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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: THE CHASE LOUNGE
bogey533 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#101
Posted: 11/18/2012 5:26:03 PM
Set number -19- Wisc and Cornell playing at 6.00 est. record is 2-0
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#102
Posted: 11/18/2012 5:31:21 PM
NBA set line number +2.5 on Sacramento. I got them at +4.

Just noticed this, I believe these are still winning. Maybe Jonesin can update us at some point. I wish I had kept up with this on the NBA.
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#103
Posted: 11/18/2012 6:50:48 PM
Playing Colorado -2 in NCAA tonight...Good Luck boys
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#104
Posted: 11/18/2012 6:53:32 PM
+2.5 still is doing well dont have the exact numbers but have been watching it. Moth you think Lakers will play up and down the court tonite. I am thinking Over 205 is a large number and thinking about the Over. Also have been reading about Colorado and Murray St playing the under 132. Moth think Houston can run with the Lakers? This game tonite the Ravens defense hasnt been very good but who knows tonite with Pittsburgh being banged up. I know you like the Under Angle but I am playing Over. Best of luck to everyone tonite
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#105
Posted: 11/18/2012 8:22:35 PM
leftwich looks likes he is in the zone...ravens d is also banged up...steelers play well tonight and pull out the win. should be a good one !!
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#106
Posted: 11/18/2012 8:27:02 PM
The reason I am betting under is because of the trend, no other reason. Something like 14-3 to under last 17 on prime time division matchups. Plus, I have won it 5 Sundays in a row.

Nice to hear from you Semper. I'll try Colo-2 myself.

I wish I had posted all my sides on NFL went 8-3 and only play tonight is on the under. Watch the turnovers mount and the over hit easily for the Bookie Bogeyman!

I see it already went to 41.5 and dropped back to 41. I will at least get 41.

Something strange on the side with the line moving around 7 points when Roethlisberger injury announced. I don't know if that move is warranted the way Balt plays on the road and can't seem to stop the run this year.
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#107
Posted: 11/18/2012 8:33:24 PM
The angle plays went WELL again today. If you played them like I said and parlayed, teased the double angles and bet Wash instead of Philly the individual games went 8-2, not counting the 2 teamer and the teaser. I also bet 2 units straight on the double angle teams but I don't remember if I said that or not, it's been a long day. I always try to bet an extra unit on those and parlay them. Last week I forgot to parlay them.

Semper, I hope u are playing these, I owe you big time from MLB!
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#108
Posted: 11/18/2012 8:59:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Angle4U999:

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Week 11 NFL Angles from Insider Angles, a dot com website. I hope this doesn't mess up the page as I will copy and paste...
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Angles went 8-2 in week 10 with both losers as favorites!

Here are the NFL Trends & Angles for Week 11, with all records being for the last seven seasons since 2005 plus the first 10 weeks of this season.

Angle #1 - Bet on any team that has lost at least four straight games ATS (71-47-5, 60.2% ATS since 2005): This is a contrarian angle that looks for potentially undervalued teams that most bettors tend to avoid, as they do not like betting on teams on decided ATS losing streaks.. It has not made much difference whether or not the team is now home (31-21-4 ATS) or away (30-26-1 ATS).  Qualifier: Philadelphia +4 (did not play, should have been more clear as I said my chase ended on them in next sentence. I ended up playing Wash as listed on last angle. I apologize if anyone played Philly)....

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Angle4u999 warning! Please note starter Vick out and rookie QB Foles is starting. This can be a problem. This voids my Philly chase. Light play if at all for me.)


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Angle #2 - Play on any Bad Team on the road that was an underdog in each of its last four games (97-64-2, 60.2% ATS):Playing this angle may take some courage as it often points you to the dregs of the league, and on the road no less! But that is precisely the point as these teams often offer great value with no novice bettors wanting any part of them, as evidenced by the excellent winning percentage over a nice sampling. This angle won its only play in Week 10 with the Rams. Qualifiers: Cleveland +8 and Jacksonville +16. (Both went to OT and could have won ML)

Angle #3 - Play on any team that lost its last game by 28 or more points (92-58-4, 61.3% ATS): This angle combines two concepts, as professional teams in any sport do not like to get embarrassed and often bounce back strong in their next game, and also bettors tend to shy away from these teams, often leading to added line value. This angle went a perfect 2-0 in Week 10. Qualifier: Oakland +5. (This angle lost Thurs nite with Miami.) (This angle lost again Sunday)

Angle #4 - Play on any road underdog coming off of a road loss (133-73-5, 64.6% ATS): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, bookmakers started  to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on these long-term results, they may have over-adjusted the lines, especially in the case of road underdogs, and this angle also adds in the motivation off wanting to bounce back after a loss. This angle went a perfect 2-0 in Week 10. Qualifiers: Arizona +10½, New York Jets +4 and San Diego +8.Triple winner on same angle, wish I had 3-teamer!

Angle #5 - Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (166-106-5, 61.0% ATS): The logic behind this angle is the same as the previous angle with two exceptions, as it does not matter if the team playing its second straight road game won or lost its previous game, and also it is restricted to conference game only as now facing a familiar foe lessens the travel effect since the team usually knows how to attack that foe and what to expect on defense. This angle went a perfect 2-0 in Week 10. Qualifiers: Arizona +10½, Indianapolis +10 and San Diego +8.(Double angle winners on Ariz and SD)

Angle #6 - Play on any favorite coming off of a bye week (82-46-4, 64.1% ATS): NFL teams that have had an extra week of preparation time have had a nice advantage in recent years, and the added time off often times has resulted in any injured players the teams may have also having extra recovery time, which is an added bonus. This angle went 0-2 in Week 10. Qualifiers: Green Bay -2½ or 3 and Washington -3.

Angle4u999 note: I have adjusted the lines from those on the website for optimum situation based on the time I posted this. On a few I of the dogs I added a half point and on a couple I added 1 point. On the 2 favorites, I lowered GB by half point and Wash by half point depending on your line.

I'm not overly concerned with the exact line, I just like to be sure and get over or under key numbers of 3, 7, 10 and 14. We don't see 21 very often in NFL. Even though I don't like to lose by a half point, I will play that if it covers up or below the key numbers. Buying one point can get expensive especially if getting over or under 3.

As you can see, San Diego and Arizona are DOUBLE angle, which has done well lately. I will put them in a 2 team parlay, which I forgot to do last week to my chagrin. Of course I can't buy points in a parlay so if I end up with SD +7.5 and Ariz +9.5 as they are currently, I will play that. The good thing about dogs is that the public tends to jack the line in our favor the closer it gets to gametime, but not always as most of you know. I will definitely have them in a teaser of some fashion that maximizes the line to cover the key numbers.(Forgot to mention also 2 units on straight bets, I apologize.) (I posted this between 2 -3 AM or something like that)

Also, Oak +5 (at current time) is GM2 of my 3 game chase. As it is an afternoon game I hope the line will get to 6 so I can buy to +7.

One think you need to know about the Raiders. They are much better catching points than giving! In the last few years if you followed that you would be smiling!



I hope I have helped you guys in some way. You all help me and I appreciate it. Most of what I have now is NBA chase plays and these angle plays that I stumbled into several years ago.

That is where my screen name came from. Again, I did not create the angles and am not connected to the angle website in any way. Just sharing so we can hopefully make some money!

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#109
Posted: 11/18/2012 9:31:05 PM
Angle, we appreciate GREATLY everything you do. I have said it before, but thanks to you, Semper, McShady and a lot others, I would have reloaded atleast a few times more by now.
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#110
Posted: 11/18/2012 10:02:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Moth61:

Angle, we appreciate GREATLY everything you do. I have said it before, but thanks to you, Semper, McShady and a lot others, I would have reloaded atleast a few times more by now.


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#111
Posted: 11/18/2012 10:49:04 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by semperfi19:

Playing Colorado -2 in NCAA tonight...Good Luck boys

Thanks for the SU winner!!!

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#112
Posted: 11/18/2012 11:06:53 PM
Definately agree with what has been said here tonite Semper nice win with Col. Moth looks like Lakers are a running tonite. Angle you deserve a big profit finding that site. Go Nads I for one really appreciate you updating the NCAA Basketball set numbers thanks again.
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#113
Posted: 11/18/2012 11:34:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ChipsNVouchers:

Quarter's for Sunday:

Lakers Q3 Lakers (4-1 home) vs Rockets (0-4 road) 

Pistons 2Q Pistons (3-0 home) vs Celtics (1-4 road) 

Raptors 1Q Raptors (3-1 home) vs Magic (1-3 road) 

Knicks 1Q    and 4Q    1Q (6-1) and 4Q (7-0)

16-10-2 for the initial week of tracking Quarter's vs. ML.  Both pushes were losses ATS. 

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#114
Posted: 11/18/2012 11:42:54 PM

Nice work Chips

Tommorow lots of NCAAB games with some good set numbers. Looking at the most recent list which ended 11/17.

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#115
Posted: 11/19/2012 12:15:11 AM

Monday Quarter's Leans:

Many favorable matchups for Monday so hopefully our positive trend continues.

Wizards 2Q-Pacers (0-4-2 road) Wizards (1-1 home)

Pacers 1Q-Wizards (0-2 home)  Pacers (3-3 road)

Bucks 1Q Bucks (3-0 road) Bobcats (1-4 home)

Bucks 2Q Bucks (3-0 road) Bobcats (1-4 home)

Grizzlies 2Q Grizzlies (4-0 home) Nuggets (2-5 road)

Mavericks 1Q Mavericks (4-1 home) Warriors (3-3 road)

Spurs 2Q Spurs (5-0 home) Clippers (1-1 road)

Rockets 1Q Rockets (4-0 road) Jazz (2-1 home)

Jazz 3Q Rockets (0-4 road) Jazz (2-1 home)

Way too many plays so pick and choose as you like or parlay them all and send me a post card from the beach if it hits!  Best of luck guys

 

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#116
Posted: 11/19/2012 12:30:09 AM
Just added up my totals from the weekend and a "comma" weekend of earnings was created!  Couldn't have done it without the help of this lounge or those that post on Twitter!  You guys are all so worthy of the praise that us newbies throw in your direction.  Thanks from my wife and kids too because they play right along and enjoy the learning process that we share together.
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#117
Posted: 11/19/2012 2:15:10 AM
Moth, I laid off on the Lakers fade but cashed with the over.

The Lakers at home on Sunday nite have been money this year and may continue.

Thanks Semper, Chips, Bogey and everyone else!

I will start a new thread Monday night late after the football game.

Nice day today, didn't play too many on NCAA hoops, I think that is helping me. Still interested in anything you guys can come up with. My NFL was lights out today, especially on the under for Sunday nite, now 6-0!   17-13 seemed like the score forever. I know "someone" who had Balt -3 earlier in the week, chickened out Sunday and took Pitt +4 and pushed/won.

I wish I would have played Balt-2.5 and Pitt +3.5 and hit the middle! What a game to do that!

Angle out, talk to u in the morning!

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#118
Posted: 11/19/2012 2:21:38 AM
Sorry, I meant to say Sunday nite under has hit 6 in a row.

Later and thanks guys!
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#119
Posted: 11/19/2012 2:26:05 AM
hey guys i'd like to say thank you so much for your hardworks...keep up tje goodwork thanks again
Posted using a mobile device.
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#120
Posted: 11/19/2012 6:11:37 AM
Looks like a good day for the posters was mine . Thanks Angle for the Angles . They helped me today .
Keep posting Semperfi . Always good to here from the man who started it all and introduced me to the Chase system .
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#121
Posted: 11/19/2012 7:51:52 AM

GREAT WEEKEND BOYS!!. 

ANGLE, THANK YOU!  I TAILED ON A FEW. WELL DONE!!!! 

CHIPS, BIKE..THANKS FOR THE KIND WORDS.  

LET'S KEEP ROLLING ALL WEEK......GOOD LUCK ALL!!! 

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#122
Posted: 11/19/2012 7:56:36 AM
FYI.....nropp.com is a great source for NCAA hoops write ups.  Neil is amazing and does a great analysis on daily basis.
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#123
Posted: 11/19/2012 9:04:58 AM
Thanks to all the guys and their hard work to help all of us means alot to me and I  appreciate all the positives. Keep things rolling. thanks again to angle to keep this site going each and everytime he starts a new thread.
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#124
Posted: 11/19/2012 9:17:02 AM
Arizona and North Carolina at -16.5 on set line (5-0 at last update)
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#125
Posted: 11/19/2012 11:15:38 AM
In previous post regarding Sun nite game. I meant to say it seemed like 13-10 forever. I wasn't watching the game but everytime I changed the channel to look in the 2nd half it was 13-10 and then stayed that way for at least the entire 4th qtr. Talk about a weird game!

That under trend for primetime division games is something like 15-4 now and 6 Sunday nite games (no matter who played) in a row.
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