As most of you know I am fairly new to this forum. I posted a few plays during the NBA Playoffs but am now ready to focus on being a full time contributor to the forum. This is the time of year where I really set my sights to baseball and focus on making as much profit as possible before football season. Over the next few months I will do the same and post all my plays with write-ups whenever possible. I will also update my record and units daily.
I stated this before but my unit system is 1-5 units..
Today's Play
If you have watched many Yankees games this year then the one thing that can be said for sure is that CC Sabathia is no longer the same pitcher that he was in the past. While he had some amazing years in the past, all those years of being a workhorse has finally seem to catch up with him. He has been absolutely dreadful this year and has given up a very alarming 109 hits in only 87 innings of work.
To make things worse he is sitting at a 5.65 ERA and 1.44 whip and opposing hitters have an astounding .335 OBP against him. While fading or betting on SP's is surely not the way to win consistently betting MLB, in this case it is the smart play.While C.J. Wilson hasn't exactly been lights out this year but he has been solid against the Yanks in his career and he does sport a much more respectable 3.92 ERA with only 85 hits given up in 96 innings of work.
With a clear advantage for the Angels in the SP category we turn to the hitting and bullpen. First we look at the bullpens which have been practically identical as far as stats go with both teams having reliever ERA's near the middle of the pack. Overall hitting is clearly and advantage for the Yankees but if you break the numbers down further, they are virtually the same as the Angels while facing lefties on the road. Yankees are only hitting .237 as a team on the road against LHP while the Angels are hitting .236 at home as a team. OBP stats are similar as well along with runs per game.
So basically what I am saying is that if you just blindly glanced at the stats of this game without breaking it down you would assume that the Angels have the better starter, and the Yankees have the better hitting. But as you can see from my analysis above, Yes the Angels do have an advantage at SP but the difference is that the bullpen and hitting stats equate to basically a push between both teams.
So with a better starting pitcher, home field advantage and a revenge situation for the Angels (They were swept in 3 games by the Yanks in NY in early June), this is a perfect spot for LAA to take game 1 of this series and make us some money!!
As most of you know I am fairly new to this forum. I posted a few plays during the NBA Playoffs but am now ready to focus on being a full time contributor to the forum. This is the time of year where I really set my sights to baseball and focus on making as much profit as possible before football season. Over the next few months I will do the same and post all my plays with write-ups whenever possible. I will also update my record and units daily.
I stated this before but my unit system is 1-5 units..
Today's Play
If you have watched many Yankees games this year then the one thing that can be said for sure is that CC Sabathia is no longer the same pitcher that he was in the past. While he had some amazing years in the past, all those years of being a workhorse has finally seem to catch up with him. He has been absolutely dreadful this year and has given up a very alarming 109 hits in only 87 innings of work.
To make things worse he is sitting at a 5.65 ERA and 1.44 whip and opposing hitters have an astounding .335 OBP against him. While fading or betting on SP's is surely not the way to win consistently betting MLB, in this case it is the smart play.While C.J. Wilson hasn't exactly been lights out this year but he has been solid against the Yanks in his career and he does sport a much more respectable 3.92 ERA with only 85 hits given up in 96 innings of work.
With a clear advantage for the Angels in the SP category we turn to the hitting and bullpen. First we look at the bullpens which have been practically identical as far as stats go with both teams having reliever ERA's near the middle of the pack. Overall hitting is clearly and advantage for the Yankees but if you break the numbers down further, they are virtually the same as the Angels while facing lefties on the road. Yankees are only hitting .237 as a team on the road against LHP while the Angels are hitting .236 at home as a team. OBP stats are similar as well along with runs per game.
So basically what I am saying is that if you just blindly glanced at the stats of this game without breaking it down you would assume that the Angels have the better starter, and the Yankees have the better hitting. But as you can see from my analysis above, Yes the Angels do have an advantage at SP but the difference is that the bullpen and hitting stats equate to basically a push between both teams.
So with a better starting pitcher, home field advantage and a revenge situation for the Angels (They were swept in 3 games by the Yanks in NY in early June), this is a perfect spot for LAA to take game 1 of this series and make us some money!!
Most days I will have more than 1 plays but the past two days have been an exception. Should have a bigger card tomorrow. Today I have 1 play. Don't have time for a huge write-up but here it is.
Overall the Pirates have had a solid season and so have the Tigers. This particular play comes down to finding a good situation. That situation is that the Pirates have their ace on the hill tonight against a solid hitting Tigers team. The Tigers on the other hand have Justin Verlander making only his second start of the year. He was not great the first time out and then was immediately scratched on his second start.
Verlander is not the same pitcher he was 4 or 5 years ago and coming off a season long stint on the DL and then getting scratched after one start is not a pitcher I want to put my money on. He may straighten himself out eventually but that day will not be tonight. Oddsmakers seem to agree by making them a small road favorite.
Most days I will have more than 1 plays but the past two days have been an exception. Should have a bigger card tomorrow. Today I have 1 play. Don't have time for a huge write-up but here it is.
Overall the Pirates have had a solid season and so have the Tigers. This particular play comes down to finding a good situation. That situation is that the Pirates have their ace on the hill tonight against a solid hitting Tigers team. The Tigers on the other hand have Justin Verlander making only his second start of the year. He was not great the first time out and then was immediately scratched on his second start.
Verlander is not the same pitcher he was 4 or 5 years ago and coming off a season long stint on the DL and then getting scratched after one start is not a pitcher I want to put my money on. He may straighten himself out eventually but that day will not be tonight. Oddsmakers seem to agree by making them a small road favorite.
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