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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: THE CHASE LOUNGE...Nov 8, 2012
Jonesin send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#101
Posted: 11/9/2012 6:37:14 PM
under not looking too good.
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Hoyasaxa
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#102
Posted: 11/9/2012 8:38:40 PM
Ok boys...Lakers Clippers local Chase update 9-1 ATS...

well I knew they'd suck and now look what we've done....funny thing is I swear I read it was Kobe's idea to run the Princeton offense and Mike Brown was in charge of the D...anyway-conventional wisdom is they are happy he's gone and go nuts but he wasn't hated that much like Valentine and even if so, that's a fade scenario with public money chasing.

More importantly, they didn't learn to shoot free throws, 3's and get quicler
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#103
Posted: 11/9/2012 8:43:33 PM
sorry Tablet is fucked up plus hotel wifi...I was saying, they didn't get quicker overnight...so you're going to have to prove it to me...to a team that already came down to LA and beat our favorite son....and who's going to stop Curry and Thompson???

GS +7.5-you may get more value is the line is trending up...like an extra hand job from that 6 when the 10 stood you up...

Clips-update-nice win last night and a growing experience-good to see-we can trust them more often and by the way, they get back Chauncey Billups sppn and I think that dude has a few rings...
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#104
Posted: 11/9/2012 9:06:03 PM
oh and I forgot to mention a few other Lakers issues with or without Mike B.-new coach won't become the new bench-it is absolutely horrible-Steve Blake can't defend and now he can't shoot, and the new coach ain't making the boys 5 yrs younger....
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#105
Posted: 11/9/2012 10:31:09 PM
Thanks for the info Hoya. Nice over win Angle on N.O.
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#106
Posted: 11/10/2012 12:22:10 AM
Angle, you are the man again.  I ran with it tonight... Thanks bro.

Thanks capeo for update.  I was off fball for tonight but I love shadys plays.  I went heavy in college and did well.  I am shaky, and wasn't sure about new lineups.  Maryland and Colorado were my big plays.  Colo pushed.  Gave up some late buckets b/c I had chalked it up as a win with a bought point.  I will post my plays, but beware they can be streaky.  Good luck boys, big day tomorrow.
FL
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#107
Posted: 11/10/2012 12:23:46 AM
Angle, the no game -7.5 is what i was referring to.  Half point baby! 
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#108
Posted: 11/10/2012 2:23:42 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Moth61:

Talked with big Notre Dame fan today. He says BC is awful and ND needs to make a statement. ND at home has average wins of about 4 points. Away is 23 points (too busy to verify). Taking ND AT BC Saturday.

Someone posted that Maryland was down to their 3 rd string QB last week. I bet the under. Any thoghts for the same this weekend.  They play at Clemson. 55.5 O/U



Maryland was down to 5th string QB last week. I just checked definitely first 3 out for season, so either 4th or 5th string will start. Under makes sense. Also TT under could be a play, don't know the line.
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#109
Posted: 11/10/2012 2:36:19 AM
I hope somebody besides me bet the NO game OVER. After last game scoring 62, they put up 107 tonight! Plus covered the spread as of the trend I posted. Wish I had parlayed them!

Sorry about GS Hoyasaxa. Lakers were a chase play for me so I didn't know which game would hit, but I thought firing coach usually fires up a team and it did.

Please keep us updated on Lakers and Clips!

Celtics garbage the bed, should cover 1 of the next 2 in the chase.
Hou lost by 1 pt ATS. Not worried about them either.

Will update NBA chases Sat morning. Looks like a game 2 of 2 with Chicago (go light). A game 2 of 3 with Hou and Bos.

Always try to wait for me to update before next game if possible. There could be injuries, etc that calls off the chase. Also, lines based on CLOSING line for record keeping purposes.

If you think line will go up and you have fave you can get early. If you have dog and it's going up, wait.

If you notice, my NBA chase plays are almost always based on teams that have not covered for several games and that should give them advantage ATS to cover one of next 3.
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#110
Posted: 11/10/2012 3:00:40 AM
NBA set lines tracked both lost. +2.5 now 8-4 and +6.5 now 6-5.

Newfie, if you are tracking any other NBA trends for set lines, please update!

Here's an old stragegy with betting totals in NCAAB. I read somewhere that NCAAB totals have one of the lowest limits in the casino because they are not as sharp as the sides.

My strategy in prior years has been simple. I didn't have the time today due to so many games and football/NBA going on. When I have more time I may try some of these. If anyone wants to track and has time, that would be great.

Go to Covers NCAAB and pull up the "Live Odds" screen. Then select "Full Odds".

Look at the opening line for the total around 9-10am central time and compare to the actual line. If it has moved 4 or more points, that is a good indication of what to bet on that total. Think about it this way, totals don't usually come out overnight in my experience and spreads always seem to come out before totals for NCAAB. If the line movement on the total is 4 or more THAT EARLY in the day, that's a lot of steam/early money on that total! Most likely SHARP money!

At the least, the heavy steam on the total has usually been a good indication in my experience. Sometimes when a line has moved 6 or more points I will parlay those games in a 2 or 3 teamer. I have not tried teasers as I usually only bet them in NFL.

Some books will not have totals on games like these and you may notice that 5 dimes or one of the other books usually has more totals on games than other books.

My book tends to leave certain totals "off" until the line has been sharpened up or down, or they may omit the total completely on some games especially in the smaller conferences. I figure the reason is to lower their exposure to "sharp" players or to avoid possible "fixed" games in smaller schools. That is my opinion.

Goodnight to all, Angle out till later in morning!
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#111
Posted: 11/10/2012 4:50:41 AM
Good stuff Angle I should have took  your advice and played Hornets under but already had a lot of action . Did tail you on the Lakers and already had the Celtics for a game 2 . Terrible ! They are underperforming as much as the Lakers were . Look forward to your plays Saturday .
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#112
Posted: 11/10/2012 10:03:41 AM
allright so the Lake show had a guilt trip-understood but it should help overlay them on the next trip and that trip can't come off the bench, get younger and all....

Anyway-big time factor today in CFB-major wind yesterday in Vegas going east towards the Mtn West and Big 12-nothing affects totals lower than that-callin for all local reports-already on BYU under big now before it gets lower....please  post....
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#113
Posted: 11/10/2012 10:33:54 AM
early games: 

Louisville/Syracuse Over 59
Virginia -1.5 
Iowa State +10.5 
UL Lafayette +27

BOL
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#114
Posted: 11/10/2012 11:13:25 AM
Lakers win makes NBA chases now 4-0.

Today's chases
CHI - 7   (GM2 of 2) (go light) last game of 2 game chase
BOS +2 (GM2 of 3)
HOU -7  (GM2 of 3)

You may want to bet early as I had to buy a point on Bos and Chi.                  
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#115
Posted: 11/10/2012 11:17:58 AM

Thanks McShady for Pitt under.

Purdue 7 -1 before Illinois.

Visitor in Texas (home)/ Iowa State series is 6 -0 ATS 

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bogey533 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#116
Posted: 11/10/2012 11:32:23 AM
Thanks Moth for the info. I played Purdue +5 , Sryacuse +2  Mich -9 and Over 56 Wisc - Ind in a 4 team RR. Best of luck to everyone today.
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#117
Posted: 11/10/2012 12:11:14 PM
Thanks Angle for chase, I'll join ya. BOL
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#118
Posted: 11/10/2012 12:48:19 PM
Angle, I believe the best play is Clemson first half.  I would go lite, they have nc state next.  May not get up for this game.  But, that offense could put up 60 themselves.  I always play first half on big spreads. 
GL

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#119
Posted: 11/10/2012 1:17:30 PM
Angle out. back tonite for angle plays and NFL chases.

one NFL early play 3 game chase Oak +8
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#120
Posted: 11/10/2012 2:09:31 PM
Thanks for not leaving Angle, Moth61, Bike, Hoya, Jones and others. To bad Shady and the other half of the crew left for basically no reason. Kinda ruined a good thing, lets try and get it back to good.

Twitter is to hard to follow, not sure why people like it so much. I signed up just to follow and I am getting a headache trying to figure it out. To much bullshit to wade through.
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#121
Posted: 11/10/2012 2:19:24 PM

Hang in there Randognsac it will all eventually work out always does.

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#122
Posted: 11/10/2012 2:22:58 PM
Taking Spurs 4q -1/2 over Blazers who have been outscored all 5 games this season.
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#123
Posted: 11/10/2012 2:23:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by randognsac:

Thanks for not leaving Angle, Moth61, Bike, Hoya, Jones and others. To bad Shady and the other half of the crew left for basically no reason. Kinda ruined a good thing, lets try and get it back to good.

Twitter is to hard to follow, not sure why people like it so much. I signed up just to follow and I am getting a headache trying to figure it out. To much bullshit to wade through.
Thanks randognsac. I don`t like twitter either . Tweeted something to McShady or should say tried to and it would`nt post because it was more than 140 characters . Well I`ll be damned . Pain in the behind to deal with . Like you I view it to see McShady plays . GL today !
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#124
Posted: 11/10/2012 2:48:45 PM
Did McShady hide his NFL and CFL games on his spreadsheet. I only have the trendz???
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#125
Posted: 11/10/2012 2:49:42 PM
JonesIn pounding the 4Q Blazers Fade! Me too buddy.

I didn't leave Randognsac- just busy pushing snow lately.
Posted using a mobile device.
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