Messages

Good question...computing...bulls are 2-12 road openers...computing...

sorry no Sammy homey...

hey, nobodys perfect...

Georgia -37 over Buffalo 21 June 2012

This is my 2nd ranked pick as of 21 June 2012...

Yes, that is a lot of chalk. But UGA has a recent history of covering big chalk at home against patsy’s...

2010 UGA -28.5 over Louisiana Lafayette - Final 55-7

2008 UGA -24.5 over Central Michigan - Final 56-7

2006 UGA -17 over UAB - Final 34-0

Honestly, I believe the open will be closer to 35. UGA comes off a bowl loss to Mich St. they lose 3 starters on the OL, and will without ogletree, smith, rambo, and cummings for week 1. Steele has the game capped at 41 (after considering home field). I like UGA in this matchup at 37 or better. Murray will want to make a Heisman statement. 5 Star RB (4th ranked RB) Crowell will want to improve on his 850 yard freshman campaign, UGA returns 5 of top 6 WR's, returns 7 O starters and 9 D starters (will be without 3 returning starters in week 1). In 3rd year of Grantham system as a top 5 rated D in D1.

I researched the backups for the 4 suspended players. They included Herrera, Moore, Mitchell, and Swann. All four of the new starters in week 1 were 4 star recruits when signed. Granted, they lose AA Rambo and potential AA in Ogletree, but 4 star elite talent with 6 months to prepare, there should be virutally no drop off against a hapless Buffalo team who will be starting a new QB in Licata (a 2 star recruit). Jarvis Jones for LB for UGA had 13.5 sacks last year. I think the guy will have at least 4 in this game. Granted Buffalo has a weapon on O named Branden Oliver . He had 1444 yards last year and is a 1st team MAC RB in Steele's preseason Conference accolades. However, I think UGA's D Line is going to make for a long day for Mr. Oliver.

Mark Richt is off the hot seat, but as another poster pointed out, I am not sure if I can trust him (ATS) against a bottom 10 Buffalo team. However, UGA knows Missouri is on deck and they will need to have that green O Line humming by 8 Sep. In addition, UGA knows it will play Buffalo and probably Mizzou without 4 key D players, so I think the intensity and performance of these subs will be at a high level. Who knows they may have the opp to remain the starters when the MJ Posse come back in force. UGA should be motivated since they ended the season with two losses, a close bowl loss to Mich St and a blowout from LSU 10-42. UGA is 8-2 ATS the last two years as a home favorite. Buffalo is 3-9 ATS as a road dog the last two years.

My prediction

UGA 56

Buffalo 3

Again, Richt is a bit of an enigma, but based on the motivation factors listed above, the talent different (even with the suspensions), and a potential stat launch of a Heisman campaign for Murray, I believe UGA wins big, and covers...

Please post your comments. Thank you!

thx shark! 

why do you think OU, LSU, and USC will not cover?   Cheers!

Cal -14 over Nevada 22 June 2012

This is my 3rd ranked pick as of 22 June 2012.

Cal returns 6 O and 5 D starters coming of a 7-6 2011 campaign and loss to my Longhorns in the Holiday Bowl. Z Maynard returns as QB. Cal returns its top 3 RB's and top WR, but loses 5 of its top 6 tacklers. I believe Cal will be playing back in Berkeley and this will be the first game back. They played their home games at ATT in SF last year. The OL and DL are average for PAC 12. Key stat - CAL is 15-3 ATS the last 4 years as a home favorite and 8-1 as a home favorite the last 2 years. Tedford is on the hotseat and needs to perform. None of the individual units are outstanding, but put together a competitive PAC 12 team.

Nevada is also coming of a 7-6 2011 after the transition to Fajardo from Kaepernick. Nevada loses its top 2 rushers and 4 of its top 6 WR's. Nevada is 12-16 over the last 7 years as an away dog. Steele picked them 2nd in the MWC behind a rebuilding Boise.

Steele

I think the key to this game is the QB play of Maynard and the intensity of the Cal D.

Here is a link to the summary of the Spring Game...

http://california.scout.com/2/1179697.html

has the game capped at Cal -13 considering home field. I think the spread will open at -13 and by time be about 14...

In Steele’s power ratings, he has Cal #35 and Nevada #63…

My Prediction

Cal 35

Nevada 14

no disrespect but, i think i know boise st better than u, and mich st, no offense...

17-13 Final score, my reasoning is the exact opp. of ur, and BOOM, before u get all cocky cuz u got bsu/geo right LY, i was on BSU to win that game also, and before u get even more cocky with all ur loving fans, ur plays suck...