that run east-west.....Arkansas has just
the prescription for them w/ their punishing ground game that goes
North-South & the offense that doesnt have to pass to be effective,
which means Mizzou DE's can't have a field day. Mizzou still has a
pedestrian offense, & with the level Arky defense has been playing
lately, they should be able to get plenty of stops. Also, the Football
Gods shouldn't allow Mizzou to get to the SEC title game b/c they are
not as good as Georgia lol. Mizzou is a damn good road team, but can be
had at home. Just hope that Arky isn't content on the fact they are Bowl Eligible now.
Lean:
Navy (too many points, but South Bama can't stop the option....&
Navy playing for a Bowl game) & Arizona St (can't trust them
though).
Florida (+7.5) Win One For
William!!!!! The team LOVES Muschamp, so they will pour their heart
out....will it be enough? Eh, I dunno. But I do know that FSU has been
living on the edge all year long. It's a heated rivalry where the team
is sending out their coach, looking to play spoiler to a team they
hate....yes I like Florida to win this game. Florida has one of the
best defenses FSU has seen this year, & if they can limit mistakes
on offense & turn it ugly like they did Georgia, then absolutely
this is too many points. Ole Miss (+3) Bought
hook. Dont think I'll need it b/c I think Ole Miss wins straight up.
Miss St is the better team, but this is another heated rivalry where Ole
Miss has no pressure, & Miss St has all of it. I think the home
dog spoils Miss St's season.....Hugh Freeze has been preaching about how
big this game is, & I think they make it happen.
UAB (-3) MY
FAVORITE BET OF THE WEEK. One concern = UAB flat off of that stellar
effort last week. But BOWL ELIGIBILITY IS ON THE LLIIIIIIIINNE and they
still have a sour taste in their mouth from getting beat down by USM
last year (snapped USM's 99 game losing streak). So revenge & a
bowl bid.....I think UAB wins by DD's. My worries about being flat
seems to be lessened by a lot of stuff I'm hearing &
reading....Coach Clark liked the practices this week, the players had no
school this week & they could focus more, & the players are
saying all the right things. Make it happen Blazers.
I'll
prob be back Friday to add a couple more. Note: Bill Snyder loves
destroying Kansas.....so even 4 TD's probably isn't enough points. The
dude is like 13-1 ATS or something close to that against KU.
After the worst 3 week stretch in memory, I'm now coming off of a good 2
weeks. Going 4-2 last week, & 3-0 on "closet" leans/plays. Back
to 50% for the year.....meh
It'll be repetitive, but it's a
method that works well this time of year. The last 3 weeks of the
season are good for TEAMS GOING FOR BOWL ELIGIBILITY.
Texas (+7) No
bowl eligibility, just an opinion that I think Texas wins the game.
The got beat by TCU last time they came to Austin, Charlie Strong has
the team playing very well, and I think they close out the season strong
(no pun intended). This bet comes back to bite me in the A** if Texas
O-Line gets dominated by TCU's D-Line, which is a good possibility. But
Joe Wickline is the best OL coach around, & their OL has been
getting better. Texas defense is the best TCU has faced probably, &
they should be able to contain Boykin a bit. TCU has a decent OL, but
it's largely overachieved, & I think Texas DL can exploit it....bc
the Horns DL is very very good. Also, TCU has been sup-par on the road
this year. TCU has all the pressure here, & I think Texas collapses
the pressure onto them.
Akron (-3) Bowl
eligibility....that's the bottom line here. Zips can get there with a
win, & against the worst team in the MAC. It's a pretty big rivalry
so they are always tough to predict, but I'll take the Zips allllllll
day.
Arkansas (-3) Last week was a bad time
to go against Mizzou. I played Tennessee b/c of the home field
advantage & they were going for Bowl Eligibility, which in the back
of my mind I knew the Vols would get this week against Vandy.
Regardless, this a match up play here. Mizzou thrives off of their pass
rush & containing teams that run east-west.....Arkansas has just
the prescription for them w/ their punishing ground game that goes
North-South & the offense that doesnt have to pass to be effective,
which means Mizzou DE's can't have a field day. Mizzou still has a
pedestrian offense, & with the level Arky defense has been playing
lately, they should be able to get plenty of stops. Also, the Football
Gods shouldn't allow Mizzou to get to the SEC title game b/c they are
not as good as Georgia lol. Mizzou is a damn good road team, but can be
had at home. Just hope that Arky isn't content on the fact they are Bowl Eligible now.
Lean:
Navy (too many points, but South Bama can't stop the option....&
Navy playing for a Bowl game) & Arizona St (can't trust them
though).
Florida (+7.5) Win One For
William!!!!! The team LOVES Muschamp, so they will pour their heart
out....will it be enough? Eh, I dunno. But I do know that FSU has been
living on the edge all year long. It's a heated rivalry where the team
is sending out their coach, looking to play spoiler to a team they
hate....yes I like Florida to win this game. Florida has one of the
best defenses FSU has seen this year, & if they can limit mistakes
on offense & turn it ugly like they did Georgia, then absolutely
this is too many points. Ole Miss (+3) Bought
hook. Dont think I'll need it b/c I think Ole Miss wins straight up.
Miss St is the better team, but this is another heated rivalry where Ole
Miss has no pressure, & Miss St has all of it. I think the home
dog spoils Miss St's season.....Hugh Freeze has been preaching about how
big this game is, & I think they make it happen.
UAB (-3) MY
FAVORITE BET OF THE WEEK. One concern = UAB flat off of that stellar
effort last week. But BOWL ELIGIBILITY IS ON THE LLIIIIIIIINNE and they
still have a sour taste in their mouth from getting beat down by USM
last year (snapped USM's 99 game losing streak). So revenge & a
bowl bid.....I think UAB wins by DD's. My worries about being flat
seems to be lessened by a lot of stuff I'm hearing &
reading....Coach Clark liked the practices this week, the players had no
school this week & they could focus more, & the players are
saying all the right things. Make it happen Blazers.
I'll
prob be back Friday to add a couple more. Note: Bill Snyder loves
destroying Kansas.....so even 4 TD's probably isn't enough points. The
dude is like 13-1 ATS or something close to that against KU.
under the firm believe that if the Aggies can slow down Ajayi then we can see bad Grant Hedricks. I do think the Aggies can beat Boise, and it starts with the fact that Utah st isn't scared of playing on the road, the division is on the line with the loss of Colorado st yesterday, and this is the best defense Boise has seen this year. When Boise has faced decent defenses they have struggled, would have lost to SDSU if the Aztecs could stay on offense longer in the 2nd half. So the main concern is if the Aggies can get enough going on offense in order to help their defense, if they can then they can win. I'll bank on the Aggies defense slowing down jay Ajayi and forcing Hedricks into mistakes.....and hope that Kent Myers can continue to not make mistakes, and the offense keep finding creative ways to get the run game going.
under the firm believe that if the Aggies can slow down Ajayi then we can see bad Grant Hedricks. I do think the Aggies can beat Boise, and it starts with the fact that Utah st isn't scared of playing on the road, the division is on the line with the loss of Colorado st yesterday, and this is the best defense Boise has seen this year. When Boise has faced decent defenses they have struggled, would have lost to SDSU if the Aztecs could stay on offense longer in the 2nd half. So the main concern is if the Aggies can get enough going on offense in order to help their defense, if they can then they can win. I'll bank on the Aggies defense slowing down jay Ajayi and forcing Hedricks into mistakes.....and hope that Kent Myers can continue to not make mistakes, and the offense keep finding creative ways to get the run game going.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.