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Author: [College Football] Topic: Records vs Records, another research to help us during the season
WinAllSports send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 8/2/2012 12:56:53 PM
Unbeaten NCAA teams are:

11-23 ATS in weeks 9 or latter vs teams winning >.750 and <.810

Good vs >.450 and <.550 especially in weeks 10 & later: 27-5 ATS

More to follow...
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#2
Posted: 8/2/2012 1:13:27 PM
i dont get it...can u explain in lamens terms for us...
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#3
Posted: 8/2/2012 1:20:17 PM
fade undeafeted teams during or after week 9 due to overvaluation by betters and maybe some compacency by the team...am i correct?
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#4
Posted: 8/2/2012 3:37:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:

fade undeafeted teams during or after week 9 due to overvaluation by betters and maybe some compacency by the team...am i correct?



no... probably best for you to reread both trends...
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#5
Posted: 8/2/2012 3:42:11 PM
What is that avatar from Apoc?
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#6
Posted: 8/2/2012 3:53:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WinAllSports:

Unbeaten NCAA teams are:

11-23 ATS in weeks 9 or latter vs teams winning >.750 and <.810

Good vs >.450 and <.550 especially in weeks 10 & later: 27-5 ATS

More to follow...

 That's reaching quite a bit.........

 
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#7
Posted: 8/3/2012 2:33:23 AM
After week 7 teams with 1 loss when playing unbeaten teams are 1-21 SU and 5-19 ATS if underdogs of 8 points or more.

And if a 1 loss team early in the season (records 0-1 and 1-1) is favored against an unbeaten team, that 1 loss fave is 97-157 ATS.
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#8
Posted: 8/5/2012 3:08:12 AM
Winless teams from 0-8 to 0-11 are 7-24 ATS as favorites.
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Posted: 8/5/2012 6:22:01 AM
Lies, damned lies, and statistics. 
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#10
Posted: 8/6/2012 11:31:24 AM
NCAA teams that won by 50 or more against previously unbeaten teams are 20-0 SU in last 20 and 17-0 ATS in last 17 with less than 3 weeks off after that win.
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#11
Posted: 8/6/2012 6:33:18 PM
Tuesday...same system as in the nfl forum except it works for weeks 12 + and these teams are 19-38 ATS.
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#12
Posted: 8/8/2012 12:35:00 AM
NCAA Favorites of more than 46 pts are 3-20 ATS against teams with worst records after at least 3 games played.
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#13
Posted: 8/9/2012 11:10:38 AM
1 win NCAA teams after that first win are 28-47 ATS if they played 8-11 games on the season.
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#14
Posted: 8/9/2012 1:03:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jwheels86:

What is that avatar from Apoc?



it's just a picture i found online, JW... looks like a painting, but no idea who did it...
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#15
Posted: 8/10/2012 8:21:22 AM
.500 NCAA faves of 3 to 7 points are 9-27 ATS after 3 wins.
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#16
Posted: 8/11/2012 1:57:19 AM
Unbeaten NCAA dogs of 6.5-7.5 pts are 118-68 ATS
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#17
Posted: 8/12/2012 11:41:23 AM
In week 1 teams that averaged > 42.3 ppg last year are 13-30 ATS.
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#18
Posted: 8/13/2012 7:45:43 AM
In the first game of the season, conference favorites of more than 4 points are 0-10-1 ATS against a team they lost against by 15-39 last time they played them.
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#19
Posted: 8/14/2012 4:00:13 AM
Game 1 dogs of more than 45 points in the NCAA are 25-9 ATS.
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#20
Posted: 8/15/2012 12:51:35 AM
In game #2 teams that were favored by 21 or more in game #1 and won by less than 10 are 26-2 ATS. They are also 20-5 ATS in game #4 if their single digit win as 21+ fave came in game #3.
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#21
Posted: 8/15/2012 2:43:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WinAllSports:

In week 1 teams that averaged > 42.3 ppg last year are 13-30 ATS.



this year's qualifiers...

Houston (-37) vs Texas St
Oregon (-35) vs Ark St
Baylor (-11) vs SMU
Boise (+7) @ Mich St
Stanford (-26) vs San Jose St

on the cusp:

Toledo (+10.5) @ Arizona  (Toledo avg 42.2 LY)


not sure: 

Ok St (-?) vs Savannah
Wisc (-?) vs No Iowa


not sure about the last 2, since i don't know if this trend applies to only FBS teams... please enlighten...
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#22
Posted: 8/16/2012 3:26:11 PM
Unbeaten NCAA teams with at least 2 wins, favored by 14/14.5 away from home are 12-45 ATS.
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#23
Posted: 8/16/2012 3:29:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:




this year's qualifiers...

Houston (-37) vs Texas St
Oregon (-35) vs Ark St
Baylor (-11) vs SMU
Boise (+7) @ Mich St
Stanford (-26) vs San Jose St

on the cusp:

Toledo (+10.5) @ Arizona  (Toledo avg 42.2 LY)


not sure: 

Ok St (-?) vs Savannah
Wisc (-?) vs No Iowa


not sure about the last 2, since i don't know if this trend applies to only FBS teams... please enlighten...


Teams in bad situation in week 1 accroding to this system would be: Houston, Okst, Oregon, Baylor, Boise, Wisconsin and Stanford. I am not going to go against all of them, but rather 1 or 2.
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#24
Posted: 8/16/2012 7:23:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WinAllSports:



Teams in bad situation in week 1 accroding to this system would be: Houston, Okst, Oregon, Baylor, Boise, Wisconsin and Stanford. I am not going to go against all of them, but rather 1 or 2.



if i were going to fade 2 from that list, it would be Boise and Houston... next 3 that you could make an argument against are Wisconsin, Oregon, Stanford... i wouldn't go against Okie St or Baylor in those games...
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#25
Posted: 8/17/2012 1:44:17 AM
.500 teams favored by 1-3.5 points after a win are 57-100 ATS. They are particularly ineffective in this situation against winless teams (5-15 ATS) and against teams winning between .440 and .590 (15-39 ATS)
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