Havent posted in a while but cant believe everyone isn't pounding these two games tonight!! No one likes betting big favs but looking at these 2 games there is no way these dogs win!
1st lad -250 I cant believe colon is still pitching ill take a 25pct return on my money here
Havent posted in a while but cant believe everyone isn't pounding these two games tonight!! No one likes betting big favs but looking at these 2 games there is no way these dogs win!
1st lad -250 I cant believe colon is still pitching ill take a 25pct return on my money here
White sucks in a tailspin. Central division up for grabs. Cubs finally getting thee act together. Easy play cubs -210. People don't like to pay the juice but I'll take a 46pct return on my bet all the time!
White sucks in a tailspin. Central division up for grabs. Cubs finally getting thee act together. Easy play cubs -210. People don't like to pay the juice but I'll take a 46pct return on my bet all the time!
Jeez I should be doing this and playing poker full time! Easy easy afternoon 3-0. 7-1 posted plays. I don't mind playing the favorites. Getting close to 50pct return bank I'll take it every day! As promised some more winners for tonight!
Jeez I should be doing this and playing poker full time! Easy easy afternoon 3-0. 7-1 posted plays. I don't mind playing the favorites. Getting close to 50pct return bank I'll take it every day! As promised some more winners for tonight!
good luck, but you lose 2 of these and youre basically even for all your plays. Thus the craziness in betting big money line faves. But hey, if you can catch a good run, its worth it.
good luck, but you lose 2 of these and youre basically even for all your plays. Thus the craziness in betting big money line faves. But hey, if you can catch a good run, its worth it.
dude do you not realize you got blasted last night? and if you wanna be accurate with these lies you post, youre 9-3 after going 2-2 last night. And losing two high money lines, that means youre like barely up. if you bet 100 each game and laid even -200 each game....youd be up only 300....lol which to everyone here, means nothing. So um, congrats on a nice record of betting heavy faves. But youre nearly broke. Well done
dude do you not realize you got blasted last night? and if you wanna be accurate with these lies you post, youre 9-3 after going 2-2 last night. And losing two high money lines, that means youre like barely up. if you bet 100 each game and laid even -200 each game....youd be up only 300....lol which to everyone here, means nothing. So um, congrats on a nice record of betting heavy faves. But youre nearly broke. Well done
dude do you not realize you got blasted last night? and if you wanna be accurate with these lies you post, youre 9-3 after going 2-2 last night. And losing two high money lines, that means youre like barely up. if you bet 100 each game and laid even -200 each game....youd be up only 300....lol which to everyone here, means nothing. So um, congrats on a nice record of betting heavy faves. But youre nearly broke. Well done
jeez such a hater 2-2 last night I see 1 loss yesterday texas
dude do you not realize you got blasted last night? and if you wanna be accurate with these lies you post, youre 9-3 after going 2-2 last night. And losing two high money lines, that means youre like barely up. if you bet 100 each game and laid even -200 each game....youd be up only 300....lol which to everyone here, means nothing. So um, congrats on a nice record of betting heavy faves. But youre nearly broke. Well done
jeez such a hater 2-2 last night I see 1 loss yesterday texas
no doubt, i was wrong. For some reason I thouht LAD lost lol...stupid me. But again, weve seen many guys here do that before, bet huge ML faves and win some...and then get smashed quickly after. Only takes two or three losses to wipe out 8 or 9 or 10 wins. But he is up some small change now and he deserves kudos for it. Not rooting against him at all since I will usually have those team totals for the teams hes on! lol
no doubt, i was wrong. For some reason I thouht LAD lost lol...stupid me. But again, weve seen many guys here do that before, bet huge ML faves and win some...and then get smashed quickly after. Only takes two or three losses to wipe out 8 or 9 or 10 wins. But he is up some small change now and he deserves kudos for it. Not rooting against him at all since I will usually have those team totals for the teams hes on! lol
Getting even money on both sides of a baseball game just ain't happenening unless it's the playoffs and even then....
If you have a team with a 75% chance of winning (3 out of 4) like HOU tonight (up 1-0 over DET bot 3rd) that's -$300 on a true line.
But you never see a -$300 line because everyone would take the dog - even on a -$230, $240, -$250 you'd still get 90% of the action on the dog, not to mention the diff on the take back would be like 30 or 40 bucks.
"Screw the fav, give me 2-1, all they gotta do is win a baseball game!" (me every April).
Vegas knows they can hang a line that looks fairly reasonable TO THE PUBLIC. But HOU 75% chance of winning tonight @ -$310 / +$275 is not gonna work, everyone would take DET @ +$275.
So Vegas puts up a -$220 +$195 line with not a lot of $ (forget ticket count) on HOU and hopes to win 3 out of 4 on the DET or dog wagers. They know the bets will be limited on the -$220 fav so why pay the dog players their deserved $275? Why give them a break or a decent line when they are going to bet it ANYWAY?
So they pay $195 instead of $275 and the HOU 75% chance of winning still exists and they win 3 out of 4 and pay out +$195 for every $300 they take in. Like Steve Martin says in the Jerk, "It's a profit deal!"
Post #16 https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102448887
There are some stretches where the above is certainly true for a few weeks. I think we are in one now although I cannot pull the trigger on CHI - but I ain't taking the dog, that's for sure!
BOL on CHI, I'd lay -1 RL but would rather do that on LAD.
Getting even money on both sides of a baseball game just ain't happenening unless it's the playoffs and even then....
If you have a team with a 75% chance of winning (3 out of 4) like HOU tonight (up 1-0 over DET bot 3rd) that's -$300 on a true line.
But you never see a -$300 line because everyone would take the dog - even on a -$230, $240, -$250 you'd still get 90% of the action on the dog, not to mention the diff on the take back would be like 30 or 40 bucks.
"Screw the fav, give me 2-1, all they gotta do is win a baseball game!" (me every April).
Vegas knows they can hang a line that looks fairly reasonable TO THE PUBLIC. But HOU 75% chance of winning tonight @ -$310 / +$275 is not gonna work, everyone would take DET @ +$275.
So Vegas puts up a -$220 +$195 line with not a lot of $ (forget ticket count) on HOU and hopes to win 3 out of 4 on the DET or dog wagers. They know the bets will be limited on the -$220 fav so why pay the dog players their deserved $275? Why give them a break or a decent line when they are going to bet it ANYWAY?
So they pay $195 instead of $275 and the HOU 75% chance of winning still exists and they win 3 out of 4 and pay out +$195 for every $300 they take in. Like Steve Martin says in the Jerk, "It's a profit deal!"
Post #16 https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102448887
There are some stretches where the above is certainly true for a few weeks. I think we are in one now although I cannot pull the trigger on CHI - but I ain't taking the dog, that's for sure!
BOL on CHI, I'd lay -1 RL but would rather do that on LAD.
agreed on the above. No way will I risk anything more than say 220 and even then im betting a small 50 on it for fun or im parlaying it with another big fave and keeping my exposure to loss down. When it happens, and it will that some of these faves all go down in a night or over the course of two nights, well i dont wanna be under that avalanche...and this guy who does it will. But until then...kudos to him
agreed on the above. No way will I risk anything more than say 220 and even then im betting a small 50 on it for fun or im parlaying it with another big fave and keeping my exposure to loss down. When it happens, and it will that some of these faves all go down in a night or over the course of two nights, well i dont wanna be under that avalanche...and this guy who does it will. But until then...kudos to him
agreed on the above. No way will I risk anything more than say 220 and even then im betting a small 50 on it for fun or im parlaying it with another big fave and keeping my exposure to loss down. When it happens, and it will that some of these faves all go down in a night or over the course of two nights, well i dont wanna be under that avalanche...and this guy who does it will. But until then...kudos to him
I'm saying that there are many times you gotta lay the -$230 because you really should be laying -$300, you are getting a bargain -$230 on a 75% probability winner, and taking the +$200 dog is a liability.
Of course the line is now CHI -$250. Either way laying off.
agreed on the above. No way will I risk anything more than say 220 and even then im betting a small 50 on it for fun or im parlaying it with another big fave and keeping my exposure to loss down. When it happens, and it will that some of these faves all go down in a night or over the course of two nights, well i dont wanna be under that avalanche...and this guy who does it will. But until then...kudos to him
I'm saying that there are many times you gotta lay the -$230 because you really should be laying -$300, you are getting a bargain -$230 on a 75% probability winner, and taking the +$200 dog is a liability.
Of course the line is now CHI -$250. Either way laying off.
sweet - got shut out of live betting when they were down -$110 - the one book where I was about to take it has in game lines but only on the inning/half inning. Then I got sucked into the Yankee game - rookie mistake on my part not coming back or going to the other site that takes live (usually crappier lines, no names mentioned).
sweet - got shut out of live betting when they were down -$110 - the one book where I was about to take it has in game lines but only on the inning/half inning. Then I got sucked into the Yankee game - rookie mistake on my part not coming back or going to the other site that takes live (usually crappier lines, no names mentioned).
Easy game 11-2 week +3.2u on the week! It doesn't matter what the line is just pick a winner! I like to lock in my plays on the overnight lines. Got 3 games on tap.
Royals +157 got there ace going Vargas surprise I do take dogs
Clev -220 Salazar on the hill vs the white sucks
Cubs -155 After this weekend no doubt who will be in 1st place
Easy game 11-2 week +3.2u on the week! It doesn't matter what the line is just pick a winner! I like to lock in my plays on the overnight lines. Got 3 games on tap.
Royals +157 got there ace going Vargas surprise I do take dogs
Clev -220 Salazar on the hill vs the white sucks
Cubs -155 After this weekend no doubt who will be in 1st place
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