|Tracking closing lines (cover) right now, will be adding open from scores and odds (don't have all the set line #'s) to see if there is a pattern.
Posted: 11/21/2012 10:23:20 AM
LAL closed at LAL-6.5 Home Fave -6.5 is 4-5 ATS but 2-7 O/U
BRO closed at +7.5. First game with home dog +7.5
PHI closed at -5.5. Home Fave -5.5 is 5-5 ATS but 8-2 O/U
Some lines I am watching:
Home faves -2 to -4.5 are 9-19 O/U
Home faves -2.5 are 0-6 ATS
Home udogs 2.5 to 3.0 are 8-2 O/U
Will update with more later. Also still trying to figure out how to post SS (trends only), doesn't easily convert to google docs.
Leans yesterday (sorry only made it to twitter yesterday) 3-1, but I played LAL 1Hu with FG lean under, so went 2-2.
These might differ slightly from the SDQL results, but I am using covers closing lines.
Have been tracking 2Hs OU as well:
Total results w/ my formula are 84-64-7
Filtered results that I played are 16-7
Lot of chases started as most on mine are season series chases. Haven't been great on gm 1s though.
Early leans today
Will keep watching lines.
BOL luck today. Back later.