Tide Named 2012 Schedule Loser

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Author: [College Football] Topic: Tide Named 2012 Schedule Loser
jimmydafreak PM jimmydafreak
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Posted: 1/17/2012 10:07:16 PM

Not only will Alabama lose Trent Richardson and 7 off off their #1 ranked defense, they will also face a very difficult schedule next season.

http://espn.go.com/blog/sec/post/_/id/37351/mcgee-alabama-named-2012-schedule-loser

 

packers1992 PM packers1992
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Posted: 1/17/2012 10:45:45 PM
in my opinion my freak i have them finishing 3rd in the sec west next year. let me repeat THAT IS MY OPINION
jimmydafreak PM jimmydafreak
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Posted: 1/17/2012 11:10:58 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by packers1992:

in my opinion my freak i have them finishing 3rd in the sec west next year. let me repeat THAT IS MY OPINION

Could be.  Who do you think finishes ahead of them?  LSU and Arkansas?  They have to play both on the road next season?

 

Skipster PM Skipster
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Posted: 1/18/2012 12:14:37 AM
only 4 true road games?
THEMUGG PM THEMUGG
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Posted: 1/18/2012 1:12:28 AM
 Really? You call that a tough schedule? Get 6 real road games & no WCarolina or WKentucky.....then come talk to us.
jimmydafreak PM jimmydafreak
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Posted: 1/18/2012 2:37:40 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Skipster:

only 4 true road games?

All SEC teams play 8 conference games - 4 at home, and 4 on the road.

jimmydafreak PM jimmydafreak
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Posted: 1/18/2012 3:15:07 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by THEMUGG:

 Really? You call that a tough schedule? Get 6 real road games & no WCarolina or WKentucky.....then come talk to us.

  I'm not talking to you, ESPN is talking to you.  Again, here is the link.

http://espn.go.com/blog/sec/post/_/id/37351/mcgee-alabama-named-2012-schedule-loser

 

Absolutxedge22 PM Absolutxedge22
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Posted: 1/18/2012 9:42:20 AM
I see one loss.
packers1992 PM packers1992
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Posted: 1/18/2012 1:06:20 PM
Yeah Freak i have them losing to LSU and Arkansas als o have them losing a 3rd game. I don't know who but it in my opinion will be against a team we don't expect. Again guys these are my opinions
MaineRoad PM MaineRoad
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Posted: 1/18/2012 1:21:25 PM
Looks like a relatively easy sked to me - considering the company they run in.  Two tough roadies all year - at Arky (early enough so that they could lose and still get to the BCS) and at LSU, where they generally win (though not so much of late).  Games like Mizzou and Michigan look "hard" but aren't.  Tennessee may be a scrap, but it's a scrap they'll win. 
MaineRoad PM MaineRoad
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Posted: 1/18/2012 1:24:24 PM
If memory serves, LSU goes to Florida, Auburn, A&M and Arky - and has to play Bama at home.  I'd take Bama's slate any day over that.  Should be the first time in years that Bama/LSU will play at night in Baton Rouge.  Not sure that's good news for the Tigers, though, as I think they've won like one of the last 11 night games in BR against the Tide. 
Laroja PM Laroja
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Posted: 1/18/2012 1:33:41 PM
Schedule doesn't seem that bad, Alabama should be able to escape against Arkansas. Looking like a 1 loss season, with the loss against LSU.
jimmydafreak PM jimmydafreak
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Posted: 1/18/2012 2:01:18 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by packers1992:

Yeah Freak i have them losing to LSU and Arkansas als o have them losing a 3rd game. I don't know who but it in my opinion will be against a team we don't expect. Again guys these are my opinions

There is no question they could lose both.  Neither will be easy, particularly LSU.  LSU will not only catch Alabama at home next season, but they also have a bye the week prior.

Furthemore, the LSU game will be Alabama's 3rd conference road game in a 4-week stretch.  So that definitely looks like the most likely loss on their schedule at this point.

 

Laroja PM Laroja
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Posted: 1/18/2012 2:10:22 PM
Funny how people are talking about how many players Alabama loses and they don't check out Arkansas' starters. Ark returns 7/6. They lose their 3 best WR ( who were also all seniors ), their best DE. Not to mention 4 starters on the secondary, and a few more on the offensive/defense line. They do return Tyler Wilson and Knile Davis ( out of the whole season last year ). Arkansas playing at home is a huge plus but other than that I don't see how they can keep up with Alabama for 4 quarters.
jimmydafreak PM jimmydafreak
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Posted: 1/18/2012 2:34:03 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by MaineRoad:

If memory serves, LSU goes to Florida, Auburn, A&M and Arky - and has to play Bama at home.  I'd take Bama's slate any day over that.  Should be the first time in years that Bama/LSU will play at night in Baton Rouge.  Not sure that's good news for the Tigers, though, as I think they've won like one of the last 11 night games in BR against the Tide. 

Your memory is serving you better than mine is.  I think I'm boarderline Alzheimer's at this point.

Well both Alabama & LSU play Arky on the road so that's a wash.  I think @Missouri and @Texas A & M kind of cancel each other out, as does @Tennessee and @Auburn.   That leaves Alabama with LSU, while LSU has Florida.

Alabama plays at LSU after LSU has a bye week, and LSU plays at Florida after the Gators have a bye week, so that seems to be pretty even.  But because right now LSU is considered to be a better team than Florida, Alabama's road looks slighlty harder to me.

Also, as noted above, Alabama has to play 3 of their road games in a 4 game stretch, whereas LSU's road games are spread equally across their schedule.  I also think that makes LSU's overall road schedule slightly easier as well.

When we factor in out-of-conference schedules, again Alabama's is probably slightly tougher with Michigan, Western Kentucky, Florida Atlantic & Western Carolina.  By comparison LSU has North Texas, Washington, Idaho and Towson (Towson has a football team???  Who knew???)

Because LSU and Alabama play in the same division of the same conference, their schedules will always be very similar, but I would give a slight edge to Alabama for having the tougher overall schedule next season.

jimmydafreak PM jimmydafreak
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Posted: 1/18/2012 2:37:10 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Laroja:

Funny how people are talking about how many players Alabama loses and they don't check out Arkansas' starters. Ark returns 7/6. They lose their 3 best WR ( who were also all seniors ), their best DE. Not to mention 4 starters on the secondary, and a few more on the offensive/defense line. They do return Tyler Wilson and Knile Davis ( out of the whole season last year ). Arkansas playing at home is a huge plus but other than that I don't see how they can keep up with Alabama for 4 quarters.

Arkansas' problem has not been matching up at the skill positions, their problem has been matching up in the trenches with the likes of Alabama and LSU.  That is the key in my view.  Can they close the gap in trenches next season?

 

Laroja PM Laroja
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Posted: 1/18/2012 2:50:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Arkansas' problem has not been matching up at the skill positions, their problem has been matching up in the trenches with the likes of Alabama and LSU.  That is the key in my view.  Can they close the gap in trenches next season?



Unless someone could correct me, the only positions that Arkansas has an edge over Alabama is possibly QB and special teams. Alabama has far superior talent at the other positions.
jimmydafreak PM jimmydafreak
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Posted: 1/18/2012 3:15:03 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Laroja:



Unless someone could correct me, the only positions that Arkansas has an edge over Alabama is possibly QB and special teams. Alabama has far superior talent at the other positions.

Alabama will have superior talent over every team they play except LSU.

 

captjohn67 PM captjohn67
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Posted: 1/18/2012 3:47:00 PM
we've seen harder schedules...10-2 at worst imo
Laroja PM Laroja
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Posted: 1/18/2012 3:50:01 PM
Don't sleep on georgia southern.
Skipster PM Skipster
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Posted: 1/18/2012 7:05:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

  I'm not talking to you, ESPN is talking to you.  Again, here is the link.

http://espn.go.com/blog/sec/post/_/id/37351/mcgee-alabama-named-2012-schedule-loser

 



not sure how they come up with that looking at the schedule, truthfully. 
thorpe PM thorpe
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Posted: 1/18/2012 9:44:28 PM
It is a tough schedule but Bama should play a tough schedule every year.  Bama is stacked on the D Line and should be a favorite in every game they play, but they probably lose 1 game when they aren't focused.
jimmydafreak PM jimmydafreak
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Posted: 1/19/2012 1:15:46 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Skipster:



not sure how they come up with that looking at the schedule, truthfully. 

I'm not about to look through 120 football schedules, so I can't say whether I agree or disagree with the article.  Furthermore, no one really knows how good or bad any of these teams will really be, so clearly it is extremely speculative.  I just thought it was an interesting article that might provoke a good discussion on this board.

Does Alabama have a tough schedule.  Yes, I think they do.  Is it the toughest in the country?  I have no clue, and I don't think anyone else does either.  I do, however, tend to agree with the general consesus in this thread that, while it may be a difficult schedule, it is a manageble one for Alabama, and is not a schedule that is out of line with some other SEC teams.

 

Skipster PM Skipster
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Posted: 1/19/2012 1:58:33 AM
we agree on all counts
bookieassassin PM bookieassassin
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Posted: 1/19/2012 8:49:48 AM
common strength of schedule ratings are bogus.....
    *just factoring in the teams you play....without regard to where you play...or in what order

Best way is to take the Vegas power ratings...or your own...factoring in home field ...maybe adding a point (or subtracting)...here and there.....for an extra tough or easy run

Using this year's PR.....(make your own adjustments for a given team being better/worse)....among the big 3 LSU has again the toughest SEC schedule (1 pt/game tougher than Bama)....1.5 pts/g tougher than Hogs

Cajuns pulling S Caro and @ Fla (much improved no doubt)...out of the East.....Bama getting away games with Mizzou and Tenn ....Hogs > @ S Caro and Kentucky 
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