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Plays of the Year from Golden Nugget GOY lines $$$$$$

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Posted: #1

Ok for the first time ever I am going for a 2 DAY DEGEN (leave Wednesday)   trip out to Nevada will the sole purpose of betting the GOY Lines ... Wifey allowing me to go , had to Promise NO POKER or day trips to Casinos here in WNY/Ontario till October ... 

A Little Risky betting these so early ... But I feel very confident in my pIcks .....Michigan vs Notre Dame is the Lone $500 play , the rest are flat $350

 

August 31st   CAL +10.5 vs Northwestern   sure the Wildcats are the better team on paper , but giving the Bears more than Double digits on the road is a mistake ..

Sept 7th  Michigan PK vs Notre Dame ... Wolverines should be laying close to Double Digits IMNHO ... ..

Oregon -21 at Virginia     UVA is gonna be horrible this season .. Ducks might score 55+ !!

Oct 5th   Arizona St +4 vs Notre Dame at Arlington ... wrong team favored ...

Clemson -8 at Syracuse    Tigers might win this one by 24+  ..

Baylor -7 vs West Virginia    2 Squads going in different directions .. by game time I could see this being 13+

Oct 12th  Texas Pk *vs Oklahoma    Sooners taking step back ...

 

 

Do you have any strong leans ???

https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2013/6/7/4395496/college-football-betting-2013-lines-spreads

 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #2

have to decide by 2pm today if going is the right thing to do ...

In the Past 3 years I have only fared 12-11 +$37.50 on these GOY bets ...

But 2+ Days of 24 hours a day Gambling sounds great right about now ..Plan on bringing around 6K....

Other Leans

Wednesday MLB

Pirates -1.5 vs Giants   Lirano on fire

Cardinals -1.5 vs Mets    fading Mets with solid Miller

Phillies ML at Twins  Cloyd worth a look

D backs -1.5 at Dodgers    Corbin is 9-0....

 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #3

Also Winning a few of these will clearly set up a return trip in late october ....

........

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #4
i'd love to smash michigan at a pick right now
 
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Posted: #5
A lot of people are concerned about Oregon at UVA, cross country away game, 1st major game for new Oregon coach...I am not.  I think the fact that UVA is ACC, this is indeed Helfrich's first game, and UVA had a lot of changes in the offseason with assistants, and will have a new starting QB, Oregon will launch the season with the mantra, new coach, same old ducks.  I think this is a motivation play.   I think the Ducks will start scoring early and often and won't let up on O till they hit 50.   I am on board with Oregon over UVA in week 2...
LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #6
Double , Before you make the trip to LV.
go to Don Best and check out the latest GOY line moves.
Might save you a trip.
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #7
[Quote: Originally Posted by WISEGUY36] Double , Before you make the trip to LV.
go to Don Best and check out the latest GOY line moves.
Might save you a trip.
[/Quote

......ouch that WG is correct

most all those have moved...
Mich now -1
Cal +9'
Zona St +3'
Tex -1'
Bay -8

here's a few to consider...

Tree +1 @ USC
Bama -6 & A&M
AF +16' v NDame
Ole Miss +8 @ Tex
TCU +7' @ Okie St
Cal +13 v Beavs
WF +21 @ Clem
SC +4 @ Ga
LSU +7 @ Ga
Col St +41 @ Bama (A&M / Ole Miss sand)
  *former OC McElwain CSU HC......
Ariz St +3 v ND
Ariz St -3 v Wisky
UCLA +7 @ USC
TCU +7 @ OU

maybe....


It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
 
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Posted: #8
wait....I didn't hit submit wtf

Ole Miss +17 @ Bama....??
Bay +11 @ Okie St
Navy +21 @ ND $$$$
Cal +17 @ Wash
WV +15 @ OU
Cal +17 v USC
Iowa ST +10' v TCU....Frogs off Okie St > Tx > WV / 
     @ Kan St next
Miss St +23 @ Bama ??....Bama off LSU
Cal +10 v Zona
Wazzu +13 v Oreg St
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

Double , Before you make the trip to LV.
go to Don Best and check out the latest GOY line moves.
Might save you a trip.

where do you find these on the donbest site??? must be blind, not seeing them
 
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Posted: #10

so on the don best show, they said that the sharps moved the number on mich v n dame from pk down to mich -1...is that a signal to take Mich or to bet against Mich?  it was unclear in the show.

btw - here is the link to cut and paste...

https://www.donbest.com/

 

LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:

so on the don best show, they said that the sharps moved the number on mich v n dame from pk down to mich -1...is that a signal to take Mich or to bet against Mich?  it was unclear in the show.

btw - here is the link to cut and paste...

https://www.donbest.com/

 


thanks longhorn, thought it would be under NCAAF odds but i found it.....they saying the sharps are playing michigan, and for good reason that line will move more than 1 in the coming days douubleup was spot on that is a nuts line for sure!!
 
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Posted: #12
you don't have to watch the video....
  *click on the link from the home page....
  *then click on 'updated lines.....' in red

most of the guys that bet these early lines know they are doing....so smart thing to do would be to follow the earliest moves....(unless moved too far)
  *unless like many here on Covers....that think the PROFESSIONAL players are somehow clueless..


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Posted: #13

Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

Quote Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

Double , Before you make the trip to LV.
go to Don Best and check out the latest GOY line moves.
Might save you a trip.
[/Quote

......ouch that WG is correct

most all those have moved...
Mich now -1
Cal +9'
Zona St +3'
Tex -1'
Bay -8

here's a few to consider...

Tree +1 @ USC
Bama -6 & A&M
AF +16' v NDame
Ole Miss +8 @ Tex
TCU +7' @ Okie St
Cal +13 v Beavs
WF +21 @ Clem
SC +4 @ Ga
LSU +7 @ Ga
Col St +41 @ Bama (A&M / Ole Miss sand)
  *former OC McElwain CSU HC......
Ariz St +3 v ND
Ariz St -3 v Wisky
UCLA +7 @ USC
TCU +7 @ OU

maybe....


yeahhhhh at -8 I would not Bet baylor vs WVA... although they likely win by 10+....

Betting CAL across the board might not be a bad idea ... zero respect from odds makers .... especially that home tilt vs oregon St ....

50/50 on the fence about going ...have till 11pm to decide .... might be better off just waiting till Season win totals are released as well

Michigan -1 vs Notre Dame is so tasty ......

and yes Brother I love that most of these lines are moving ,,...sharps and I on the same page early

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #14
some of the significant moves.....kinda sorta

Arkansas seems to be undervalued .....
  @ Rutgers...P > -2
  v A&M...+17 > +15
  v SC...+13 > 11

LSU @ Ole Miss...+2 > -1
ND v Navy...-18 > 21
BYU v Boise..-1 > -3
Vandy v Ole Miss...+4 > +2
Iowa @ Iowa St...+4 > +2
Fla v Tenn...-12 > -14
Mich v Minn...-15 > -17

*Auburn and Michigan also (thought to be) undervalued.....Ole Miss maybe overvalued....Okie St in spots too.......


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Posted: #15

Quote Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

Double , Before you make the trip to LV.
go to Don Best and check out the latest GOY line moves.
Might save you a trip.

 

yeah just a few would slow me down .... thanks for the DONbest link

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

 

yeah just a few would slow me down .... thanks for the DONbest link






Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #17
I listened to a show that mentioned this is the first time oregon st would be favored over USC in 28 years wow
 
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Posted: #18
I don't pick games far in advance just bc I know that I jurors can occur that can totally shake a team. But with that said, I really like Michigan -1 vs ND. Think the wolverines will be pretty good this year. And I LOVE Bama vs A&M....I've been waiting to bet that game since the last season ended. That'll be a huge play for me most likely. 

GL double
 
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Posted: #19
Injuries** not jurors. 
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by HammersSpreads:

I don't pick games far in advance just bc I know that I jurors can occur that can totally shake a team. But with that said, I really like Michigan -1 vs ND. Think the wolverines will be pretty good this year. And I LOVE Bama vs A&M....I've been waiting to bet that game since the last season ended. That'll be a huge play for me most likely. 

GL double
 

 

Michigan will easily be my Largest bet atGolden Nugget this week ... Right now my Point Spread ratings have Michigan 86.5 +5 Home Field vs Notre dame 81.5     so it has the Wolverines -10.5 ... Lean on Michigan laying a TD or less ... Just in LOVE with the current -1 at Golden Nugget ... will be running to the window for this one ..

I wanna wait and see Bama vs Va tech first ... but anything under -7 makes sense for Bama backers ..

 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #21

double - did you mean to say Bama vs A&M at anything under -7.  if yes, then I agree,,,

I live down here. the aggies are feeling good about themselves and sumlin is the 2nd coming of bear bryant at A&M, the soul version at least...The Aggies fans are delusional as well.  That is why I do not believe tht Bama line will get has high as it normally would, because these delusional aggies and their Johnny Savioiur believe they can now beat anyone...I think Saban will have something to say about that, and its not going to be pretty.  I don't think Manziel will make it to October without missing time due to injury...I would take Bama up to -9 in the matchup with A&M...GLTA

 

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Posted: #22
bookie assassin - send me a covers email.   we live in the same geo.  maybe we could talk strategy as the season approaches.
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Posted: #23
bookie assassin - send me a covers email.   we live in the same geo.  maybe we could talk strategy as the season approaches.
LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:

so on the don best show, they said that the sharps moved the number on mich v n dame from pk down to mich -1...is that a signal to take Mich or to bet against Mich?  it was unclear in the show.

btw - here is the link to cut and paste...

https://www.donbest.com/

 


sharps are smart its wise to anticipate this move look at the recent ND/mich history of spreads- being at home this line can easily get to -2/-2.5 by kickoff and a 1 point michigan win is extremely likely
 
 
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Posted: #25
this is not an indication of ND or michigan being the "right or sharp side" its more about making a smart, well-timed bet to avoid getting fuccked
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